#the hallmark of acting for me is whether I believe them and it really annoys me that I don’t

[aryaadrottning]

Reviving this account to say I’m back in my criminal minds era bc I’m rewatching from the beginning

[whoree321]

the bad batch + what romance/rom com movies they watch with you

each of the bad batch x gn!reader

ok first and foremost i really truly believe to the pits of my soul that every single one of these fuckos loves romances and you cannot under any circumstances change my mind

ALSO it’s a gender neutral reader except kinda in echo’s theres like a very brief quote regarding breasts but like i still think even that is pretty gender neutral tbh

so anyway

Hunter: Pretty Woman

this is not the first time that i have publicly declared that i think hunter has a deep rooted connection to the movie pretty woman and it will not be the last

first of all this movie is incredibly soothing to hunters overwhelming savior complex

second of all hunter is literally richard gere (debonaire but emotionally distant gentleman that learns to love) and julia roberts (hooker with a heart of gold) at the same time

he was a little skeptical the first time you put it on but he instantly fell in love with it

the humor, the sensuality, the class divide, the glamour, the unconventional cinderella story of it all. it just really butters his bread

after the first time, when you suggest watching a movie and you pick this one he’ll act very aloof about it (“whatever you want cyar’ika, it doesn’t matter to me”) but secretly he’s really really happy bc it’s one of his favorites (you def know this and def pick it more often)

he absolutely hates the scene when stucky the lawyer hits vivian. like it doesn’t matter how many times he watches it he will fully turn his head away from the screen and say “I don’t like this part” and when it’s over he nuzzles a little closer into you and very tenderly kisses your forehead

he loves the soundtrack too. like he fully exposes how much he likes the movie when you catch him singing or humming “pretty woman” or “it must have been love” absently to himself (you kept it to yourself for a while but eventually you just had to tease him about it. he just smiled a little sheepishly and admitted he liked the songs before promptly changing the subject)

hunter also lowkey definitely wants to recreate the ending where richard gere shows up to her apartment in the white limo with you bc he thinks it’s such a sweet gesture and he wants to treat you like royalty

Crosshair: 10 Things I Hate About You

if there’s one thing about crosshair it’s that he’s a sucker for the enemies to lovers genre

maybe its just him projecting (spoiler alert it most certainly is) but he really enjoys watching the drama conflama of a miserable bastard be tricked into love

and really that’s the true essence of 10 Things I Hate About You

he will grumble and bitch and moan about not wanting to watch a ‘chick flick’ when you put it on, but 15 minutes in and he’s hooked

he has strong negative opinions on literally every single character except for kat and patrick

(crosshair really really wants to think he’s patrick but when it comes down to it he is katarina stratford in every single possible way)

he doesn’t say a word throughout the entire movie but you can tell when he’s annoyed at like bianca or cameron or joey bc he will openly scoff at them

will absolutely hum along in your ear during the “can’t take my eyes off you” scene and make out with you during the paintball scene

(seriously he wants to be patrick verona so bad)

when it’s over and you ask him what he thought he’ll roll his eyes and say “i guess it could have been worse” but his little smirk let’s you know he enjoyed it a lot more than he’s willing to admit

Tech: 50 Shades of Grey

ok hear me out on this one

tech is a huge movie talker. like subtitles are a non-negotiable if you wanna be able to take in any of the movies dialogue bc tech is most likely gonna make commentary over it the whole time

this makes him absolutely indescribably so much fun to watch bad/corny movies with

he will go off about EVERYTHING. the plot, the dialogue, the acting, the costuming, the music, the production quality. nothing and no one is safe. whether you just enjoy letting him talk at you or you join in on the roast, cheesy movies are a hoot between you two

and honey. 50 shades is one of THE cheesiest movies ever

you and tech will literally spend the entire duration of the movie tearing it to shreds

and the thing is tech is a very sarcastic, funny guy when he wants to be (and when it comes to you he definitely wants to be) so by the end of it he will have you in absolute stitches from laughing at the ridiculousness of both the movie and him

with any of the other batchers watching a movie like this either turns into a shy, slightly awkward experience (wrecker, echo) or an incorrigibly horny experience (crosshair, hunter)

but in this context tech literally has no shame or squeamishness about sexual things (why should he it’s a natural biological process?) so to yall the sex stuff is just another thing to roast

literally christian grey could be fully tying dakota johnson down and flogging her and tech will be like “in the last 3 minutes they have panned up to her nipples 4 times. this is criminally shoddy cinematography”

even tho he’s busy giving a detailed play by play critique, he never fails to keep some sort of physical contact with you (wrapping an arm around you and running his hand up and down your skin, playing with your fingers or your hair) so you know he’s enjoying spending this time with you despite his nasty words about the movie

also 1000% after you watch it tech will do extensive research on the ins and outs of bdsm and will have lots of hypotheses he wants to test out (as long as you’re willing and able ofc) ;)))

Wrecker: 13 Going On 30

of all the bad batch members, wrecker is the only one who unabashedly loves any movie that could be considered a chick flick

like he doesn’t even try to hide it or act like he’s too masculine for it. he loves romance and he’s proud of it

this man will have full marathons with you. rom coms, regular roms, tragic roms, hallmark roms, you name it and he’s game

his absolute favorite tho is 13 Going On 30

i feel like he has a huge soft spot for childhood best friends to lovers stories like he finds that type of lifelong partnership so endearing (and he loves to live vicariously through jenna since that type of romance was obviously never an option for him)

wrecker is also very childlike at heart and i think the idea of a 13 year old sweetheart trapped inside the body of a 30 year old cut throat magazine exec is so amusing to him (and maybe makes him feel just a little bit represented in the media)

he is definitely the type to completely engulf you in a cuddle for the entirety of the movie and he DEFINITELY cries into your shoulder at matty’s wedding when jenna is crying on the stoop with her dream house

he wants to try razzles so bad. like so bad. i think if he ever came across them somewhere he would barter at least one of his brothers for them

wrecker really just loves love and watching movies about it just reminds him of how lucky he is to have his own love story with you <3

Echo: The Princess Bride

i feel like it’s glaringly obvious why echo loves this movie

pirates. sword fighting. decades long revenge plots. the value of an honorable, loyal man. true love that never wavers even in the face of devastating tragedy and the darkest of hardships. clever but goofy humor.

echo considers this an action/adventure movie and NOT a romance movie (even tho it 100% totally is a romance movie) and requests to watch it very frequently

he can quote the whole thing. i’m seriously telling you echo loves the princess bride with his whole chest

even tho he refuses to admit it’s a love story above all else, he really does try to model himself in your relationship after wesley

like especially given what happened at the citadel and all the time you thought he was dead, the cinematic parellels are alive and present in y’alls relationship and he strives to be even half the man to you that wesley is to buttercup

literally in your day to day life he will sometimes respond to your requests with a smooth “as you wish ;)” (it doesn’t matter how many times he does it it still gives you butterflies)

when you watch the movie, he snuggles as close to you as possible and does his best to make youre comfy the whole time (he’s insecure about his prosthetics hurting you no matter how much you reassure him they don’t)

he just loves to be able to feel your heartbeat and your laugh when you giggle at the funny bits

every single time without fail at the part when buttercup is about to stab herself he leans down, ghosts his lips against the shell of your ear, and whispers the line in time with wesley: “there’s a shortage of perfect breasts in this world. it would be a pity to damage yours”

every single time without fail you wind up making out until he pulls away and tells you to watch the next part when wesley challenges humperdinck to a duel to the pain

echo just loves you to bits and wants you to know he’d endure a thousand fire swamps for you

Omega: Clueless

i have this really specific obsession with omega being a total girly girl and having very traditionally feminine interests as she keeps experiencing the universe and being exposed to a spectrum of gender expression beyond clone (masc and boring) and kaminoan (ugly)

so with that headcanon of her in mind, it’s vital to me that she sees clueless as soon as possible

clueless is an essential piece of media for a girl entering adolescence and i will die on this hill

it has literally everything you want and everything you need to develop into a well-rounded young woman

it’s so deliciously 90s and glamorama and valley girl humor and camp. its got meaningful female friendships and valuable life lessons and paul mf rudd

if there’s one thing you should encourage a burgeoning hetero teen girl to do, it’s to stick to dating guys like paul rudd in clueless. the earlier this message can be broadcast the better

the second you’re able to steal omega away from hunters watchful eyes (“hunter we’re just gonna watch finding nemo i swear!”) you show her this movie

at this point omega is not really a girly girl, but omega also has absolutely zero feminine influence in her life

the first time she sees clueless she is absolutely obsessed. like seriously she is so enamoured with the glitz and glam of cher horowitz

she asks you questions the entire time. she wants to know about EVERYTHING. the makeup, the clothes, the hair, the slang

(she definitely goes around saying stuff like “i’m totally bugging” for long enough afterwards that almost all of the boys have slipped up at least once with some ridiculous valley girl slang. you thought you were gonna die of laughter when you overheard tech say “as if!” to wrecker in the middle of an argument)

it just really introduces her to this whole world of femininity that she didn’t even know existed and she absolutely loves it

she makes you watch clueless with her seriously once a week at minimum. she begs you to style her hair like tai’s and you can’t help yourself when you happen to run across a little yellow plaid dress and buy it for her on sight

(hunter was gonna scold you for recklessly spending credits until he saw how omega almost cried from how happy she was for the gift)

honestly she enjoys the romance of it all and paul rudd is def her first celebrity crush but she enjoys more that you and her now have this special thing of hair and nails and pretty dresses

she loves how confident and beautiful and special you’re able to make her feel, and you love that you get to bring her that small sense of normalcy and happiness

[sooibian]

Stranger Things (1)

Pairing: Baekhyun x Reader ft. Kyungsoo

Genre: Fluff, meet cute, non-idol AU

Description: While waiting to receive Kyungsoo at the airport you run into an insufferable someone - Byun Baekhyun. Despite yourself, you are unable to resist his charms.

A/N: No BaekSoo, no life. Know BaekSoo, know life. This is a highly self indulgent oneshot because I simply cannot resist bobohu anymore. Also if I edit, I’ll never upload. So please, bear with this unedited mess and bad humor (: and try not to hate on OC! 

Word Count: ~ 2k

Chapters: One | Two | Three | Four (Final)

gif credits: @x-exo​

“He’s a lawyer”, you tilted your head to the side with your nose in the air, foolishly waving your platinum band bearing hand in his general direction. Byun Baekhyun, the man you’d met barely thirty minutes ago, had managed to bring out your inner “chatty Cathy” while eyeing you with the slightest of the smirks tugged at his lips. It was nauseating. The smirk, his bouffant persona, the way he slurped his ramen, his unkempt fake blond hair - he insisted on running a hand though the annoying yet bountiful tousle ever so often  - disheveling it further. One glance at his showy Rolex and you’d written him off as a wealthy fop. Yet, here you were, seated in front of him, trying to make sense of the situation. 

Kyungsoo’s flight was delayed by over an hour. Although you wanted nothing more than to find the inviting comfort of your bed, you decided to keep your promise of picking him up from the airport. Even if it meant spending time with this strange (literally and figuratively) man. You were no night owl. Therefore, you needed the caffeine fix to stay conscious so you huddled to the coffee shop closest to the arrival gate only to run into him again. The single vacant seat happened to be on his tiny table which he graciously put up for offer - I’m Byun Baekhyun. And I don’t bite! Apart from the unbridled desire to prick his inflated ego with a needle, you realized you’d come on a bit too strong earlier when he mistakenly put his hand on yours while going for the same copy of Forbes in the magazine kiosk. Was he apologetic then? No. Not really. But you didn’t have to pull an ugly face and call him a creep. Sure, lack of sleep made you crabby but you shouldn’t have taken it out on him. It wasn’t your best moment. 

You took the seat because (a) never had a person made you feel so conflicted about them. Always too quick to judge, within a few moments you could tell whether you liked someone or absolutely didn’t care about them. But with him you honestly couldn’t figure out whether you loathed him or were in absolute awe of his unabashed demeanor (b) you wanted to make absolutely unnecessary amends. 

“What was his name, again?”, stretching and yawning he leaned back in his chair. His shoulders widened to full glory. Lazily, he ran a hand over his chest. Realization hit you like a truck. You were blatantly staring and he’d caught you in the act. Your eyes met his and it made you want to punch that stupid, now very prominent, smirk off of his face. It was time for damage control. Attack, after all, is the best defense.

“Looks like you’re bored. I shall stop”, you said tersely, moving to quickly grab your things.

“It’s 2:45 a.m. Can you blame me?”, he yanked your wallet out of your hand and shoved it in his back pocket, “Continue the story”

“Yahhhhh, give me back my wallet”, you glowered at him.

“Story first”, he sang pulling the wallet out and waving it at you. “Yahhh!”, as you lunged forward, he instinctively drew further back. Frowning, he suddenly ducked under the table.

“What - what happened?”, a quizzical expression clouded your face.

“I’m looking for something”, he mumbled rising gradually. Was that a pout?

“Yah, I can tell. What are you looking for?”

“Your manners. You seem to have suddenly dropped them somewhere”

 You felt your face flame, “Byun Baekhyun-ssi!”

“Please, you can call me oppa”

“I may be older, you know?”

“Your cheeks tell an entirely different story”, he chuckled

Fuming, you untied your hair in a desperate attempt to frame your perfectly round face, “Doh Kyungsoo”, you deadpanned.

“Byun Baekhyun”, confused, he pointed at himself.

“Doh Kyungsoo, my fiance”

“Ah… Sounds as boring as ‘civil lawyer’”

“How did you know?? I don’t remember mentioning -”

“Ha! So he is a civil lawyer! So what do your dates look like? Haunting worn down museums? Marvelling over runes?”, he swayed dreamily, eyelids fluttering.

Your saccharine smile didn’t reach your eyes, “Byun Baekhyun-ssi, what do your dates with your girl look like?”

You were surprised to see a genuine smile grace his face. Albeit unconsciously, you mirrored him. It was warm and luminous, his smile, and you were enchanted.

“Ahem”, the ridiculous smirk came back on, “Dates with my Yoona?”

So, there is a girl. You felt a slight pang of jealousy. You prayed for it to not reflect in your eyes.

“My Yoona?” you gagged dramatically and he responded with an equally dramatic loud sigh.

“Let’s see….long walks by the Han river, a little after sunset.. We walk all the way up to the Namsan Tower. She looks radiant in the moonlight… just my Yoona and me...relaxing...chilling”, he smiled like a heavily infatuated thirteen year old.

“That’s a really long walk. Oppa doesn’t have a driver’s license?”, you chided.

He guffawed, “Guess you and Mr. - ?

“Doh! Mr. Doh of Doh, Gom and Associates!”, 

“Yes, you and Mr. Doh of Doh - Gom - and Associates”, his words slow, deliberate, “wouldn’t recognize romance if it danced naked in front of you. And that platinum band”, he paused, slowly shaking his head.

You drew your hand close to your chest defensively, “What about it?”

“So… a very close friend of mine got engaged recently and I went ring shopping with him. It was an intense drill. But now I know all there is to know about the right cut, hallmark, color, purity, you get the drift. And that”, he took a piteous glance at the ring.

“I could really do without the condescension”

“I’m sorry, but it looks thrift store bought”

“Baekhyun-ssi, your limited experience may have falsely led you into believing that you’re a connoisseur of platinum. But if you care to look past your high-end store shopping spree, you’ll see that this is heirloom”

“Does it have P-950 stamped on it?”

Your glare shut him up and he raised his hands in surrender. Pouting. Again.

You gawked at him in pure admiration. How could a man like that be capable of the most endearing pouts was beyond you.

“Look, I don’t know if you care about Kyungsoo but the flight should’ve landed by now and I don’t want to keep my friend waiting after a red eye flight… so”, he got up to leave and you hurriedly followed suit, “it was an absolute pleasure meeting you”

Your hand met his in a firm handshake which neither of you cared to break for a good thirty seconds. You knew you’d never see this man again and you felt a certain unpleasantness wash over you at the thought. 

His captivating grin made an appearance, accelerating your heartbeat.

You exited the coffee shop first and when you turned around to look for him, he was gone.

***

You greeted Kyungsoo with a punch in the shoulder, “You’re late”

“I tried but they wouldn’t let me into the cockpit”, he said pinching your ear with one hand and twisting your arm with the other.

You successfully managed to wiggle of his strong grasp and attack him with a bear hug, “I’ve missed you”

He softly patted your head before your show of affection started to smother him. Breaking out of your hug he teased, “Tsk, tsk, you’ve grown soft”

“Can you blame me? My best friend moved to a strange city to farm! He’s not been around much to toughen me up” You didn’t care that he hated it. You leaned in to hug him, anyway, “any progress on the land dispute?”

“I’ll be seeing a lawyer for it”, he indulged you by continuing to gently sway you. Apparently, he’d missed you, too.

“Hmm...a civil lawyer”, you contemplated. 

“What’s that?”

“Nothing”, you sighed pulling away from him to call a cab, “When are you seeing this lawyer”

“Right now”

“What? Kyungsoo! It’s 4 in the morning! Can’t this wait?

“No”, he deftly locked your phone, “because he also happens to be a friend of mine and he’s here and he has offered to drive us home”

“He’s here?”

Kyungsoo forced your head to take a 180 degree turn.

You froze at the sight of the blond haired man standing in front of you. Your eyes barely short of pleading, you grabbed Kyungsoo’s hand lacing your fingers with his.

Baekhyun chuckled, “Congratulations, man. I didn’t know you were engaged!”

“Engaged? No, I’m not engaged!” Kyungsoo's voice now a several notches louder.

You were quick to nudge Kyungsoo’s arm with your elbow and snicker softly, “He likes to joke when he’s tired...We’re all tired. Won’t you bring your car now, Baekhyun-ssi?”

“You two know each other?” Nothing made sense to Kyungsoo anymore.

Your feeble No was drowned by Baekhyun’s loud Yes.

“Anyway..”, Kyungsoo introduced you to Baekhyun as his best friend and it made you want to be on the next expedition to Mars. 

“And this is Byun Baekhyun. My elementary school friend”. Baekhyun handed you a business card which you accepted with trembling fingers.

Byun, Park and Associates

Byun Baekhyun

Partner

LL.M.

You were mentally prepared to go on a solo expedition to Neptune and freeze to death.

“We lost touch in high school only to meet again at Jongdae’s engagement party”

Platinum, Baekhyun mouthed when your guilt ridden eyes met his.

“And he has very kindly agreed to help me out with my case”

***

“What- What the hell was that?”, Kyungsoo hissed.

“I don’t know… at first I didn’t want him to think I was available. So I started to spin a web of lies. Then I was curious to see how far I could go, you know, without faltering. Besides, you always keep calling me a bad liar. He was just...in the wrong place at the wrong time, I guess…”, you let out a huge yawn.

Kyungsoo flicked your forehead. “Couldn’t you have found someone else to be your guinea pig? It had to be my lawyer? The airport is swarming with people - ”

“AND viruses!”, you adjusted your mask pointedly, “Yet, here I am. For your ungrateful ass!”

“Soo! HELP”, you cried.

“Forget this ever happened. You’re never going to see him again, anyway”, he was dismissive of your plea.

“Soo, but I want to”, you said in a small voice.

Kyungsoo was too dumbfounded to speak. His eyes did all the talking.

“I want to see him again”, you avoided his eyes.

Still, nothing.

“It’s a crisis situation, Soo!”, defeated, your face slumped into his chest, “I think I’m in love with a man who apparently has a girlfriend and most probably thinks that I’m a pathological liar.”

[flying-elliska]

So I watched Happiest Season (livewatch with @beeexx my fave penguin enthusiast 🐧🐧🐧)

Overall I enjoyed it ? But it's not the light-hearted romcom it's been promoted as.

Spoilers !

The positive:

- Kristen Stewart, het icon of my teen years, is just glowing in this, like she is so happy to be finally playing gay lmao. This is really her story. Her character, Abby, is by turn charming, adorable, funny, and relatably awkward. Also, her glam butch style is just A++. And she has good chemistry with her co-star - they feel and behave like a believable couple (which has been a problem with actresses playing wlw in the past where you could really see they weren’t fully into it.) They were super cute together. This still feels cathartic somehow, like Bella Swan decided to go see a therapist instead of going off the deep end and finally figured herself out.

- I loved that this isn't the "token gays in a sea of straightness" trope. Abby's BFF is gay and really funny - and this particular trope feels a lot less annoying when the gay BFF is there for another gay person so it's more like queer solidarity instead of him being a prop for a straight person's development. Him trying to play straight was just hilarious. Aubrey Plaza plays Harper's (the other part of the main couple) ex and she is just great, seems a bit shady at first but her helping Abby out was just...so compassionate. Also she is probably the hottest character in this movie let's be real. And I loved the bit where she takes her to a drag bar (the straight bar where Harper goes to seems so drab in comparison fjfj)

- There were some funny, classic rom-com shenanigans moments - the sneaking around, getting stuck in the closet, etc...the creepy twins were quite funny too, if infuriating. My favorite was definitely Jane, the overlooked kooky sister, who "has been writing a fantasy book for the past ten years" (I can relate) and whose overachiever family has pretty much given up on her (I can also relate). 

-Ngl the whole ‘rich people being fake and neurotic and making everything x100 times more difficult than it has to be’ bit felt very realistic. Like, I’ve met those people, and they are just as annoying in this movie as they are in real life. Also a very realistic rep of having to fake who you are in a town full of fake people pleasers and over achievers (even if it was stressful to watch lmao) and how Christmas can bring out the worst in people.

- Even though it has issues, the ending was very heartfelt and I definitely cried. This movie is just really raw and sad in some parts, but in a way that felt genuine and you can tell that a lot of queer people were involved in making it. It really touches on this deep seated anguish of possibly being rejected, of not knowing whether your family is going to accept you or not, on desperately trying to pass because you’re afraid of change...I think a lot of that comes to the actors being really good, like all of them, and really acting their heart out. And the moment where the dad decides to forego a big donor/supporter because he doesn’t want to force his daugther to hide really touched me. I also really liked the part where the BFF talks about how everybody’s coming out journey can be different and it’s important to remember that, especially if you have the chance to come from a very tolerant background.

The Less Positive

- The movie has been criticized for being weirdly apolitical (for instance the dad is a mayor but we never learn anything about his actual political opinions) but tbh this is supposed to be a Hallmark-like holidays movie I think that’s kind of part of the genre to be in this sort of happy slightly tone-deaf bubble and I don’t think straight movies of this type get this sort of criticism so yknow i’m fine with that bit i guess not all queer movies should have to be deeply political (even tho yeah it’s still very homonormative and ‘all about family values’ etc etc)

- Most of the issues I have with this movie center around Harper, Abby’s love interest and the one who lies to her family about their relationship. Now, I think Mackenzie Davis is a really good actress. And I do feel sympathetic for the character. The movie really makes you understand all the pressure she’s under, how her parent’s love is conditional, all the public scrutiny, and why she behaves the way she does. And her finally pulling through made me cheer for her. However, there were a lot of moments in the movie where I was genuinely unsure if I should be rooting for Abby and her to stay together. She does a lot of things that are definitely deeply unhealthy and questionable and had me going ‘Abby pls run away while you still can’. I feel a lot of compassion for her. But I simply don’t think the movie gives us enough happy time with Abby and Harper for me to really want them to be together as a couple -they spend a big part of the movie being mad at each other. They should have given us more scenes with them at the start to really get a feel of who they are as characters and as a couple, so when it gets rough, we actually root for them to pull through. This is an issue a lot of mediocre romances have - they assume we will root for the characters just because they’re said to be in love. For me, that doesn’t really work. And even though the ending made me quite emotional (again, great acting) - as a romance, it doesn’t really work for me.

- I really liked the bit where the family realized they had been putting this pressure on each other to be perfect and as they shared all these secrets they finally came together as a family. But...honestly, the family started out as just so profoundly neurotic it felt a bit unbelievable (and their social circles felt like a nightmare). A bit like Abby and Harper’s relationship being all ok after Harper’s big change of heart. The whole ‘mom’s secret desire to do karate but it’s unlady-like’ being put on the same level as her daughter’s coming out had me rolling my eyes. And there is a forced coming out scene which I really really hate.

- I think what I am really tired of, is queer movies who center coming out so much, the anxiety of being accepted or not, etc. And who present coming out as this revolutionary process that is going to change everything immediately. In my experience, at least, it’s often a process of small inches, towards self acceptance, towards your family coming to terms and learning to be less unconsciously bigoted, sometimes good intentions, sometimes microagressions or being erased, etc etc. I also just really want queer stories and queer romances who are not centered on coming out, on ‘what will others/my family think’, who have shenanigans and tension based on other things, with characters who might struggle with self acceptance sometimes (or not) but who have other things going on as well and who are fuller characters. It’s about damn time. Until then, the movies we have will end up feeling a lot like a PSA for straight people.

Overall

I still think this is a pretty quality movie. Good acting, believable and often funny dialogue, good chemistry, etc. (And let’s be honest, the bar for wlw movies is uhhhh not very high.) I really enjoyed watching Kristen Steward play gay and have chemistry with pretty ladies. There was room for holiday gay movies (even tho I want to see more, with more diverse characters).

It feels like wish-fullfillment for a certain type of queer person - (upper) middle class, with parents who are...ambiguously accepting. It does transcribe well this tension of not really being to predict their reaction - and illustrates the importance of being very obviously accepting with your children - like tell them it’s okay for them to be gay from the start, even if they turn out to be straight - otherwise they will be left wondering if they’re not. It’s this fantasy that everything will turn out all-right after you come out, you will fit in your family better than before, your mistakes will be forgiven if you are earnest enough, and life can go on as usual but better. And it is sweet, and cathartic, in a way, even if not revolutionary.

But yeah, as a romance, I wasn’t entirely sold on it. And I think it was promoted as a lot more uplifting than it really was.

[trickstercaptain-archive]

       okay so let’s write a novel talk about actual trainwreck of a character Jack Sparrow in this movie. so there are spoilers under this so don’t read if YOU DON’T WANNA BE SPOILED because I’ve been waiting months to write this and now I finally can:

      the scene that annoyed me the MOST was when Barbossa and Jack release the Pearl back into her true form, and this was a theme throughout the movie. long story short, they get it out of the bottle and they throw the model-size Black Pearl into the ocean and she sinks briefly before rising up into her full majesty and JACK DIDN’T EVEN LOOK REMOTELY BOTHERED WHEN SHE SANK. and this was my problem -- particularly in the second half of the film -- that when it was required of Jack to show emotion, he didn’t. he was actually fine during the first half and showed some decent emotional range, but something really weird happened around the half-way point and honestly, when the Pearl briefly sunk, Hector looked more bereft than Jack did, which makes absolutely no sense. both of them should have been saddened, but Jack has literally fucking died for that ship twice, so he should have been heartbroken -- particularly when it was established early in the movie that Jack was keeping the Pearl on his person, under his coat, above his heart. idk whether it was the editing or the take they eventually used in post-production, but it was seriously odd. and likewise, Jack gives two reactions to Hector’s death, but imo there’s not nearly enough emotion in them for the audience to believe that these two individuals have known each other for half of their lives. it seemed very half-assed, which is basically this entire movie in summary, but something honestly really bothered me about Jack’s characterisation in the second half in particular and I still can’t quite put my finger on it, but he seemed very disinterested in what was going on. the first half was lazy writing, but I kind of want to say that the second half was lazy writing and lazy acting.

        also, let’s talk about the fact that Jack was so stupid he didn’t even realise that you’d need to put the Pearl back into the water for her to grow in size. Hector seriously showed most of the smarts out of the two of them in this movie. the fact that Jack at one point admits he’s a bed wetter, says ‘spaghetti wolves’ when he’s woken up from a drunken stupor, and asks for 200-odd barrels of rum from Barbossa along with the chance to eat Jack the Monkey tells you the kind of infantile stupid Jack was being in this movie.

      now this is the thing with Jack in DMTNT -- I could ultimately see what they were trying to do, and it kind of worked in the first half, but it was so poorly executed because ultimately they created a contradiction for themselves. the directors and Johnny have stated on multiple occasions that Jack is now apparently a character without arc or development, and yet they put him into a narrative where he is supposed to change in some way between the start and end point. I said this before when I remarked last week that it was ironic he had an ‘arc’ in this movie considering those comments: he’s meant to get somewhere, regain his rep, return to a ( mostly ) sober state -- but they kept stagnating him in the narrative because he is this weird arc-less character at this point. it just didn’t make any fucking sense. if you’re going to put a static character into a narrative ( as Jack apparently is nowadays ), then you don’t put him in it at a relative low point, changed from the last time we saw him as an audience and apt to change/develop along the course of the narrative as he ‘redeems’ himself. you’re just writing yourself into a brick wall. he should have been FINE the moment the Black Pearl was restored, but they kept returning him to this earlier drunken, idiotic state without reason even after that point and it just made the whole thing really sloppy. you want to paint Jack at his lowest point? well by doing so, you’re giving the audience a stake in seeing Jack redeem himself and return to the character we know and love -- and yet there was no obvious sign that had happened, no natural development that saw him slowly but steadily getting his groove back and taking control of his own narrative until the very end, when suddenly he was absolutely fine even though he’d been fighting plot convenient alcoholism for the entire movie. 

      but, let’s be honest~

      he was essentially inconsequential to this plot, save from the beginning when he acts as the catalyst for Salazar’s escape. he wasn’t very active whatsoever, nor was he really ever in control, save for when he takes Henry and Carina hostage, and even then the scene where Jack threatens Carina, Jack doesn’t appear very threatening -- mostly incompetent, and this is a theme. normally, Jack is always in control of his own actions, and he hates it when he’s not -- it’s a hallmark quality of his character because he values his personal freedom above all else. here he kinda gets passed around from character to character -- more as a burden, than anything, and boy was he a burden on this narrative. in the second half in particular, he was just sort of there, making the odd joke every now and again, with Carina as the biggest drive in this narrative. she continually pushed the plot forward, more so than Henry, but another problem this movie suffered from was pacing. at no point did the editing seem to take a breather or focus on the characters -- either the characters were making jokes, or they were making clunky expositional statements that was more of a ‘say what you see’ and ‘repeatedly say what we have to do to resolve the plot’ kind of thing rather than the ‘show not tell’ rule. 

      Henry and Carina could have been developed more, as could have Carina and Barbossa -- I think some of Jack’s strongest scenes were actually with Carina, surprisingly enough, because at least they seemed to have a bit of banter back and forth, and the Jack and Henry stuff was kinda decent. but the characters didn’t feel like characters -- not the ones I know and love anyway. I think Hector was the best character out of the originals ( Geoffrey did great with what he had to work with ), and Salazar was pretty good on the whole, but Javier could have been given more to work with -- and with Jack acting like a five year old whenever the two got close to each other, it didn’t really work.

      stuff that did work though in regards to Jack imo: his entrance was pretty good and true to form across the franchise, and the bank robbery scene was fun and felt like potc ( I especially liked the look Gibbs stole at Jack when they were approaching the bridge. AND THERE WAS ANOTHER MOMENT WHEN GIBBS SAVED JACK’S LIFE THAT I LIKED A LOT ). Jack asking his crew for tribute when he’d lost the money was utterly stupid ( that’s not how pirate ships work and honestly several times across this movie I think Jack deserved to be left behind/abandoned because he was acting like a complete fucking needy idiot ), but I think the most emotion he showed in the movie was in that scene when his crew left him -- it fucking KILLED me tbh because HE LOOKS AT GIBBS LAST AND GIBBS JUST GIVES HIM THIS MOST SYMPATHETIC LOOK AND MY HEART STILL HURTS. most of the stuff on Saint Martin for Jack was pretty decent because he felt like Jack -- the problems came once he got out to sea and every so often he’d just regress into a whiny infant for no reason at all. the sleazy stuff kinda annoyed me -- I could have done without the Carina scene on the boat or his continued insistence on ‘horologist,’ and his description of Elizabeth was Unnecessary. but mainly he was just annoying.

      the problem is, he showed absolutely no smarts in this movie, save for the flashback. he had to constantly be saved by others, lucked his way out of most situations -- and the shark scene was Okay because he showed that he could and was willing to save Henry multiple times, but he just wasn’t very proactive at all in this narrative. he was just there, waiting for stuff to happen to him. he saved Carina once which was good, and there were moments when it looked like he was playing the mentor figure to both Henry and Carina, particularly when he was the one to keep bringing up their crushes on each other, but it didn’t really go anywhere. the script had robbed him of all of his wit and charm, which is what made him likeable in the first three movies.

      as for the flashback scene -- I didn’t hate it, even though I wanted to. I could have done without the whole part where the crew gave Jack famous pieces of his costume because a) that’s dumb and TPOF handles his costume better and b) it contradicts everything Johnny has said about picking up pieces of his costume on his adventures over the years. the CGI was pretty good, and I loved them showing Jack as this intelligent and dangerous pirate who traps Salazar without remorse because he needed to put an end to his reign of terror over the seas. I also could have done without it being the Wicked Wench but eh I’m just over it at this point. the point at which it came in the story was pretty random though -- like I understand it was Salazar’s monologue but it just seemed inserted for the sake of ‘ah yes time to show off our CGI technology.’ they could have used it to better showcase how far Jack had fallen since then tbh.

       oh and one last shoutout - ‘Captain Jack Sparrow is dead. buried in an unmarked grave on Saint Martin’ I LOVE. and the scene when Jack walks into the pub and his wanted poster has been changed so his bounty is only £1 as opposed to £100. the visual gag of that worked really well. as did the whole guillotine sequence. that was one of the strongest scenes in the movie tbh. 'you’re to be executed’ ‘executed?!?!! well I’m never coming back here again’ he was drunk af but the pettiness worked in that scene lmfaoo

       OH AND NOT PUTTING JACK IN A SCENE WITH WILL AND ELIZABETH IS STUPID AF

[scope-dogg]

Brave Police J-Decker: Final Thoughts and Impressions

I’ve seen three installments of Sunrise’s venerable old Braves metaseries now, with the other two being Goldran, the series that immediately followed on from J-Decker, and Gaogaigar, the final and most famous entry. J-Decker is closer in tone to the silly escapades of Goldran rather than the relatively more serious plot of Gaogaigar, but it still falls somewhere in the middle. The result is a series that’s frequently lighthearted with humour that anyone of any age could enjoy, but at the same time it handles the topics it raises, the most prominent being the relationship between AI and humans, with surprising maturity and pathos. At the same time, it also carries high production values and avoids many of the pitfalls that have traditionally hampered other series in this franchise (including, bemusingly, Goldran, its successor.) The result is a quite excellent series that I recommend highly.

The setup is that in the future, advances in technology have brought with them advances in criminal threats, with the criminals of the future using giant robots and mutant creatures. In response, the Japanese police commission a new project, a high-spec robot policeman. However, one day, 5th-grade Yuuta Tomonaga stumbles upon the secret hangar where the robot, dubbed Deckerd, is being constructed. Deckerd only has rudimentary functions at first, but as Yuuta continues to visit he becomes more and more human in his mannerisms and ways of thinking. Upon the truth of Deckerd’s newly acquired “soul” becoming apparent to the police, they decide to place young Yuuta in charge of the new project. As new members and abilities are added to the fledgling Brave Police unit, they venture forth and do battle against the many strange and sinister criminal plots plaguing futuristic society.

The idea of a robot police is broadly similar to another Sunrise series, that being the Patlabor TV series, and oddly enough J-Decker has a similar episode structure. Most of the episodes are one-off, self-contained plot, with longer plot arcs cropping up only every so often. It actually works quite well, as usually each of these contained plots focuses in on a particular member of the cast, all of whom are superb. One of the weaknesses of Goldran was that the Braves, despite the show being named after them, didn’t really match the charisma of the human cast. Not so here - Each new member of the Brave Police have really distinct personality, whether it’s the easily excitable and rash Drill Boy, or Gunmax, the motorcycle cop with a harsh and standoffish attitude but who really has a heart of gold. Importantly, they play off of their human counterparts as well as each other really well, and they grow and change in ways that feel appropriate and believable. As newly-programmed AIs they often begin with a lot to learn, and watching them overcome those challenges is gratifying viewing. As for the human cast, while there’s no single character who really stands out in the same manner as Goldran’s trio of protagonists or their flamboyant foil Walter Walzac, J-Decker’s human characters are still well up to par. Young boss Yuuta acts his age instead of like a miniature adult, which is, in my opinion, the prime hallmark of a poorly written child character in an anime. Still, that’s not to say that he’s not capable of playing his part in the story, and on the whole he’s a likable lead character. Supporting characters such as the various other people who make friends with the Brave Police stand out, as does the series’ wild, often zany rogue’s gallery of villains.

The only facet of the plot and characters I feel like I can really criticise has to do with when the writers try to string an extended plotline together over the course of multiple episodes. There are two primary instances of this, once at the halfway point and again right at the end, with both being connected to one another. The halfway point is probably the one that’s more deserving of harsh criticism, as I felt it heralded in J-Decker’s worst stretch of episodes. What starts out as high drama is compromised by the introduction of Duke, the 8th and final Brave Police member as well as his handler, a character called Regina from England. While none of the Braves are bad characters, Duke is easily the blandest, and Regina as a character annoyed me, as she came across as overbearing and obnoxious in a way that often relied on strange character traits and faulty logic. Her behaviour often came across as inconsistent and implausible for the kind of character she was clearly meant to be. Worse, Yuuta goes under a change of his own, becoming really bratty and annoying for a stretch. Meanwhile, what should have been a dramatic and exciting portion of the plot felt like it was compromised by predictable and anticlimactic deus ex machina type moments. Frankly, I couldn’t wait for it to be over. The second time, close to the end, wasn’t anywhere near as bad, but still had the major flaw of a sudden plot twist coming totally out of left field that confused matters and arguably extended the plot past what should have been its dramatic and emotional peak and ideal ending point. Even so, the ending on the whole is a fitting culmination of a whole series’ worth of character development, with just the right amount of drama and emotion, so I don’t want to criticise it too harshly either. Either way, the ratio of poor plot content to good is really quite low.

In terms of presentation, J-Decker is packed with the good old familiar Studio 7 charm, with dynamic and solid quality animation, as well as pretty good music and sound. Mechanical designs in particular strike a good balance between extravagant and tasteful, with some of the more attractive designs from the Braves franchise overall. It probably doesn’t quite rival Gaogaigar but it beats Goldran quite easily. My one complaint is that the customary upgrade to J-Decker, the flagship robot, that takes place at the halfway point is a little dull and at the same time not quite as attractive as the sleeker lines of the original model. One thing worth noting is that J-Decker manages to take it easy on the amount of stock footage, with stuff like extravagant finishing moves and lengthy combination sequences not being abused as much as in other Braves series. It sets J-Decker apart somewhat, as even Gaogaigar struggled with that problem a fair bit, while Goldran was practically smothered in it at points.

Overall, J-Decker is a particularly memorable offering from a memorable franchise. While at heart it’s a kid’s show, it’s definitely not a hard sell to older audiences either. It’s a show with a ton of character that is sure to entertain anyone that gives it a chance. I know it’ll be a tricky series for me to move on from.

Still, that’s what I’ve gotta do. Something new, coming soon.

[scottmapess]

Bitcoin BIG WAVE Incoming! April 2020 Price Prediction & News Analysis

VIDEO TRANSCRIPT

TONY EASTLEY Are we about to witness a massive shift in changing tides in Bitcoin land, or is this the last chance for love me into my salvation, my soul and my soul? Let me let me say let me go to my. Welcome back to crowds could dock people off camera number two. Once again, we are here to discuss some very important price action. However, before you to that. I do need to make a massive announcement because there’s been a lot of confusion surrounding this, but it’s understandable. And of course, it’s has to do with the Dischord community. So if you are part of the general community in the inner discord, the link, of course, in the script, him down below, you’ll notice that probably all of your acts has been taken away from all of the channels that you could once see. We actually initiated a whole new verification process, kind of get rid of all of the there’s a whole bunch of fuckin fuckery going around, which isn’t really like the short answer to it. And we just kind of want to clean out and do a little bit of a little bit of spring cleaning. If you want to call it that spring in Finland, actually postpone for a little bit of time because it is actually little is known here, right here right now anyways. More on topic. God dammit, crown focus. But the thing is, is that if you have not already verified yourself, the only way to verify yourself, listen very, very carefully, because this is really important. If you do want to get back into this core channel as you’ll have to leave the channel. You have to. Sorry, leap not not leave the channel, but leave the server completely the server and then re join the server and you can find a link in the description below. You can also find it on our website. Crown trading dot net. And it’s you know, it’s just right there for you anyways. More importantly, once you rejoin once you’ve actually rejoined the server after leaving it, you’ll be prompted with a private message, direct message where the fuck you want to call it that will show up in the top left hand side of your of your discord, pop up whatever it is, and it will be from ah, lovely welcome Sentinel Baute titled or his name I believe his alter identifier hlt dtn t.i fbi. Ah, if I spell proper I don’t know. So gonna problem name in the home on that crown. You don’t not spell well actually. Well good. I know I a. And importantly spelling doesn’t matter. But the important point is is that that bot will damu some instructions on how to verify yourself. It’s a very, very simple process. I know it’s annoying, but it is necessary to make the whole community better. In general, we’re trying to really up the quality of what’s going on. I think that discussions have kind of been devolving maybe sometimes. So we decided to put it in for that veto for those reasons. Then, of course, to get rid of all the spam bots and everything as well, it’s that’s really, really fucking annoying and in some ways even harmful anyways. So with regards to that, you’ll be positive you’ll be prompted with that private message. So that means that if you aren’t accepting private messages or or direct messages from from server members, then you’ll need to enable that. I believe it’s under your privacy settings for discord. And then the bot will be able to send you a private message. It will set you up with a link on how to verify yourself. It will try to do some sort of capture. Or maybe it will. Or maybe it’ll allow you to verify yourself through like Twitter or Reddit or YouTube, some social media venue. That’s pretty much applicable to everyone. And then again, for that, you know, for 4, people don’t have anything like that. The capture option is there as well. And once you’ve done that, it’ll give you a specific role and then you will be had in. Then you’ll be granted all your access as you had before. And so the community obviously going to be a lot more smaller now, but more intimate. And to be a to be honest with you. I really, really, really, really, really like that scene more than like the fucking massive crowd, which can get a little bit overwhelming at times. And you know what? You know, when crowds get bigger and everything, it’s like I feel like people value each other less because it’s like, oh, well, there’s another person about it over here. Well, now that it’s more intimate, once again, I have a feeling that it’s gonna bring back that the community feel anyways. Okay. Jesus Christ man, there’s a bunch of boring shit that you’re prolly not even interested in anyways. Put for the people who I want to make sure that you have that information right there. Again, if you are if you were already a part of the discourse community, what you will need to do now is you need to leave and then rejoin if you don’t already have yourself verified. And then and then all good anyways. OK. Getting on over here in Truthy crunching allocation, which I have a very devastating announcement to make actually in a little bit more of a somber tone. I do want to look into the camera because this is a little bit serious. Our developer is our developers wife who who’s working on this. And she was going to have the open interest chart ready hopefully by yesterday on foot. And that’s not gonna be happening because his wife is showing symptoms of the Corona virus. And by extension, you know, them living together. He’s probably, you know, if she has it, he prolly has it as well. So right now he’s gonna he’s gonna go get checked out and hopefully, you know, we’re gonna we’re going to keep our fingers crossed and everything’s fine. But at the end of the day, you know, priorities call right now. And so he’ll have to take care of that. You know, we wish him well and everything. And and I’m sure that and I’m sure that most people here even know him in the community. But for right now, all updates gonna have to be postponed for a little bit of time for obvious reasons. So, again, looking back into right now, I kind of switch up gears once again, but. The open interest, we do see open interest coming down about 20 to 30 million from yesterday to today, which shows us that we have still yet to see the big bad break that we’re looking for. Whether it even comes the upset or the downside, referencing the beginning of this video. Are we seeing that? Are we seeing a changing of tides or are we seeing the last chance for love? Well, I can present the case for both. But there are some damned. But anytime you have that sort of an edge, it offers up a really, really, really, really, really nice trading while trading plan, I suppose, anyways. With that said, it’s still in the. It’s still within the context of the open interest here that we are consulting before this next change behavior, so to speak, on the lower and medium timeframes. Now, can that extrapolate to the upper heart-to-heart to the higher and the macro timeframes? Yes, absolutely. But those levels are still very much the same as we’ve been discussing for like the last month or so now. And and you can go and you can reference the long term analysis video that I uploaded on Sunday and the long term analysis playlists, which which will go into much more detail on that anyways. On top of that, all other all other metrics for the underlying market dynamics are more or less the same. Crypto Fear and Greed Index popped up a few points here from a from an 11 read to a 15. Again, if there’s anything that does make me lean a little bit more towards OK, this could be a fake out or we actually do have a nice move to the upside. It would be that you wouldn’t expect the market to be so fearful when well, when quite little, the price session has doubled off the lows. That is a pretty damn good hallmark actually of a change of type. Anyways, what’s more important is actual was is actual price action because we’re just looking at a derivative right now. And so it’s going to price action charts right here. And what do you see? Bitcoin hovering right around the daily twenty minutes, Benjamin average. And there’s a lot to say about this right here. So with yesterday’s big wake up, you know, testing all the way down to six, five is reaching a closing right around. What kind of closing price will you get? About 68, 68, 50, it looks like amongst mode, most major changes. It still offers up the potential for a nice hunt to the upside and maybe even a shift in market direction to the upside. But at the levels to delineate the shifts, in my opinion, are more or less the same as what we saw yesterday. So going into our lower term time frames, what I really want to focus on here is the four hour, actually. This is one of the few times well, not one of the few times, but but this this I think I think things are just most clear from the 4:00 hour right here when usually, you know, it’s a higher term time frames than the other guy. But but looking at the four hour right here, of course, we did get a fake out Golden Cross back in the Death Cross. And now as long as we are below, especially the Green 55 expedition, we average. And and by extension that you wanted X Benjamin average. There is pressure down. Of course. But could the tides of bitcoin change for the short and medium time frames here, backup to the upside? Yes, absolutely. What would be needed from each kind of jump back on that train? And I mean, quite literally, a four hour delay closure of the 200X Benjamen average at 60 950 ish region to again look at your exchange is going to be different amongst, you know, amongst many of them. Interesting. Opening closures above that region. Yes. Likely does align itself with, at the very least, another attempt backup towards this local high, about sunny 158 region for the short term and for the medium term backup likely to this Bluebox territory right around here. So I do need to put in a few more because I am looking at the lower term time frames right here. And what I’m talking about is this guy right here. There is. This is only relevant to the low term time frames. I mean, to be very careful with the way that I express myself here, because this is where I think it’s easiest for me to not not not say things in the way that I should be saying them. But what I’m trying to get on our side. What I’m trying to explain here is that the short term time frames still a game between essentially, let’s call it 60, 750, if you want to be a let’s call it six, seven hundred on a more conservative note into the upside about say sixty nine 50ish region and you can make a nice liquids home right here even as well if you’re if you’re like looking at the very low time frames and I can put a another another Bluebox right here. So again, as long as bitcoin is below this. Bluebox it’s still pressure down. My my overall bias is still certainly to the downside as long as below there. If Bitcoin gets above there on a short term time frame out at the very least, look for another retest of this local high, about Sony 150. And realistically speaking, I do think that, you know, personally, I think Bitcoin would gun for the next medium term timeframe range back up to about 70 373 50ish reaching give or take about 50 bucks. Now, above there, things can change for them for the hired macro term time frames. If we close, say, like a 12 hour total, especially above seventy three fifty or seventy four hundred is region, I would target another move and then another extension. Kind of what we’re looking at last week during this redistribution of fave phase right here all the way up to about seventy eight hundred seventy nine hundred is region in this Bluebox territory correlated with our prior historical Autoblog, not just coming in from March of this year, but actually all the way in in this sort of breakout territory that we saw in late twenty nineteen before this four thousand dollar move up from sixty five to ten five. So a you know a very massive area from historical from historical standpoint. But at the end of the day the the these sort of triggering effects for that are more or less the same for myself. And now which is kind of I’m just kind of churn out the lower term time frames because while real estate very little is change other than that and we need more things talked about because what the fuck of, you know, what the fuck what else are you gonna do on a Tuesday? I’m. Not going to do too much. Oh, I forgot about I forgot to talk about Twitch, I probably I probably won’t be doing Twitch Day. I need to go to the doctor again later and probably not going to be good news. So I will be on very, very, very, very, very likely. So. Fair enough. Anyways, for the downside. For the downside, actually. You still into the downside here, especially as long as we’re below sixty nine 50ish region and I will hold short as long as were below that region as well, especially on an open and closed basis for a $4 timeframe. But the downside is a little more diabolical because we do have this trendline that’s been coming in all the way from Saarland. Put these back on all the way back in from our March 13 lows right here in the last few local lows, 1 2. You could even count this as 3, you know, depending upon how you kind of aggressively put this over here. But say, you know, it’s it’s it’s it’s more or less getting the same area. And what’s more important to me is the correlation with the horizontal right here, which I do believe is getting it properly. So what does that mean? That means that if we actually do break sixty seven hundred, especially on a four hour total closure, and realistically, because this area is so big and it’s not just a low term timeframe area, it’s a medium time frame area as well. And you could even by extension make that a higher term time for. We are looking at the culmination of the last month to a month and a half a price action right here in this kind of rising Channel ish formation, which is further verified by the volume signature for the verified by the open interest signature, you know, kind of coming. Sorry. Awesome. Between the 550 million and 700 million dollar mark. And now and also and also by lesser extension. Well, actually, more extension as as as I think that this gets a little bit better for our historical multi-tier percentile, actually, maybe you could even use it daily at this point to yacht’s contracting still quite a bit. But overall, that area is holding a lot of weight myself. So I wouldn’t look for the next big bad breakdown in bitcoin price action until we realistically break this this Bluebox right here. I want to see like a full on clean enclosure below sixty seven hundred on an open, inclosed basis. I’d be beautiful for the more aggressive traders they might be looking at about sixty seven fifty right here. I think that that’s also relevant, but I don’t see the need to be aggressive in this region as this would initiate a measure moved from this rising channel, or if you want to call it a rising wedge. What are the fuck you want to call it? The implication is the same. Redistribution is the name of the game here. As far as I’m concerned, as long as you believe in as long as we’re living below, you know, I mean shit 7d twenty three to thirty four hundred. I do believe that it would initiate a match move all the way down here towards about forty eight fifty forty nine hundred is region now of course it would be a little bit you know, a little bit lofty to say that you know if bitcoin breaks this area we’re gonna for sure have a two about a 2009 move to the downside. I do believe that there’s gonna be bounce along the way and perhaps even you do have a reversal somewhere along there as well. We’d have to see that in real time. But proverbially speaking, because it is you know, it is in the cards right here. And and I do want to be thorough with the way that I talk about this. You know, I technically it is there, although I would be looking for bounces around about 60, 400, then 60 or so. Fifty nine hundred and fifty six hundred. And then all the way down to the tippy top bottom at about forty nine forty eight fifty ish region ish. You know, give or take a few bucks. So at the end of the day I do still think that there’s pressure down and and I don’t really have any reason to be even medium term bullish as long as we’re above let’s call it seventy three to seventy four hundred each region. That area very important not just for the medium term timeframe, but also for the high and the macro time frames. You can see that that’s our daily 55 expensive damage right here. Our last local high, if you want to call it that. And then also if we go to the monthly, a time frame, which I think is incredibly important for long term direction macro you might even call it. We do see the yellow twenty one Benjamin average hovering right around actually a little bit below S300 300 treason. To be fair, going back through the annals of history here, we do see if we go to be alecks index. That big one has a lovely interplay on plane off that yellow twenty minutes Namche for both his bull and bear phases whenever above it, generally good whenever blow generally bad looking at the slope of it. Also further confirms that more long term narrative of a macro’s of you know, of a macro trend. Any time that we have a you know, anytime that we’re living below it and also has a negative slope, well, that’s this area right here where we where where we get stuck below it. We do test a few times up, but on an O on a closing basis, always below. And then boom, big move down. Then a positive slope emerges as bitcoin B gains it right over here and massive move from 300 bucks to twenty thousand dollars. It’s kind of crazy. And that same thing in 2018 to a lesser extent, not as not, you know, not as crazy here. And then once again, it looks like we are once again in danger of of really opening and closing our first multi dollar below it since, well, 2018, which I do believe would really sexual line with those for the target to the downside. But again, you know, on you know, this channel is all about trading, not about fuckin’ being an analyst and trying to like have the call, you know, because it doesn’t matter. It doesn’t matter if you fucking call some if you don’t if you don’t trade for it. So, you know, for free to look for it. For full disclosure, I’m still holding my short from like 70 two hundred. I will close it above 7000 or sixty nine fifty depending upon what I see on a closing basis. And. And I’ll just kind of let the let the let the chips fall where they may. As it’s relatively easy to cover right here. Anyways, on top of that I do want to go back to the daily and talk about some that I again I don’t really talk about this too much, although I have been. More and more we use for a reason, it’s kind of funny. I used to give this I see this indicator a lot of shit, but it actually does. It actually does kind of help my my analysis or at least confirm my analysis using other tools in a more direct way. And that’s the good old Mac de the McDonald’s indicator. And what do you know? We do see that the Mac, he did get up right at right above the zero read and now looking like it’s getting a little bit a little bit tired here. More important than that, we do see obviously bearish divergence between this point and this point. So the momentum to the upside is waning. The question is, though, do we get another spike up to meet this trend line and and play out another move, maybe up to 73? Does that move get us all the way up to maybe even seventy nine or eight thousand? Possible, yes. But you can see that over the lot. You know, over the long period time, it’s momentum being gain to the downside right here. This is all the way throughout February of twenty twenty, by the way, all the way down to March 13th, of course. And now momentum waning to the waning to the upside right here. While these guys get ready to potentially kiss and maybe even cross. Now, of course, that’s not the way to be using the the, you know, the Mac to you just waiting for like, you know, we got a cross. It’s across time. It’s it’s easy now. Not not necessarily. But. But if this cross happens alongside a major level being broken, well, now we have something to really discuss. And do we have a major level in play here? Yes, absolutely. As we just looked at. I mean, shit, man, even if we break this Bluebox right here in close, a daily deal to open and close it daily. A of the 21 which we actually did close yesterday is below I believe. Yeah, just barely. But we did and and especially below let’s call it sixty seven six seven hundred. Then yes I do believe that will that will really initiate the momentum back onto the downside. Further, further confirmed by our lovely daily Stoke’s right here crossing back down from the cross, back down from the critical zone. And I do believe that the two day and three day are kind of set to follow. Actually, no, not not necessarily too much. But let’s let’s let’s take this one step further. So we have this lovely reverse stock indicator cross right here. And what we can see from this is at which point it would actually cross back onto the downside. And what you know, it’s right around 60, 70, 50 ish regions. So I love the confluence there saying that, hey, that area, it’s not it’s not adjusting exactly. What we’re gonna do is just saying that that area is a big area if we start to close these higher timeframes below it. I would expect price actually to come back down below 6000 and, you know, test those areas that we spoke about earlier. Again, you don’t want, you know, want to remain open minded here with price action as overall the higher term timeframes are still are still are still mostly bearish to myself. Looking at the two day right here, I you know, I always come back down to this. I know there’s probably an annoying for the people who 200’s content daily, but for the people who are new here, we do have a very lovely and very, very, very, very, very. One of my favorite cross’, especially for Bitcoin. It’s a two day delay death cross right here, which is getting more and more momentum away from each other. So the strength, the strength of this cross or site D. This cross is strengthening to the downside as you see more and more devons between these two moving to the 55 and a 200. And what does that mean? That means that the balton obviously switching on their cell programs slowly but surely. And as long as we are below the yellow twenty one next from an average, especially on a closing basis, I am more immediately bearish. Doesn’t mean that we can’t pop back up in tests around this region. Yes, it’s it’s so certainly very much within the cards. But as but you know, as long as we’re closing below, that is my disposition from a more defensive standpoint as a trader. Again, you know, I know that like analysts love to get caught up in the fuckin in the fuckin. What do you mean when to call? I wanted to talk about it. Jesus Christ, man. But you know, worst both to the upside and the downside. Beautiful, beautiful cross upside right here. Thousand of fourteen, 14000. Lovely. Before that, we have a great example in 2018. And we do get the death cross here in September 2018. And then Bitcoin does has a 55 once along the way, gets shuffled back down below the twenty one and and it’s and as soon as we lose it right it over here. And by the way, by the way, between cross time and doom’s drop time was from September early September 2018 to November of 2018. So September, October, November. So two to three months realistically. And that produced this lovely drop right here, 52 percent to the downside. Then we have another massively amazing cross the upside in 2015. It was leanness all the way from three hundred and twenty thousand. And then going back a little bit before that, we do see the last death cross before that right here. This one a little bit more similar kind of what we’re doing right now as well. We do see the price action very far away from the cross itself. Yes, the twenty one is governing it, but bitcoin regains at test 55. Sounds familiar to the twenty eighteen one. Right. And then once it loses the twenty one once again on an open and closed basis, it is doom’s drop time all the way down to about 54 percent to the downside. Now again from cross right. And over here this was this was middle of of October to doom’s dropped. You want to call it right here. This was December, early December. So you know, October, November, December, like two and a half months, two months, depending. On where you kind of call it from. And then what do you know right after that? Like we just said, about a 50 percent drop. So, you know, much, much, much in line now two times does not make a trend, of course. But we are working on a third iteration right here. So, you know, if you know, I you know, I think that is of interest. And if we would just play around with numbers, just out of curiosity, if we were to shave 50 percent off price action, because that is, you know, kind of like the going rate from what we’ve seen in the past as meat is always going to do that. But but just put things in perspective that would imply Target all the way down to about thirty five thirty six hundred ish region, which does actually line up with of course one of our one of our lovely gaps on semi’s right here coming in back from what was this February twenty nineteen at the thirty five fifty ish region. So we do see some things aligning with that. And I think if we take it even one step further and put on what is a really, really, really, really, really important movement of true myself in traditional markets, which I think is going to take a bigger pull position in Bitcoin as time goes on. In fact, we already kind of see it being respected here. That’s a 3 7 7. And whereas that committed around it’s coming in around that thirty six hundred all our numbers. So Bitcoin didn’t want to pop back down around there and test it. I think that that would make more or less sense. But I do want to keep an open mind here because bitcoin does want to test the upside. It there’s really not much stopping it from above like 73, 50 to 70, 400 to the eight thousand dollar regions. So if Bitcoin wanted to you know, if the market movers wanted to wash out all the overlevered shorts, they could very easily do it. What makes me think that that’s less likely to happen is all those crosses that we spoke about, plus momentum turning back onto the downside on a bunch different tools that we’ve been using and then open interest volume and volatility all agreeing that we’re very much sure within this formation right here. And when I say mature, I mean that, you know, theoretically speaking, we are definitely more than 25 percent for in this formation right here. If we’re if we’re working towards an apex of about April 19th, April 20th region. So that would suggest that at the very least, Bitcoin will be forced into a decision at around basically the end of this week, April, April 19th to April 20th. So that’s a little bit less than one week from today. So by next Monday, it will be forced. And and sometimes, you know, you do get you get you do get patterns that drone on a little bit. And if no direction is chosen, meaning no direction like like no big move. And we’re looking for a big move here. We’re looking for you know, we’re looking for either a thousand moves the upside or a $2000 move to the downside. Realistically speaking, then then, you know, typically, you know, gets a little bit more time after that. And then something new will emerge from it doesn’t happen all that often, but can happen. So. Fair enough. Good. Good to talk about nonetheless. This is further confirmed by, I believe, the volatility signature, which the volatility signature to me suggests more downside as well. The reason why I say that is because it actually precipitates what we see on the volume and the open interest. And to me, that is more important. It’s more it’s it’s maybe maybe a less direct way of looking at it, but it’s a more leading indicator than the other two, which provides a shit ton of value. And as you can see right here, we contracted all the way from March 13th basically to where we are right now. And once again, it’s expanding. And you see that it’s sustain an expansion over here above the moving average on this. And and on top of that, it’s gaining. It’s it’s it’s it’s gaining to the it’s not to the upside. It’s the volatility. It’s expanding more and more. So the momentum of the volatility is expanding. That’s the word that I’m looking for, which is really important distinction to be made, because as price action comes to the downside from that from that point, by the way, this was the apex right here, quite clearly at the top. And now the expansion phase coming as bitcoin is literally trending to the downside. Does make me lean towards the downside as well. Momentum also does on the lower term timeframes like our like a lovely Stoke’s actually not agreeing with that. We do see that for our stocks. Are she upright here? Just out of curiosity, the reverse stock indicator would say that we have to close below. Where? Oh, isn’t that lovely? Love it when the market agrees with itself at 6 750. So, you know, sixty seven hundred I think is still just an easier or more conservative way of looking at it. But botanically speaking, we have several things from both the higher term time frames and these lower term time frame saying 60 750 is the error to watch for the downside as we’re not just, you know, breaking below, there wouldn’t just kind of produce another another low and confirm this as a downtrend. You know, lower lows and lower highs. Kind of crazy, but it would also it would also it would also switch the momentum back on as we break that level. So so looking at the 3 hour, I’d expect something relatively similar. Oh, what do you know? Six, seven, fifty. Again, what do we see on the two hour sixty seven fifty fucking again. What do we see on the hourly sixty nine hundred. That’s actually technically down right now. So as long as Bitcoin is below sixty nine especially, but I could even say sixty nine fifty to seven thousand this region, even the lower term time frames are kind of difficult here. So. So funnily enough actually while we are here on the outer they by the way he struck about two trips until rather low. It’s in the single digits right now. So we probably ought to be looking at at the very least a short term move, you know, a short term move to to Shihri the tops of the range or the bottom of the range sooner rather than later. And again, this contraction phase coming at. A nice move to the downside. Contracts, price action moves up. What happens when volatility is set to expand once again? Well, looking at open interest going down from yesterday to today would suggest that that that increase in price action with shorts closing. Which means that if bears want to put back on their big red dildos and start throwing them around, they very easily have plenty of ammo to go in dry with that. So that’s why I still align with the bears right here. But hey, I’d be happy to switch round. You know, if if price action warrants that, at the end of the day, again, we’re traders here, not fucking analysts. So not, you know, not really worthwhile to get stuck in these more gang like views. This is what I look at the maths. Look at the 12 hour. There’s a really good computing narrative to everything that I’m saying. And usually when in doubt, the 12 hour tells the truth. What do we see here? Twelve ourselves crossing up from the exact same trend line that we focused on. Oh, I guess I do already have it. No, I don’t have it in from the exact same trend line that we focused on yesterday. So if I am going to be wrong and you know, you know an overall direction, well, that would be a pretty damn good insight that I’m gonna be wrong. I think already have this trend line over here. We’re technically living a little bit below, but doesn’t he be perfect? You know, this is more of a regression than anything. Stokes is gonna be more floaty and flighty. Stalk vaulted percentile on the 12 are very much waiting. We are fully contracted. Well, we’re not fully contracted, but we can still go a little bit longer. But that does suggest that this next expansion phase, we’re gonna see expansion come from all of the lower timeframes and the higher term timeframes. So it should be a pretty a pretty nice move overall. Mm. Um. What else do you want to talk about. Okay. So let’s go look at tradition marks right now. Let’s go look at aemon futures. He’s been kind of a new staple of these of these videos as I think it’s interesting. And and what do we see here, a move back up to the top sort of the range. So we do know or say, which, you know, we don’t we don’t know anything, or at least the more that the more that I learn, the more that I realize I don’t know fucking shit. It’s like really frustrating, actually, but. But overall, overall, looking at you many features right now and and coming into it with a mindset that we do see a correlation between tradition marks and Bitcoin. I think that all the people are saying that it’s not correlated, are starting to really like be quiet about it and fair enough. I you know, obviously I have my Twitter thread on that if you want to. If you wanted if you wanted to bait that, just please go watch that. We don’t need to fucking do it here. I don’t want to go through another like 20 minutes of content that I’ve done a million times. I would I would greatly appreciate it both better for you and myself. If you just go on Twitter and there’s a nice Twitter thread explaining that and you feel free, you can feel free to disagree as well. Maybe even changes in the features while possible, but with many features getting back into the tops of the range. Does bitcoin actually test back up to 70 feet or is any 400? I think it actually could. This would be the most the most supporting of that argument to myself at least. And but the question is, do we put in another local high here? It looks to me like a mini e. Many features are getting a little bit tired in this range as momentum starts to be a little bit tail off on the athlete. Now, do I really trust, you know, post-market type? I mean, not post Magots features, but. But do I trust data? That’s, you know, in nonmarket trading hours, it’s it’s notoriously, notoriously disingenuous, I think. But also it started Mortada percentile being being very low. We are set to either have a nice breakout from this level or a nice break down. That’s what everyone fucking hates about t.a. It’s like can go up, can go down. Well, if it goes down, I’d be notified by moved back down below. Let’s call it twenty seven seventy and I’d look for extension all the way down here to Losada the range about twenty seven twenty seven twenty to twenty seven, thirty ish region by the same token to the upside a lot more, a lot more insight into the upside as this one can really rip actually all the way up to maybe even twenty nine twenty nine to twenty nine fifty which would put spy. right around twenty nine twenty nine say the two nineties to not you 295 region. And now I’d probably put bitcoin as well that prob’ly put bitcoin somewhere around a thousand. So you know if I am going to come up with a bullish case, actually the most bullish thing that I can come up with is looking at traditional markets and saying that it’s it’s very close to break out there if it wants to. However, I really need to see the open of tradition marks before getting too gung ho about that. Anyways, going back down to our many futures. Let’s look at it on a daily or we’ve kind of already their daily sofiane way up there. That’s fine though. You do expect them to kind of operate like that during strong moves, but we do see a nice trend line forming here and we’re gonna be meeting it today and it’s actually got one, two, three, maybe even four touches on it. So, you know, it’s it’s not it’s not all said and done. Also on top of that, we do have what looks to to me to be more of a bear signature on our daily RSI. We do have pretty massive hit and Bear Shepard between this point over here all the way out. While this is this is above thirty one hundred. So they’d be like three 10 on SPI at this point right here. Technically speaking. But this will not be confirmed. This will not be confirmed intel until until Intel. We come back down below yesterday’s daily low at the very least. And if you and if I want to be more conservative, I’d look for actually Monday’s daily low to twenty seven hundred even. And then I’d look for move, move. Full on move all the way back down to about twenty six, twenty six thirty, and that would probably land Bitcoin somewhere around the low six thousands if you want to make a correlation between the two. But I project for bouncer’s well at the very least on a low timeframe. And then if it breaks it then we can have some fun times to the downside. But but I think that that’s gonna be a little bit slower moving than than bitcoin right now. So, you know, not really pressure on exactly at the moment. But we do also have a little bit of a bearish formation going on right here as well in the formation of a rising, rising wedge, which do tend to work out better interest markets. Now let’s look at Japan and see what Japan is doing. Japan’s actually making new highs on this formation. Now, it has been Japan has has Japan been leading recently? No, it hasn’t. But I do think that it’s relevant nonetheless. We’ve seen it lead in the past. But but for right now, you know, technically speaking, we do have new highs on Japan. So, you know, I do wanna present both sides. And that would be a little bit more on the on the good side, if you want to call it that. If you’re bullish, I suppose looking at gold, we do see gold still being the absolute diamond in this fucking market in world markets. Again, not a huge fan of gold or anything like that, but I am a good fan of RMI. I am a big fan of good charts. And we’ve been bullish on this one for a while and I’d still remain bullish on it. I do think that it’s I still think eighteen hundreds is is is likely where this one goes medium and long term. And then we’ll come back after that and reassess. But as long as this thing is especially above like 16, 20, I have no reason to be medium or long term bearish. Short term is going to ebb and flow. Maybe on the short term, we have a little bit of a.. Yeah, we do have a little bit of lost momentum here. We do have some pretty massive bearish evidence in the alley. Even a gel, even a jewel sell signal right here. So, you know, it doesn’t come back down and test around seventeen hundred even or even sixteen, sixteen seventy five. I think that that’s possible. I don’t think you really throw anything off. It’s a higher term timeframes that I’m focused on, some like this. So you know, right now this one does seem to be the hedge. The world is that the world’s kind of green on for the time being. You know, you don’t really see you don’t see this on Bitcoin right now. You don’t only see this on our tradition markets. So fair enough. As it stands right now, and especially as long as we’re close in Weekly’s above 16, 75, I really have no reason to be long term. Bearish on it does mean it can’t happen again. But, you know, I retain that bias which has been keeping us or keeping myself. Well, I don’t even fucking tried this one. So why even talk about it? Fuck it, fuck it. Let’s go over to spy by close a day yesterday. And I mean, it’s gonna be more or less the same as many hard a hard won here. Hard when it looks it looks like right now we’d probly open up right around to eighty twenty two and a half. Can it can we actually get above there those real question or just get above Monday’s high. That’s just gonna be time, you know, time wasted time. Time waiting. I suppose you’ll check out a couple of the top check points and see how well see how they’re holding up right now. Maybe come up with a little bit more of a bias in this market, depending upon if there’s some sort of an agreement, you know, between all the majors and Mr. β, all obviously a little bit more bearish than the rest. I do think what it might do, another test up to the 55 at 165, but overall is lots of things below the one. It’s simple at one seventy two and a quarter. I have no reason to be long term bullish on this thing. I’d still be long term bearish on. It does mean it again doesn’t mean I can’t get above butso, but we need to do that. First and foremost, UGC, this long term trend line coming kind of coming in here as well, which would be coming in right at the 55. So if so if you even did pop back up to the 55, I’d probably look at that as an opportunity. If not, I mean this you know, all momentum also has a pointed downwards right now. The weekly is the weekly actually isn’t is the weekly. ashie isn’t all that bearish. Weekly actually is not all that bearish to be them like wine, like wine. Forty one and a quarter right now as well. The weekly you know, looking more or less kinda bitcoin the daily significantly more bearish than both albuterol and bitcoin itself as long as it’s below the twenty one. And I’m in no way, shape or form bullish on this. And I do think that is propaganda gun for a move down to like thirty seven bucks. If like one is leading this market, litecoin would be the biggest indication that we are going to tell some downside here. Again, if it wanted to pop back up towards forty six and a half, if bitcoin tested around like 73 or Centerfor, they’ll be fine, but it doesn’t change anything from the high. The macro time frames above there though. That’s when the that’s when the floodgates get open to the upside. And now look for a move towards, you know, above north of 50 bucks again, which is really important actually, because what do we see on the weekly right here? We actually see a weekly exponential moving average death cross along the way. It probably will happen sometime around the end of this month, assuming that Litecoin is not able to get above especially 50 bucks and even from a longer term perspective, $60. So it doesn’t mean that can’t happen. But putting perspective in here more sideways is more bearish. Is is kind of the kind of picture that I’m painting from, you know, from the long term on this one, from like a weekly closing bases, you know, especially especially as long as blow, you know, forty five dollars. I mean, that’s not looking all that hot there. Okay, cool. So we’ve already spoken your ear off for the last thirty five minutes. I’ve been looked at probabilities just yet. So let’s go over here, check out our probability chart and align it with our low term timeframe areas once again against sixty seven hundred. The downside on a twelve hour delay, closure, pride does it for me for opening up the floodgates at the very least for a move down to like sixty four hundred point other bouncier and then, you know, same, you know, same shit as we spoke about before. We’d actually time the site, this area a little bit to the upside, a little bit more diabolical. I could get short term bullish for extension on a four hour open enclosure above sixty nine fifty. At the very least, target to move over here to six seventy one 50ish region and probably even by extension hit the three Sony 400 ish region once again above Sundy 400. That’s where things such look really good for the you know. Well maybe not really good, but it looks good for another extension of 600 bucks ish or so at a seven thousand price point. That’s almost 10 percent move. It’s really fucking tradable. And then who knows, you know, maybe continuation after that to the upside. But one thing at a time anyways. So with those areas in mind, let’s go over here to our probability chart and let’s see what we got. So I’m looking at the daily right now with a range of let’s call it sixty seven to the downside and to the upside. We can we can keep seventy three for now. But I do want to see what the probability of seventy seven thousand is sixty nine fifty seven thousand each region. And as you can see right now, the above target probability and again this is for the median higher term time frames above seventy three, that would be thirteen percent. So you’ve seen this drastically go down as time goes on and a failure to break to the upside has well not happened. The downside target probably has significantly gone up in relationship to it all the way up to twenty six and a quarter now. So the downside, you know, the more sideways that we go here, the more and more likely from a probability standpoint, from a mathematical standpoint, with regards to of alternatives until this gets to the downside. Now, I did say that that, you know, the seventh round, it’s a little bit more of a lofty area. Of course, we took like maybe 7000 or setsuna 700. That’s not fair. Maybe Charlton’s maybe talk about 7000, huh? And what do we see here? We see that, you know, the probability of that area taken out to the upside is actually rather high. So I just want to show that another move above that area, which would in turn initiate at the very least another hundred fifty dollars, move up to somebody 50. And I do think 73 to 74. It would get tested up to that is is in the cards here still, but closing above that area and initiating the next set of of targets, at least for myself. Not funded by some non-offensive other is a little bit, you know, a little bit unlikely from a daily close perspective. But but right now that that’s 7000 or our level on a daily closing basis, 39 a little bit above thirty nine and half percent to the downside. Still obviously the same. We could take this one step further and not look at the 6 700 discrete right here and instead take the more conservative area down towards 64. I don’t think that this is warranted. I don’t think that this is needed. But I’m just curious, you know, just for just for throwing this is sake here. Well, what would the probability of closing all of that today be? 5 5 spot 5 by 8 percent. It looks like Fatfat 5 a.D.A. Came in Speek anyways. Let’s get back onto bitcoin right now and time to wrap this bitch up for our disclosure below, especially like 67. I’d like to see like 6 650. Then yes, I do think that’s going to initiate the whole 1 move to the downside, although it bounces along the way at the very least, and perhaps they do reverse. But we’ll come back and read and analyze on real time. By by the same token to the upside, as long as we’re as long as we’re below the 2 index measurement on the 4 hour. I’m not bullish on price action. And if we open and close a four, I’ll do it above it. I would look for extension at the very least, a 71 50 and probably all the way up to 73, 50, 74, kind of in line with what we see in many futures. Once again, kind of testing the prior high region. But but, you know, tight margins here and in a big bad trade, I think gonna be showing it’s showing its hand relatively soon. I do think that, you know, according according to the volume senator in the volatility signature, where she might have the volatility suggests that we might already even be seen it. The volume signature suggests that, you know, before between now and a week from today, we very likely see a resolution here. So that’s going to do for right now. Like I said, will not be on twitch later today or very unlikely to be on twitch. Depending upon a few things, I need to go to the doctor and get a few things checked out. I want to wish everyone well once again and again apologize for the inconvenience and discord. But but at the end, as you know, it’s it’s for a better user experience and zom. And with that said, take care. And until next time.

source https://www.cryptosharks.net/bitcoin-big-wave-incoming-april-2020/ source https://cryptosharks1.blogspot.com/2020/04/bitcoin-big-wave-incoming-april-2020.html

[heatherrdavis1]

Bitcoin BIG WAVE Incoming! April 2020 Price Prediction & News Analysis

VIDEO TRANSCRIPT

TONY EASTLEY Are we about to witness a massive shift in changing tides in Bitcoin land, or is this the last chance for love me into my salvation, my soul and my soul? Let me let me say let me go to my. Welcome back to crowds could dock people off camera number two. Once again, we are here to discuss some very important price action. However, before you to that. I do need to make a massive announcement because there’s been a lot of confusion surrounding this, but it’s understandable. And of course, it’s has to do with the Dischord community. So if you are part of the general community in the inner discord, the link, of course, in the script, him down below, you’ll notice that probably all of your acts has been taken away from all of the channels that you could once see. We actually initiated a whole new verification process, kind of get rid of all of the there’s a whole bunch of fuckin fuckery going around, which isn’t really like the short answer to it. And we just kind of want to clean out and do a little bit of a little bit of spring cleaning. If you want to call it that spring in Finland, actually postpone for a little bit of time because it is actually little is known here, right here right now anyways. More on topic. God dammit, crown focus. But the thing is, is that if you have not already verified yourself, the only way to verify yourself, listen very, very carefully, because this is really important. If you do want to get back into this core channel as you’ll have to leave the channel. You have to. Sorry, leap not not leave the channel, but leave the server completely the server and then re join the server and you can find a link in the description below. You can also find it on our website. Crown trading dot net. And it’s you know, it’s just right there for you anyways. More importantly, once you rejoin once you’ve actually rejoined the server after leaving it, you’ll be prompted with a private message, direct message where the fuck you want to call it that will show up in the top left hand side of your of your discord, pop up whatever it is, and it will be from ah, lovely welcome Sentinel Baute titled or his name I believe his alter identifier hlt dtn t.i fbi. Ah, if I spell proper I don’t know. So gonna problem name in the home on that crown. You don’t not spell well actually. Well good. I know I a. And importantly spelling doesn’t matter. But the important point is is that that bot will damu some instructions on how to verify yourself. It’s a very, very simple process. I know it’s annoying, but it is necessary to make the whole community better. In general, we’re trying to really up the quality of what’s going on. I think that discussions have kind of been devolving maybe sometimes. So we decided to put it in for that veto for those reasons. Then, of course, to get rid of all the spam bots and everything as well, it’s that’s really, really fucking annoying and in some ways even harmful anyways. So with regards to that, you’ll be positive you’ll be prompted with that private message. So that means that if you aren’t accepting private messages or or direct messages from from server members, then you’ll need to enable that. I believe it’s under your privacy settings for discord. And then the bot will be able to send you a private message. It will set you up with a link on how to verify yourself. It will try to do some sort of capture. Or maybe it will. Or maybe it’ll allow you to verify yourself through like Twitter or Reddit or YouTube, some social media venue. That’s pretty much applicable to everyone. And then again, for that, you know, for 4, people don’t have anything like that. The capture option is there as well. And once you’ve done that, it’ll give you a specific role and then you will be had in. Then you’ll be granted all your access as you had before. And so the community obviously going to be a lot more smaller now, but more intimate. And to be a to be honest with you. I really, really, really, really, really like that scene more than like the fucking massive crowd, which can get a little bit overwhelming at times. And you know what? You know, when crowds get bigger and everything, it’s like I feel like people value each other less because it’s like, oh, well, there’s another person about it over here. Well, now that it’s more intimate, once again, I have a feeling that it’s gonna bring back that the community feel anyways. Okay. Jesus Christ man, there’s a bunch of boring shit that you’re prolly not even interested in anyways. Put for the people who I want to make sure that you have that information right there. Again, if you are if you were already a part of the discourse community, what you will need to do now is you need to leave and then rejoin if you don’t already have yourself verified. And then and then all good anyways. OK. Getting on over here in Truthy crunching allocation, which I have a very devastating announcement to make actually in a little bit more of a somber tone. I do want to look into the camera because this is a little bit serious. Our developer is our developers wife who who’s working on this. And she was going to have the open interest chart ready hopefully by yesterday on foot. And that’s not gonna be happening because his wife is showing symptoms of the Corona virus. And by extension, you know, them living together. He’s probably, you know, if she has it, he prolly has it as well. So right now he’s gonna he’s gonna go get checked out and hopefully, you know, we’re gonna we’re going to keep our fingers crossed and everything’s fine. But at the end of the day, you know, priorities call right now. And so he’ll have to take care of that. You know, we wish him well and everything. And and I’m sure that and I’m sure that most people here even know him in the community. But for right now, all updates gonna have to be postponed for a little bit of time for obvious reasons. So, again, looking back into right now, I kind of switch up gears once again, but. The open interest, we do see open interest coming down about 20 to 30 million from yesterday to today, which shows us that we have still yet to see the big bad break that we’re looking for. Whether it even comes the upset or the downside, referencing the beginning of this video. Are we seeing that? Are we seeing a changing of tides or are we seeing the last chance for love? Well, I can present the case for both. But there are some damned. But anytime you have that sort of an edge, it offers up a really, really, really, really, really nice trading while trading plan, I suppose, anyways. With that said, it’s still in the. It’s still within the context of the open interest here that we are consulting before this next change behavior, so to speak, on the lower and medium timeframes. Now, can that extrapolate to the upper heart-to-heart to the higher and the macro timeframes? Yes, absolutely. But those levels are still very much the same as we’ve been discussing for like the last month or so now. And and you can go and you can reference the long term analysis video that I uploaded on Sunday and the long term analysis playlists, which which will go into much more detail on that anyways. On top of that, all other all other metrics for the underlying market dynamics are more or less the same. Crypto Fear and Greed Index popped up a few points here from a from an 11 read to a 15. Again, if there’s anything that does make me lean a little bit more towards OK, this could be a fake out or we actually do have a nice move to the upside. It would be that you wouldn’t expect the market to be so fearful when well, when quite little, the price session has doubled off the lows. That is a pretty damn good hallmark actually of a change of type. Anyways, what’s more important is actual was is actual price action because we’re just looking at a derivative right now. And so it’s going to price action charts right here. And what do you see? Bitcoin hovering right around the daily twenty minutes, Benjamin average. And there’s a lot to say about this right here. So with yesterday’s big wake up, you know, testing all the way down to six, five is reaching a closing right around. What kind of closing price will you get? About 68, 68, 50, it looks like amongst mode, most major changes. It still offers up the potential for a nice hunt to the upside and maybe even a shift in market direction to the upside. But at the levels to delineate the shifts, in my opinion, are more or less the same as what we saw yesterday. So going into our lower term time frames, what I really want to focus on here is the four hour, actually. This is one of the few times well, not one of the few times, but but this this I think I think things are just most clear from the 4:00 hour right here when usually, you know, it’s a higher term time frames than the other guy. But but looking at the four hour right here, of course, we did get a fake out Golden Cross back in the Death Cross. And now as long as we are below, especially the Green 55 expedition, we average. And and by extension that you wanted X Benjamin average. There is pressure down. Of course. But could the tides of bitcoin change for the short and medium time frames here, backup to the upside? Yes, absolutely. What would be needed from each kind of jump back on that train? And I mean, quite literally, a four hour delay closure of the 200X Benjamen average at 60 950 ish region to again look at your exchange is going to be different amongst, you know, amongst many of them. Interesting. Opening closures above that region. Yes. Likely does align itself with, at the very least, another attempt backup towards this local high, about sunny 158 region for the short term and for the medium term backup likely to this Bluebox territory right around here. So I do need to put in a few more because I am looking at the lower term time frames right here. And what I’m talking about is this guy right here. There is. This is only relevant to the low term time frames. I mean, to be very careful with the way that I express myself here, because this is where I think it’s easiest for me to not not not say things in the way that I should be saying them. But what I’m trying to get on our side. What I’m trying to explain here is that the short term time frames still a game between essentially, let’s call it 60, 750, if you want to be a let’s call it six, seven hundred on a more conservative note into the upside about say sixty nine 50ish region and you can make a nice liquids home right here even as well if you’re if you’re like looking at the very low time frames and I can put a another another Bluebox right here. So again, as long as bitcoin is below this. Bluebox it’s still pressure down. My my overall bias is still certainly to the downside as long as below there. If Bitcoin gets above there on a short term time frame out at the very least, look for another retest of this local high, about Sony 150. And realistically speaking, I do think that, you know, personally, I think Bitcoin would gun for the next medium term timeframe range back up to about 70 373 50ish reaching give or take about 50 bucks. Now, above there, things can change for them for the hired macro term time frames. If we close, say, like a 12 hour total, especially above seventy three fifty or seventy four hundred is region, I would target another move and then another extension. Kind of what we’re looking at last week during this redistribution of fave phase right here all the way up to about seventy eight hundred seventy nine hundred is region in this Bluebox territory correlated with our prior historical Autoblog, not just coming in from March of this year, but actually all the way in in this sort of breakout territory that we saw in late twenty nineteen before this four thousand dollar move up from sixty five to ten five. So a you know a very massive area from historical from historical standpoint. But at the end of the day the the these sort of triggering effects for that are more or less the same for myself. And now which is kind of I’m just kind of churn out the lower term time frames because while real estate very little is change other than that and we need more things talked about because what the fuck of, you know, what the fuck what else are you gonna do on a Tuesday? I’m. Not going to do too much. Oh, I forgot about I forgot to talk about Twitch, I probably I probably won’t be doing Twitch Day. I need to go to the doctor again later and probably not going to be good news. So I will be on very, very, very, very, very likely. So. Fair enough. Anyways, for the downside. For the downside, actually. You still into the downside here, especially as long as we’re below sixty nine 50ish region and I will hold short as long as were below that region as well, especially on an open and closed basis for a $4 timeframe. But the downside is a little more diabolical because we do have this trendline that’s been coming in all the way from Saarland. Put these back on all the way back in from our March 13 lows right here in the last few local lows, 1 2. You could even count this as 3, you know, depending upon how you kind of aggressively put this over here. But say, you know, it’s it’s it’s it’s more or less getting the same area. And what’s more important to me is the correlation with the horizontal right here, which I do believe is getting it properly. So what does that mean? That means that if we actually do break sixty seven hundred, especially on a four hour total closure, and realistically, because this area is so big and it’s not just a low term timeframe area, it’s a medium time frame area as well. And you could even by extension make that a higher term time for. We are looking at the culmination of the last month to a month and a half a price action right here in this kind of rising Channel ish formation, which is further verified by the volume signature for the verified by the open interest signature, you know, kind of coming. Sorry. Awesome. Between the 550 million and 700 million dollar mark. And now and also and also by lesser extension. Well, actually, more extension as as as I think that this gets a little bit better for our historical multi-tier percentile, actually, maybe you could even use it daily at this point to yacht’s contracting still quite a bit. But overall, that area is holding a lot of weight myself. So I wouldn’t look for the next big bad breakdown in bitcoin price action until we realistically break this this Bluebox right here. I want to see like a full on clean enclosure below sixty seven hundred on an open, inclosed basis. I’d be beautiful for the more aggressive traders they might be looking at about sixty seven fifty right here. I think that that’s also relevant, but I don’t see the need to be aggressive in this region as this would initiate a measure moved from this rising channel, or if you want to call it a rising wedge. What are the fuck you want to call it? The implication is the same. Redistribution is the name of the game here. As far as I’m concerned, as long as you believe in as long as we’re living below, you know, I mean shit 7d twenty three to thirty four hundred. I do believe that it would initiate a match move all the way down here towards about forty eight fifty forty nine hundred is region now of course it would be a little bit you know, a little bit lofty to say that you know if bitcoin breaks this area we’re gonna for sure have a two about a 2009 move to the downside. I do believe that there’s gonna be bounce along the way and perhaps even you do have a reversal somewhere along there as well. We’d have to see that in real time. But proverbially speaking, because it is you know, it is in the cards right here. And and I do want to be thorough with the way that I talk about this. You know, I technically it is there, although I would be looking for bounces around about 60, 400, then 60 or so. Fifty nine hundred and fifty six hundred. And then all the way down to the tippy top bottom at about forty nine forty eight fifty ish region ish. You know, give or take a few bucks. So at the end of the day I do still think that there’s pressure down and and I don’t really have any reason to be even medium term bullish as long as we’re above let’s call it seventy three to seventy four hundred each region. That area very important not just for the medium term timeframe, but also for the high and the macro time frames. You can see that that’s our daily 55 expensive damage right here. Our last local high, if you want to call it that. And then also if we go to the monthly, a time frame, which I think is incredibly important for long term direction macro you might even call it. We do see the yellow twenty one Benjamin average hovering right around actually a little bit below S300 300 treason. To be fair, going back through the annals of history here, we do see if we go to be alecks index. That big one has a lovely interplay on plane off that yellow twenty minutes Namche for both his bull and bear phases whenever above it, generally good whenever blow generally bad looking at the slope of it. Also further confirms that more long term narrative of a macro’s of you know, of a macro trend. Any time that we have a you know, anytime that we’re living below it and also has a negative slope, well, that’s this area right here where we where where we get stuck below it. We do test a few times up, but on an O on a closing basis, always below. And then boom, big move down. Then a positive slope emerges as bitcoin B gains it right over here and massive move from 300 bucks to twenty thousand dollars. It’s kind of crazy. And that same thing in 2018 to a lesser extent, not as not, you know, not as crazy here. And then once again, it looks like we are once again in danger of of really opening and closing our first multi dollar below it since, well, 2018, which I do believe would really sexual line with those for the target to the downside. But again, you know, on you know, this channel is all about trading, not about fuckin’ being an analyst and trying to like have the call, you know, because it doesn’t matter. It doesn’t matter if you fucking call some if you don’t if you don’t trade for it. So, you know, for free to look for it. For full disclosure, I’m still holding my short from like 70 two hundred. I will close it above 7000 or sixty nine fifty depending upon what I see on a closing basis. And. And I’ll just kind of let the let the let the chips fall where they may. As it’s relatively easy to cover right here. Anyways, on top of that I do want to go back to the daily and talk about some that I again I don’t really talk about this too much, although I have been. More and more we use for a reason, it’s kind of funny. I used to give this I see this indicator a lot of shit, but it actually does. It actually does kind of help my my analysis or at least confirm my analysis using other tools in a more direct way. And that’s the good old Mac de the McDonald’s indicator. And what do you know? We do see that the Mac, he did get up right at right above the zero read and now looking like it’s getting a little bit a little bit tired here. More important than that, we do see obviously bearish divergence between this point and this point. So the momentum to the upside is waning. The question is, though, do we get another spike up to meet this trend line and and play out another move, maybe up to 73? Does that move get us all the way up to maybe even seventy nine or eight thousand? Possible, yes. But you can see that over the lot. You know, over the long period time, it’s momentum being gain to the downside right here. This is all the way throughout February of twenty twenty, by the way, all the way down to March 13th, of course. And now momentum waning to the waning to the upside right here. While these guys get ready to potentially kiss and maybe even cross. Now, of course, that’s not the way to be using the the, you know, the Mac to you just waiting for like, you know, we got a cross. It’s across time. It’s it’s easy now. Not not necessarily. But. But if this cross happens alongside a major level being broken, well, now we have something to really discuss. And do we have a major level in play here? Yes, absolutely. As we just looked at. I mean, shit, man, even if we break this Bluebox right here in close, a daily deal to open and close it daily. A of the 21 which we actually did close yesterday is below I believe. Yeah, just barely. But we did and and especially below let’s call it sixty seven six seven hundred. Then yes I do believe that will that will really initiate the momentum back onto the downside. Further, further confirmed by our lovely daily Stoke’s right here crossing back down from the cross, back down from the critical zone. And I do believe that the two day and three day are kind of set to follow. Actually, no, not not necessarily too much. But let’s let’s let’s take this one step further. So we have this lovely reverse stock indicator cross right here. And what we can see from this is at which point it would actually cross back onto the downside. And what you know, it’s right around 60, 70, 50 ish regions. So I love the confluence there saying that, hey, that area, it’s not it’s not adjusting exactly. What we’re gonna do is just saying that that area is a big area if we start to close these higher timeframes below it. I would expect price actually to come back down below 6000 and, you know, test those areas that we spoke about earlier. Again, you don’t want, you know, want to remain open minded here with price action as overall the higher term timeframes are still are still are still mostly bearish to myself. Looking at the two day right here, I you know, I always come back down to this. I know there’s probably an annoying for the people who 200’s content daily, but for the people who are new here, we do have a very lovely and very, very, very, very, very. One of my favorite cross’, especially for Bitcoin. It’s a two day delay death cross right here, which is getting more and more momentum away from each other. So the strength, the strength of this cross or site D. This cross is strengthening to the downside as you see more and more devons between these two moving to the 55 and a 200. And what does that mean? That means that the balton obviously switching on their cell programs slowly but surely. And as long as we are below the yellow twenty one next from an average, especially on a closing basis, I am more immediately bearish. Doesn’t mean that we can’t pop back up in tests around this region. Yes, it’s it’s so certainly very much within the cards. But as but you know, as long as we’re closing below, that is my disposition from a more defensive standpoint as a trader. Again, you know, I know that like analysts love to get caught up in the fuckin in the fuckin. What do you mean when to call? I wanted to talk about it. Jesus Christ, man. But you know, worst both to the upside and the downside. Beautiful, beautiful cross upside right here. Thousand of fourteen, 14000. Lovely. Before that, we have a great example in 2018. And we do get the death cross here in September 2018. And then Bitcoin does has a 55 once along the way, gets shuffled back down below the twenty one and and it’s and as soon as we lose it right it over here. And by the way, by the way, between cross time and doom’s drop time was from September early September 2018 to November of 2018. So September, October, November. So two to three months realistically. And that produced this lovely drop right here, 52 percent to the downside. Then we have another massively amazing cross the upside in 2015. It was leanness all the way from three hundred and twenty thousand. And then going back a little bit before that, we do see the last death cross before that right here. This one a little bit more similar kind of what we’re doing right now as well. We do see the price action very far away from the cross itself. Yes, the twenty one is governing it, but bitcoin regains at test 55. Sounds familiar to the twenty eighteen one. Right. And then once it loses the twenty one once again on an open and closed basis, it is doom’s drop time all the way down to about 54 percent to the downside. Now again from cross right. And over here this was this was middle of of October to doom’s dropped. You want to call it right here. This was December, early December. So you know, October, November, December, like two and a half months, two months, depending. On where you kind of call it from. And then what do you know right after that? Like we just said, about a 50 percent drop. So, you know, much, much, much in line now two times does not make a trend, of course. But we are working on a third iteration right here. So, you know, if you know, I you know, I think that is of interest. And if we would just play around with numbers, just out of curiosity, if we were to shave 50 percent off price action, because that is, you know, kind of like the going rate from what we’ve seen in the past as meat is always going to do that. But but just put things in perspective that would imply Target all the way down to about thirty five thirty six hundred ish region, which does actually line up with of course one of our one of our lovely gaps on semi’s right here coming in back from what was this February twenty nineteen at the thirty five fifty ish region. So we do see some things aligning with that. And I think if we take it even one step further and put on what is a really, really, really, really, really important movement of true myself in traditional markets, which I think is going to take a bigger pull position in Bitcoin as time goes on. In fact, we already kind of see it being respected here. That’s a 3 7 7. And whereas that committed around it’s coming in around that thirty six hundred all our numbers. So Bitcoin didn’t want to pop back down around there and test it. I think that that would make more or less sense. But I do want to keep an open mind here because bitcoin does want to test the upside. It there’s really not much stopping it from above like 73, 50 to 70, 400 to the eight thousand dollar regions. So if Bitcoin wanted to you know, if the market movers wanted to wash out all the overlevered shorts, they could very easily do it. What makes me think that that’s less likely to happen is all those crosses that we spoke about, plus momentum turning back onto the downside on a bunch different tools that we’ve been using and then open interest volume and volatility all agreeing that we’re very much sure within this formation right here. And when I say mature, I mean that, you know, theoretically speaking, we are definitely more than 25 percent for in this formation right here. If we’re if we’re working towards an apex of about April 19th, April 20th region. So that would suggest that at the very least, Bitcoin will be forced into a decision at around basically the end of this week, April, April 19th to April 20th. So that’s a little bit less than one week from today. So by next Monday, it will be forced. And and sometimes, you know, you do get you get you do get patterns that drone on a little bit. And if no direction is chosen, meaning no direction like like no big move. And we’re looking for a big move here. We’re looking for you know, we’re looking for either a thousand moves the upside or a $2000 move to the downside. Realistically speaking, then then, you know, typically, you know, gets a little bit more time after that. And then something new will emerge from it doesn’t happen all that often, but can happen. So. Fair enough. Good. Good to talk about nonetheless. This is further confirmed by, I believe, the volatility signature, which the volatility signature to me suggests more downside as well. The reason why I say that is because it actually precipitates what we see on the volume and the open interest. And to me, that is more important. It’s more it’s it’s maybe maybe a less direct way of looking at it, but it’s a more leading indicator than the other two, which provides a shit ton of value. And as you can see right here, we contracted all the way from March 13th basically to where we are right now. And once again, it’s expanding. And you see that it’s sustain an expansion over here above the moving average on this. And and on top of that, it’s gaining. It’s it’s it’s it’s gaining to the it’s not to the upside. It’s the volatility. It’s expanding more and more. So the momentum of the volatility is expanding. That’s the word that I’m looking for, which is really important distinction to be made, because as price action comes to the downside from that from that point, by the way, this was the apex right here, quite clearly at the top. And now the expansion phase coming as bitcoin is literally trending to the downside. Does make me lean towards the downside as well. Momentum also does on the lower term timeframes like our like a lovely Stoke’s actually not agreeing with that. We do see that for our stocks. Are she upright here? Just out of curiosity, the reverse stock indicator would say that we have to close below. Where? Oh, isn’t that lovely? Love it when the market agrees with itself at 6 750. So, you know, sixty seven hundred I think is still just an easier or more conservative way of looking at it. But botanically speaking, we have several things from both the higher term time frames and these lower term time frame saying 60 750 is the error to watch for the downside as we’re not just, you know, breaking below, there wouldn’t just kind of produce another another low and confirm this as a downtrend. You know, lower lows and lower highs. Kind of crazy, but it would also it would also it would also switch the momentum back on as we break that level. So so looking at the 3 hour, I’d expect something relatively similar. Oh, what do you know? Six, seven, fifty. Again, what do we see on the two hour sixty seven fifty fucking again. What do we see on the hourly sixty nine hundred. That’s actually technically down right now. So as long as Bitcoin is below sixty nine especially, but I could even say sixty nine fifty to seven thousand this region, even the lower term time frames are kind of difficult here. So. So funnily enough actually while we are here on the outer they by the way he struck about two trips until rather low. It’s in the single digits right now. So we probably ought to be looking at at the very least a short term move, you know, a short term move to to Shihri the tops of the range or the bottom of the range sooner rather than later. And again, this contraction phase coming at. A nice move to the downside. Contracts, price action moves up. What happens when volatility is set to expand once again? Well, looking at open interest going down from yesterday to today would suggest that that that increase in price action with shorts closing. Which means that if bears want to put back on their big red dildos and start throwing them around, they very easily have plenty of ammo to go in dry with that. So that’s why I still align with the bears right here. But hey, I’d be happy to switch round. You know, if if price action warrants that, at the end of the day, again, we’re traders here, not fucking analysts. So not, you know, not really worthwhile to get stuck in these more gang like views. This is what I look at the maths. Look at the 12 hour. There’s a really good computing narrative to everything that I’m saying. And usually when in doubt, the 12 hour tells the truth. What do we see here? Twelve ourselves crossing up from the exact same trend line that we focused on. Oh, I guess I do already have it. No, I don’t have it in from the exact same trend line that we focused on yesterday. So if I am going to be wrong and you know, you know an overall direction, well, that would be a pretty damn good insight that I’m gonna be wrong. I think already have this trend line over here. We’re technically living a little bit below, but doesn’t he be perfect? You know, this is more of a regression than anything. Stokes is gonna be more floaty and flighty. Stalk vaulted percentile on the 12 are very much waiting. We are fully contracted. Well, we’re not fully contracted, but we can still go a little bit longer. But that does suggest that this next expansion phase, we’re gonna see expansion come from all of the lower timeframes and the higher term timeframes. So it should be a pretty a pretty nice move overall. Mm. Um. What else do you want to talk about. Okay. So let’s go look at tradition marks right now. Let’s go look at aemon futures. He’s been kind of a new staple of these of these videos as I think it’s interesting. And and what do we see here, a move back up to the top sort of the range. So we do know or say, which, you know, we don’t we don’t know anything, or at least the more that the more that I learn, the more that I realize I don’t know fucking shit. It’s like really frustrating, actually, but. But overall, overall, looking at you many features right now and and coming into it with a mindset that we do see a correlation between tradition marks and Bitcoin. I think that all the people are saying that it’s not correlated, are starting to really like be quiet about it and fair enough. I you know, obviously I have my Twitter thread on that if you want to. If you wanted if you wanted to bait that, just please go watch that. We don’t need to fucking do it here. I don’t want to go through another like 20 minutes of content that I’ve done a million times. I would I would greatly appreciate it both better for you and myself. If you just go on Twitter and there’s a nice Twitter thread explaining that and you feel free, you can feel free to disagree as well. Maybe even changes in the features while possible, but with many features getting back into the tops of the range. Does bitcoin actually test back up to 70 feet or is any 400? I think it actually could. This would be the most the most supporting of that argument to myself at least. And but the question is, do we put in another local high here? It looks to me like a mini e. Many features are getting a little bit tired in this range as momentum starts to be a little bit tail off on the athlete. Now, do I really trust, you know, post-market type? I mean, not post Magots features, but. But do I trust data? That’s, you know, in nonmarket trading hours, it’s it’s notoriously, notoriously disingenuous, I think. But also it started Mortada percentile being being very low. We are set to either have a nice breakout from this level or a nice break down. That’s what everyone fucking hates about t.a. It’s like can go up, can go down. Well, if it goes down, I’d be notified by moved back down below. Let’s call it twenty seven seventy and I’d look for extension all the way down here to Losada the range about twenty seven twenty seven twenty to twenty seven, thirty ish region by the same token to the upside a lot more, a lot more insight into the upside as this one can really rip actually all the way up to maybe even twenty nine twenty nine to twenty nine fifty which would put spy. right around twenty nine twenty nine say the two nineties to not you 295 region. And now I’d probably put bitcoin as well that prob’ly put bitcoin somewhere around a thousand. So you know if I am going to come up with a bullish case, actually the most bullish thing that I can come up with is looking at traditional markets and saying that it’s it’s very close to break out there if it wants to. However, I really need to see the open of tradition marks before getting too gung ho about that. Anyways, going back down to our many futures. Let’s look at it on a daily or we’ve kind of already their daily sofiane way up there. That’s fine though. You do expect them to kind of operate like that during strong moves, but we do see a nice trend line forming here and we’re gonna be meeting it today and it’s actually got one, two, three, maybe even four touches on it. So, you know, it’s it’s not it’s not all said and done. Also on top of that, we do have what looks to to me to be more of a bear signature on our daily RSI. We do have pretty massive hit and Bear Shepard between this point over here all the way out. While this is this is above thirty one hundred. So they’d be like three 10 on SPI at this point right here. Technically speaking. But this will not be confirmed. This will not be confirmed intel until until Intel. We come back down below yesterday’s daily low at the very least. And if you and if I want to be more conservative, I’d look for actually Monday’s daily low to twenty seven hundred even. And then I’d look for move, move. Full on move all the way back down to about twenty six, twenty six thirty, and that would probably land Bitcoin somewhere around the low six thousands if you want to make a correlation between the two. But I project for bouncer’s well at the very least on a low timeframe. And then if it breaks it then we can have some fun times to the downside. But but I think that that’s gonna be a little bit slower moving than than bitcoin right now. So, you know, not really pressure on exactly at the moment. But we do also have a little bit of a bearish formation going on right here as well in the formation of a rising, rising wedge, which do tend to work out better interest markets. Now let’s look at Japan and see what Japan is doing. Japan’s actually making new highs on this formation. Now, it has been Japan has has Japan been leading recently? No, it hasn’t. But I do think that it’s relevant nonetheless. We’ve seen it lead in the past. But but for right now, you know, technically speaking, we do have new highs on Japan. So, you know, I do wanna present both sides. And that would be a little bit more on the on the good side, if you want to call it that. If you’re bullish, I suppose looking at gold, we do see gold still being the absolute diamond in this fucking market in world markets. Again, not a huge fan of gold or anything like that, but I am a good fan of RMI. I am a big fan of good charts. And we’ve been bullish on this one for a while and I’d still remain bullish on it. I do think that it’s I still think eighteen hundreds is is is likely where this one goes medium and long term. And then we’ll come back after that and reassess. But as long as this thing is especially above like 16, 20, I have no reason to be medium or long term bearish. Short term is going to ebb and flow. Maybe on the short term, we have a little bit of a.. Yeah, we do have a little bit of lost momentum here. We do have some pretty massive bearish evidence in the alley. Even a gel, even a jewel sell signal right here. So, you know, it doesn’t come back down and test around seventeen hundred even or even sixteen, sixteen seventy five. I think that that’s possible. I don’t think you really throw anything off. It’s a higher term timeframes that I’m focused on, some like this. So you know, right now this one does seem to be the hedge. The world is that the world’s kind of green on for the time being. You know, you don’t really see you don’t see this on Bitcoin right now. You don’t only see this on our tradition markets. So fair enough. As it stands right now, and especially as long as we’re close in Weekly’s above 16, 75, I really have no reason to be long term. Bearish on it does mean it can’t happen again. But, you know, I retain that bias which has been keeping us or keeping myself. Well, I don’t even fucking tried this one. So why even talk about it? Fuck it, fuck it. Let’s go over to spy by close a day yesterday. And I mean, it’s gonna be more or less the same as many hard a hard won here. Hard when it looks it looks like right now we’d probly open up right around to eighty twenty two and a half. Can it can we actually get above there those real question or just get above Monday’s high. That’s just gonna be time, you know, time wasted time. Time waiting. I suppose you’ll check out a couple of the top check points and see how well see how they’re holding up right now. Maybe come up with a little bit more of a bias in this market, depending upon if there’s some sort of an agreement, you know, between all the majors and Mr. β, all obviously a little bit more bearish than the rest. I do think what it might do, another test up to the 55 at 165, but overall is lots of things below the one. It’s simple at one seventy two and a quarter. I have no reason to be long term bullish on this thing. I’d still be long term bearish on. It does mean it again doesn’t mean I can’t get above butso, but we need to do that. First and foremost, UGC, this long term trend line coming kind of coming in here as well, which would be coming in right at the 55. So if so if you even did pop back up to the 55, I’d probably look at that as an opportunity. If not, I mean this you know, all momentum also has a pointed downwards right now. The weekly is the weekly actually isn’t is the weekly. ashie isn’t all that bearish. Weekly actually is not all that bearish to be them like wine, like wine. Forty one and a quarter right now as well. The weekly you know, looking more or less kinda bitcoin the daily significantly more bearish than both albuterol and bitcoin itself as long as it’s below the twenty one. And I’m in no way, shape or form bullish on this. And I do think that is propaganda gun for a move down to like thirty seven bucks. If like one is leading this market, litecoin would be the biggest indication that we are going to tell some downside here. Again, if it wanted to pop back up towards forty six and a half, if bitcoin tested around like 73 or Centerfor, they’ll be fine, but it doesn’t change anything from the high. The macro time frames above there though. That’s when the that’s when the floodgates get open to the upside. And now look for a move towards, you know, above north of 50 bucks again, which is really important actually, because what do we see on the weekly right here? We actually see a weekly exponential moving average death cross along the way. It probably will happen sometime around the end of this month, assuming that Litecoin is not able to get above especially 50 bucks and even from a longer term perspective, $60. So it doesn’t mean that can’t happen. But putting perspective in here more sideways is more bearish. Is is kind of the kind of picture that I’m painting from, you know, from the long term on this one, from like a weekly closing bases, you know, especially especially as long as blow, you know, forty five dollars. I mean, that’s not looking all that hot there. Okay, cool. So we’ve already spoken your ear off for the last thirty five minutes. I’ve been looked at probabilities just yet. So let’s go over here, check out our probability chart and align it with our low term timeframe areas once again against sixty seven hundred. The downside on a twelve hour delay, closure, pride does it for me for opening up the floodgates at the very least for a move down to like sixty four hundred point other bouncier and then, you know, same, you know, same shit as we spoke about before. We’d actually time the site, this area a little bit to the upside, a little bit more diabolical. I could get short term bullish for extension on a four hour open enclosure above sixty nine fifty. At the very least, target to move over here to six seventy one 50ish region and probably even by extension hit the three Sony 400 ish region once again above Sundy 400. That’s where things such look really good for the you know. Well maybe not really good, but it looks good for another extension of 600 bucks ish or so at a seven thousand price point. That’s almost 10 percent move. It’s really fucking tradable. And then who knows, you know, maybe continuation after that to the upside. But one thing at a time anyways. So with those areas in mind, let’s go over here to our probability chart and let’s see what we got. So I’m looking at the daily right now with a range of let’s call it sixty seven to the downside and to the upside. We can we can keep seventy three for now. But I do want to see what the probability of seventy seven thousand is sixty nine fifty seven thousand each region. And as you can see right now, the above target probability and again this is for the median higher term time frames above seventy three, that would be thirteen percent. So you’ve seen this drastically go down as time goes on and a failure to break to the upside has well not happened. The downside target probably has significantly gone up in relationship to it all the way up to twenty six and a quarter now. So the downside, you know, the more sideways that we go here, the more and more likely from a probability standpoint, from a mathematical standpoint, with regards to of alternatives until this gets to the downside. Now, I did say that that, you know, the seventh round, it’s a little bit more of a lofty area. Of course, we took like maybe 7000 or setsuna 700. That’s not fair. Maybe Charlton’s maybe talk about 7000, huh? And what do we see here? We see that, you know, the probability of that area taken out to the upside is actually rather high. So I just want to show that another move above that area, which would in turn initiate at the very least another hundred fifty dollars, move up to somebody 50. And I do think 73 to 74. It would get tested up to that is is in the cards here still, but closing above that area and initiating the next set of of targets, at least for myself. Not funded by some non-offensive other is a little bit, you know, a little bit unlikely from a daily close perspective. But but right now that that’s 7000 or our level on a daily closing basis, 39 a little bit above thirty nine and half percent to the downside. Still obviously the same. We could take this one step further and not look at the 6 700 discrete right here and instead take the more conservative area down towards 64. I don’t think that this is warranted. I don’t think that this is needed. But I’m just curious, you know, just for just for throwing this is sake here. Well, what would the probability of closing all of that today be? 5 5 spot 5 by 8 percent. It looks like Fatfat 5 a.D.A. Came in Speek anyways. Let’s get back onto bitcoin right now and time to wrap this bitch up for our disclosure below, especially like 67. I’d like to see like 6 650. Then yes, I do think that’s going to initiate the whole 1 move to the downside, although it bounces along the way at the very least, and perhaps they do reverse. But we’ll come back and read and analyze on real time. By by the same token to the upside, as long as we’re as long as we’re below the 2 index measurement on the 4 hour. I’m not bullish on price action. And if we open and close a four, I’ll do it above it. I would look for extension at the very least, a 71 50 and probably all the way up to 73, 50, 74, kind of in line with what we see in many futures. Once again, kind of testing the prior high region. But but, you know, tight margins here and in a big bad trade, I think gonna be showing it’s showing its hand relatively soon. I do think that, you know, according according to the volume senator in the volatility signature, where she might have the volatility suggests that we might already even be seen it. The volume signature suggests that, you know, before between now and a week from today, we very likely see a resolution here. So that’s going to do for right now. Like I said, will not be on twitch later today or very unlikely to be on twitch. Depending upon a few things, I need to go to the doctor and get a few things checked out. I want to wish everyone well once again and again apologize for the inconvenience and discord. But but at the end, as you know, it’s it’s for a better user experience and zom. And with that said, take care. And until next time.

Via https://www.cryptosharks.net/bitcoin-big-wave-incoming-april-2020/

source https://cryptosharks.weebly.com/blog/bitcoin-big-wave-incoming-april-2020-price-prediction-news-analysis

[jeffrmayhugh]

Bitcoin BIG WAVE Incoming! April 2020 Price Prediction & News Analysis

VIDEO TRANSCRIPT

TONY EASTLEY Are we about to witness a massive shift in changing tides in Bitcoin land, or is this the last chance for love me into my salvation, my soul and my soul? Let me let me say let me go to my. Welcome back to crowds could dock people off camera number two. Once again, we are here to discuss some very important price action. However, before you to that. I do need to make a massive announcement because there’s been a lot of confusion surrounding this, but it’s understandable. And of course, it’s has to do with the Dischord community. So if you are part of the general community in the inner discord, the link, of course, in the script, him down below, you’ll notice that probably all of your acts has been taken away from all of the channels that you could once see. We actually initiated a whole new verification process, kind of get rid of all of the there’s a whole bunch of fuckin fuckery going around, which isn’t really like the short answer to it. And we just kind of want to clean out and do a little bit of a little bit of spring cleaning. If you want to call it that spring in Finland, actually postpone for a little bit of time because it is actually little is known here, right here right now anyways. More on topic. God dammit, crown focus. But the thing is, is that if you have not already verified yourself, the only way to verify yourself, listen very, very carefully, because this is really important. If you do want to get back into this core channel as you’ll have to leave the channel. You have to. Sorry, leap not not leave the channel, but leave the server completely the server and then re join the server and you can find a link in the description below. You can also find it on our website. Crown trading dot net. And it’s you know, it’s just right there for you anyways. More importantly, once you rejoin once you’ve actually rejoined the server after leaving it, you’ll be prompted with a private message, direct message where the fuck you want to call it that will show up in the top left hand side of your of your discord, pop up whatever it is, and it will be from ah, lovely welcome Sentinel Baute titled or his name I believe his alter identifier hlt dtn t.i fbi. Ah, if I spell proper I don’t know. So gonna problem name in the home on that crown. You don’t not spell well actually. Well good. I know I a. And importantly spelling doesn’t matter. But the important point is is that that bot will damu some instructions on how to verify yourself. It’s a very, very simple process. I know it’s annoying, but it is necessary to make the whole community better. In general, we’re trying to really up the quality of what’s going on. I think that discussions have kind of been devolving maybe sometimes. So we decided to put it in for that veto for those reasons. Then, of course, to get rid of all the spam bots and everything as well, it’s that’s really, really fucking annoying and in some ways even harmful anyways. So with regards to that, you’ll be positive you’ll be prompted with that private message. So that means that if you aren’t accepting private messages or or direct messages from from server members, then you’ll need to enable that. I believe it’s under your privacy settings for discord. And then the bot will be able to send you a private message. It will set you up with a link on how to verify yourself. It will try to do some sort of capture. Or maybe it will. Or maybe it’ll allow you to verify yourself through like Twitter or Reddit or YouTube, some social media venue. That’s pretty much applicable to everyone. And then again, for that, you know, for 4, people don’t have anything like that. The capture option is there as well. And once you’ve done that, it’ll give you a specific role and then you will be had in. Then you’ll be granted all your access as you had before. And so the community obviously going to be a lot more smaller now, but more intimate. And to be a to be honest with you. I really, really, really, really, really like that scene more than like the fucking massive crowd, which can get a little bit overwhelming at times. And you know what? You know, when crowds get bigger and everything, it’s like I feel like people value each other less because it’s like, oh, well, there’s another person about it over here. Well, now that it’s more intimate, once again, I have a feeling that it’s gonna bring back that the community feel anyways. Okay. Jesus Christ man, there’s a bunch of boring shit that you’re prolly not even interested in anyways. Put for the people who I want to make sure that you have that information right there. Again, if you are if you were already a part of the discourse community, what you will need to do now is you need to leave and then rejoin if you don’t already have yourself verified. And then and then all good anyways. OK. Getting on over here in Truthy crunching allocation, which I have a very devastating announcement to make actually in a little bit more of a somber tone. I do want to look into the camera because this is a little bit serious. Our developer is our developers wife who who’s working on this. And she was going to have the open interest chart ready hopefully by yesterday on foot. And that’s not gonna be happening because his wife is showing symptoms of the Corona virus. And by extension, you know, them living together. He’s probably, you know, if she has it, he prolly has it as well. So right now he’s gonna he’s gonna go get checked out and hopefully, you know, we’re gonna we’re going to keep our fingers crossed and everything’s fine. But at the end of the day, you know, priorities call right now. And so he’ll have to take care of that. You know, we wish him well and everything. And and I’m sure that and I’m sure that most people here even know him in the community. But for right now, all updates gonna have to be postponed for a little bit of time for obvious reasons. So, again, looking back into right now, I kind of switch up gears once again, but. The open interest, we do see open interest coming down about 20 to 30 million from yesterday to today, which shows us that we have still yet to see the big bad break that we’re looking for. Whether it even comes the upset or the downside, referencing the beginning of this video. Are we seeing that? Are we seeing a changing of tides or are we seeing the last chance for love? Well, I can present the case for both. But there are some damned. But anytime you have that sort of an edge, it offers up a really, really, really, really, really nice trading while trading plan, I suppose, anyways. With that said, it’s still in the. It’s still within the context of the open interest here that we are consulting before this next change behavior, so to speak, on the lower and medium timeframes. Now, can that extrapolate to the upper heart-to-heart to the higher and the macro timeframes? Yes, absolutely. But those levels are still very much the same as we’ve been discussing for like the last month or so now. And and you can go and you can reference the long term analysis video that I uploaded on Sunday and the long term analysis playlists, which which will go into much more detail on that anyways. On top of that, all other all other metrics for the underlying market dynamics are more or less the same. Crypto Fear and Greed Index popped up a few points here from a from an 11 read to a 15. Again, if there’s anything that does make me lean a little bit more towards OK, this could be a fake out or we actually do have a nice move to the upside. It would be that you wouldn’t expect the market to be so fearful when well, when quite little, the price session has doubled off the lows. That is a pretty damn good hallmark actually of a change of type. Anyways, what’s more important is actual was is actual price action because we’re just looking at a derivative right now. And so it’s going to price action charts right here. And what do you see? Bitcoin hovering right around the daily twenty minutes, Benjamin average. And there’s a lot to say about this right here. So with yesterday’s big wake up, you know, testing all the way down to six, five is reaching a closing right around. What kind of closing price will you get? About 68, 68, 50, it looks like amongst mode, most major changes. It still offers up the potential for a nice hunt to the upside and maybe even a shift in market direction to the upside. But at the levels to delineate the shifts, in my opinion, are more or less the same as what we saw yesterday. So going into our lower term time frames, what I really want to focus on here is the four hour, actually. This is one of the few times well, not one of the few times, but but this this I think I think things are just most clear from the 4:00 hour right here when usually, you know, it’s a higher term time frames than the other guy. But but looking at the four hour right here, of course, we did get a fake out Golden Cross back in the Death Cross. And now as long as we are below, especially the Green 55 expedition, we average. And and by extension that you wanted X Benjamin average. There is pressure down. Of course. But could the tides of bitcoin change for the short and medium time frames here, backup to the upside? Yes, absolutely. What would be needed from each kind of jump back on that train? And I mean, quite literally, a four hour delay closure of the 200X Benjamen average at 60 950 ish region to again look at your exchange is going to be different amongst, you know, amongst many of them. Interesting. Opening closures above that region. Yes. Likely does align itself with, at the very least, another attempt backup towards this local high, about sunny 158 region for the short term and for the medium term backup likely to this Bluebox territory right around here. So I do need to put in a few more because I am looking at the lower term time frames right here. And what I’m talking about is this guy right here. There is. This is only relevant to the low term time frames. I mean, to be very careful with the way that I express myself here, because this is where I think it’s easiest for me to not not not say things in the way that I should be saying them. But what I’m trying to get on our side. What I’m trying to explain here is that the short term time frames still a game between essentially, let’s call it 60, 750, if you want to be a let’s call it six, seven hundred on a more conservative note into the upside about say sixty nine 50ish region and you can make a nice liquids home right here even as well if you’re if you’re like looking at the very low time frames and I can put a another another Bluebox right here. So again, as long as bitcoin is below this. Bluebox it’s still pressure down. My my overall bias is still certainly to the downside as long as below there. If Bitcoin gets above there on a short term time frame out at the very least, look for another retest of this local high, about Sony 150. And realistically speaking, I do think that, you know, personally, I think Bitcoin would gun for the next medium term timeframe range back up to about 70 373 50ish reaching give or take about 50 bucks. Now, above there, things can change for them for the hired macro term time frames. If we close, say, like a 12 hour total, especially above seventy three fifty or seventy four hundred is region, I would target another move and then another extension. Kind of what we’re looking at last week during this redistribution of fave phase right here all the way up to about seventy eight hundred seventy nine hundred is region in this Bluebox territory correlated with our prior historical Autoblog, not just coming in from March of this year, but actually all the way in in this sort of breakout territory that we saw in late twenty nineteen before this four thousand dollar move up from sixty five to ten five. So a you know a very massive area from historical from historical standpoint. But at the end of the day the the these sort of triggering effects for that are more or less the same for myself. And now which is kind of I’m just kind of churn out the lower term time frames because while real estate very little is change other than that and we need more things talked about because what the fuck of, you know, what the fuck what else are you gonna do on a Tuesday? I’m. Not going to do too much. Oh, I forgot about I forgot to talk about Twitch, I probably I probably won’t be doing Twitch Day. I need to go to the doctor again later and probably not going to be good news. So I will be on very, very, very, very, very likely. So. Fair enough. Anyways, for the downside. For the downside, actually. You still into the downside here, especially as long as we’re below sixty nine 50ish region and I will hold short as long as were below that region as well, especially on an open and closed basis for a $4 timeframe. But the downside is a little more diabolical because we do have this trendline that’s been coming in all the way from Saarland. Put these back on all the way back in from our March 13 lows right here in the last few local lows, 1 2. You could even count this as 3, you know, depending upon how you kind of aggressively put this over here. But say, you know, it’s it’s it’s it’s more or less getting the same area. And what’s more important to me is the correlation with the horizontal right here, which I do believe is getting it properly. So what does that mean? That means that if we actually do break sixty seven hundred, especially on a four hour total closure, and realistically, because this area is so big and it’s not just a low term timeframe area, it’s a medium time frame area as well. And you could even by extension make that a higher term time for. We are looking at the culmination of the last month to a month and a half a price action right here in this kind of rising Channel ish formation, which is further verified by the volume signature for the verified by the open interest signature, you know, kind of coming. Sorry. Awesome. Between the 550 million and 700 million dollar mark. And now and also and also by lesser extension. Well, actually, more extension as as as I think that this gets a little bit better for our historical multi-tier percentile, actually, maybe you could even use it daily at this point to yacht’s contracting still quite a bit. But overall, that area is holding a lot of weight myself. So I wouldn’t look for the next big bad breakdown in bitcoin price action until we realistically break this this Bluebox right here. I want to see like a full on clean enclosure below sixty seven hundred on an open, inclosed basis. I’d be beautiful for the more aggressive traders they might be looking at about sixty seven fifty right here. I think that that’s also relevant, but I don’t see the need to be aggressive in this region as this would initiate a measure moved from this rising channel, or if you want to call it a rising wedge. What are the fuck you want to call it? The implication is the same. Redistribution is the name of the game here. As far as I’m concerned, as long as you believe in as long as we’re living below, you know, I mean shit 7d twenty three to thirty four hundred. I do believe that it would initiate a match move all the way down here towards about forty eight fifty forty nine hundred is region now of course it would be a little bit you know, a little bit lofty to say that you know if bitcoin breaks this area we’re gonna for sure have a two about a 2009 move to the downside. I do believe that there’s gonna be bounce along the way and perhaps even you do have a reversal somewhere along there as well. We’d have to see that in real time. But proverbially speaking, because it is you know, it is in the cards right here. And and I do want to be thorough with the way that I talk about this. You know, I technically it is there, although I would be looking for bounces around about 60, 400, then 60 or so. Fifty nine hundred and fifty six hundred. And then all the way down to the tippy top bottom at about forty nine forty eight fifty ish region ish. You know, give or take a few bucks. So at the end of the day I do still think that there’s pressure down and and I don’t really have any reason to be even medium term bullish as long as we’re above let’s call it seventy three to seventy four hundred each region. That area very important not just for the medium term timeframe, but also for the high and the macro time frames. You can see that that’s our daily 55 expensive damage right here. Our last local high, if you want to call it that. And then also if we go to the monthly, a time frame, which I think is incredibly important for long term direction macro you might even call it. We do see the yellow twenty one Benjamin average hovering right around actually a little bit below S300 300 treason. To be fair, going back through the annals of history here, we do see if we go to be alecks index. That big one has a lovely interplay on plane off that yellow twenty minutes Namche for both his bull and bear phases whenever above it, generally good whenever blow generally bad looking at the slope of it. Also further confirms that more long term narrative of a macro’s of you know, of a macro trend. Any time that we have a you know, anytime that we’re living below it and also has a negative slope, well, that’s this area right here where we where where we get stuck below it. We do test a few times up, but on an O on a closing basis, always below. And then boom, big move down. Then a positive slope emerges as bitcoin B gains it right over here and massive move from 300 bucks to twenty thousand dollars. It’s kind of crazy. And that same thing in 2018 to a lesser extent, not as not, you know, not as crazy here. And then once again, it looks like we are once again in danger of of really opening and closing our first multi dollar below it since, well, 2018, which I do believe would really sexual line with those for the target to the downside. But again, you know, on you know, this channel is all about trading, not about fuckin’ being an analyst and trying to like have the call, you know, because it doesn’t matter. It doesn’t matter if you fucking call some if you don’t if you don’t trade for it. So, you know, for free to look for it. For full disclosure, I’m still holding my short from like 70 two hundred. I will close it above 7000 or sixty nine fifty depending upon what I see on a closing basis. And. And I’ll just kind of let the let the let the chips fall where they may. As it’s relatively easy to cover right here. Anyways, on top of that I do want to go back to the daily and talk about some that I again I don’t really talk about this too much, although I have been. More and more we use for a reason, it’s kind of funny. I used to give this I see this indicator a lot of shit, but it actually does. It actually does kind of help my my analysis or at least confirm my analysis using other tools in a more direct way. And that’s the good old Mac de the McDonald’s indicator. And what do you know? We do see that the Mac, he did get up right at right above the zero read and now looking like it’s getting a little bit a little bit tired here. More important than that, we do see obviously bearish divergence between this point and this point. So the momentum to the upside is waning. The question is, though, do we get another spike up to meet this trend line and and play out another move, maybe up to 73? Does that move get us all the way up to maybe even seventy nine or eight thousand? Possible, yes. But you can see that over the lot. You know, over the long period time, it’s momentum being gain to the downside right here. This is all the way throughout February of twenty twenty, by the way, all the way down to March 13th, of course. And now momentum waning to the waning to the upside right here. While these guys get ready to potentially kiss and maybe even cross. Now, of course, that’s not the way to be using the the, you know, the Mac to you just waiting for like, you know, we got a cross. It’s across time. It’s it’s easy now. Not not necessarily. But. But if this cross happens alongside a major level being broken, well, now we have something to really discuss. And do we have a major level in play here? Yes, absolutely. As we just looked at. I mean, shit, man, even if we break this Bluebox right here in close, a daily deal to open and close it daily. A of the 21 which we actually did close yesterday is below I believe. Yeah, just barely. But we did and and especially below let’s call it sixty seven six seven hundred. Then yes I do believe that will that will really initiate the momentum back onto the downside. Further, further confirmed by our lovely daily Stoke’s right here crossing back down from the cross, back down from the critical zone. And I do believe that the two day and three day are kind of set to follow. Actually, no, not not necessarily too much. But let’s let’s let’s take this one step further. So we have this lovely reverse stock indicator cross right here. And what we can see from this is at which point it would actually cross back onto the downside. And what you know, it’s right around 60, 70, 50 ish regions. So I love the confluence there saying that, hey, that area, it’s not it’s not adjusting exactly. What we’re gonna do is just saying that that area is a big area if we start to close these higher timeframes below it. I would expect price actually to come back down below 6000 and, you know, test those areas that we spoke about earlier. Again, you don’t want, you know, want to remain open minded here with price action as overall the higher term timeframes are still are still are still mostly bearish to myself. Looking at the two day right here, I you know, I always come back down to this. I know there’s probably an annoying for the people who 200’s content daily, but for the people who are new here, we do have a very lovely and very, very, very, very, very. One of my favorite cross’, especially for Bitcoin. It’s a two day delay death cross right here, which is getting more and more momentum away from each other. So the strength, the strength of this cross or site D. This cross is strengthening to the downside as you see more and more devons between these two moving to the 55 and a 200. And what does that mean? That means that the balton obviously switching on their cell programs slowly but surely. And as long as we are below the yellow twenty one next from an average, especially on a closing basis, I am more immediately bearish. Doesn’t mean that we can’t pop back up in tests around this region. Yes, it’s it’s so certainly very much within the cards. But as but you know, as long as we’re closing below, that is my disposition from a more defensive standpoint as a trader. Again, you know, I know that like analysts love to get caught up in the fuckin in the fuckin. What do you mean when to call? I wanted to talk about it. Jesus Christ, man. But you know, worst both to the upside and the downside. Beautiful, beautiful cross upside right here. Thousand of fourteen, 14000. Lovely. Before that, we have a great example in 2018. And we do get the death cross here in September 2018. And then Bitcoin does has a 55 once along the way, gets shuffled back down below the twenty one and and it’s and as soon as we lose it right it over here. And by the way, by the way, between cross time and doom’s drop time was from September early September 2018 to November of 2018. So September, October, November. So two to three months realistically. And that produced this lovely drop right here, 52 percent to the downside. Then we have another massively amazing cross the upside in 2015. It was leanness all the way from three hundred and twenty thousand. And then going back a little bit before that, we do see the last death cross before that right here. This one a little bit more similar kind of what we’re doing right now as well. We do see the price action very far away from the cross itself. Yes, the twenty one is governing it, but bitcoin regains at test 55. Sounds familiar to the twenty eighteen one. Right. And then once it loses the twenty one once again on an open and closed basis, it is doom’s drop time all the way down to about 54 percent to the downside. Now again from cross right. And over here this was this was middle of of October to doom’s dropped. You want to call it right here. This was December, early December. So you know, October, November, December, like two and a half months, two months, depending. On where you kind of call it from. And then what do you know right after that? Like we just said, about a 50 percent drop. So, you know, much, much, much in line now two times does not make a trend, of course. But we are working on a third iteration right here. So, you know, if you know, I you know, I think that is of interest. And if we would just play around with numbers, just out of curiosity, if we were to shave 50 percent off price action, because that is, you know, kind of like the going rate from what we’ve seen in the past as meat is always going to do that. But but just put things in perspective that would imply Target all the way down to about thirty five thirty six hundred ish region, which does actually line up with of course one of our one of our lovely gaps on semi’s right here coming in back from what was this February twenty nineteen at the thirty five fifty ish region. So we do see some things aligning with that. And I think if we take it even one step further and put on what is a really, really, really, really, really important movement of true myself in traditional markets, which I think is going to take a bigger pull position in Bitcoin as time goes on. In fact, we already kind of see it being respected here. That’s a 3 7 7. And whereas that committed around it’s coming in around that thirty six hundred all our numbers. So Bitcoin didn’t want to pop back down around there and test it. I think that that would make more or less sense. But I do want to keep an open mind here because bitcoin does want to test the upside. It there’s really not much stopping it from above like 73, 50 to 70, 400 to the eight thousand dollar regions. So if Bitcoin wanted to you know, if the market movers wanted to wash out all the overlevered shorts, they could very easily do it. What makes me think that that’s less likely to happen is all those crosses that we spoke about, plus momentum turning back onto the downside on a bunch different tools that we’ve been using and then open interest volume and volatility all agreeing that we’re very much sure within this formation right here. And when I say mature, I mean that, you know, theoretically speaking, we are definitely more than 25 percent for in this formation right here. If we’re if we’re working towards an apex of about April 19th, April 20th region. So that would suggest that at the very least, Bitcoin will be forced into a decision at around basically the end of this week, April, April 19th to April 20th. So that’s a little bit less than one week from today. So by next Monday, it will be forced. And and sometimes, you know, you do get you get you do get patterns that drone on a little bit. And if no direction is chosen, meaning no direction like like no big move. And we’re looking for a big move here. We’re looking for you know, we’re looking for either a thousand moves the upside or a $2000 move to the downside. Realistically speaking, then then, you know, typically, you know, gets a little bit more time after that. And then something new will emerge from it doesn’t happen all that often, but can happen. So. Fair enough. Good. Good to talk about nonetheless. This is further confirmed by, I believe, the volatility signature, which the volatility signature to me suggests more downside as well. The reason why I say that is because it actually precipitates what we see on the volume and the open interest. And to me, that is more important. It’s more it’s it’s maybe maybe a less direct way of looking at it, but it’s a more leading indicator than the other two, which provides a shit ton of value. And as you can see right here, we contracted all the way from March 13th basically to where we are right now. And once again, it’s expanding. And you see that it’s sustain an expansion over here above the moving average on this. And and on top of that, it’s gaining. It’s it’s it’s it’s gaining to the it’s not to the upside. It’s the volatility. It’s expanding more and more. So the momentum of the volatility is expanding. That’s the word that I’m looking for, which is really important distinction to be made, because as price action comes to the downside from that from that point, by the way, this was the apex right here, quite clearly at the top. And now the expansion phase coming as bitcoin is literally trending to the downside. Does make me lean towards the downside as well. Momentum also does on the lower term timeframes like our like a lovely Stoke’s actually not agreeing with that. We do see that for our stocks. Are she upright here? Just out of curiosity, the reverse stock indicator would say that we have to close below. Where? Oh, isn’t that lovely? Love it when the market agrees with itself at 6 750. So, you know, sixty seven hundred I think is still just an easier or more conservative way of looking at it. But botanically speaking, we have several things from both the higher term time frames and these lower term time frame saying 60 750 is the error to watch for the downside as we’re not just, you know, breaking below, there wouldn’t just kind of produce another another low and confirm this as a downtrend. You know, lower lows and lower highs. Kind of crazy, but it would also it would also it would also switch the momentum back on as we break that level. So so looking at the 3 hour, I’d expect something relatively similar. Oh, what do you know? Six, seven, fifty. Again, what do we see on the two hour sixty seven fifty fucking again. What do we see on the hourly sixty nine hundred. That’s actually technically down right now. So as long as Bitcoin is below sixty nine especially, but I could even say sixty nine fifty to seven thousand this region, even the lower term time frames are kind of difficult here. So. So funnily enough actually while we are here on the outer they by the way he struck about two trips until rather low. It’s in the single digits right now. So we probably ought to be looking at at the very least a short term move, you know, a short term move to to Shihri the tops of the range or the bottom of the range sooner rather than later. And again, this contraction phase coming at. A nice move to the downside. Contracts, price action moves up. What happens when volatility is set to expand once again? Well, looking at open interest going down from yesterday to today would suggest that that that increase in price action with shorts closing. Which means that if bears want to put back on their big red dildos and start throwing them around, they very easily have plenty of ammo to go in dry with that. So that’s why I still align with the bears right here. But hey, I’d be happy to switch round. You know, if if price action warrants that, at the end of the day, again, we’re traders here, not fucking analysts. So not, you know, not really worthwhile to get stuck in these more gang like views. This is what I look at the maths. Look at the 12 hour. There’s a really good computing narrative to everything that I’m saying. And usually when in doubt, the 12 hour tells the truth. What do we see here? Twelve ourselves crossing up from the exact same trend line that we focused on. Oh, I guess I do already have it. No, I don’t have it in from the exact same trend line that we focused on yesterday. So if I am going to be wrong and you know, you know an overall direction, well, that would be a pretty damn good insight that I’m gonna be wrong. I think already have this trend line over here. We’re technically living a little bit below, but doesn’t he be perfect? You know, this is more of a regression than anything. Stokes is gonna be more floaty and flighty. Stalk vaulted percentile on the 12 are very much waiting. We are fully contracted. Well, we’re not fully contracted, but we can still go a little bit longer. But that does suggest that this next expansion phase, we’re gonna see expansion come from all of the lower timeframes and the higher term timeframes. So it should be a pretty a pretty nice move overall. Mm. Um. What else do you want to talk about. Okay. So let’s go look at tradition marks right now. Let’s go look at aemon futures. He’s been kind of a new staple of these of these videos as I think it’s interesting. And and what do we see here, a move back up to the top sort of the range. So we do know or say, which, you know, we don’t we don’t know anything, or at least the more that the more that I learn, the more that I realize I don’t know fucking shit. It’s like really frustrating, actually, but. But overall, overall, looking at you many features right now and and coming into it with a mindset that we do see a correlation between tradition marks and Bitcoin. I think that all the people are saying that it’s not correlated, are starting to really like be quiet about it and fair enough. I you know, obviously I have my Twitter thread on that if you want to. If you wanted if you wanted to bait that, just please go watch that. We don’t need to fucking do it here. I don’t want to go through another like 20 minutes of content that I’ve done a million times. I would I would greatly appreciate it both better for you and myself. If you just go on Twitter and there’s a nice Twitter thread explaining that and you feel free, you can feel free to disagree as well. Maybe even changes in the features while possible, but with many features getting back into the tops of the range. Does bitcoin actually test back up to 70 feet or is any 400? I think it actually could. This would be the most the most supporting of that argument to myself at least. And but the question is, do we put in another local high here? It looks to me like a mini e. Many features are getting a little bit tired in this range as momentum starts to be a little bit tail off on the athlete. Now, do I really trust, you know, post-market type? I mean, not post Magots features, but. But do I trust data? That’s, you know, in nonmarket trading hours, it’s it’s notoriously, notoriously disingenuous, I think. But also it started Mortada percentile being being very low. We are set to either have a nice breakout from this level or a nice break down. That’s what everyone fucking hates about t.a. It’s like can go up, can go down. Well, if it goes down, I’d be notified by moved back down below. Let’s call it twenty seven seventy and I’d look for extension all the way down here to Losada the range about twenty seven twenty seven twenty to twenty seven, thirty ish region by the same token to the upside a lot more, a lot more insight into the upside as this one can really rip actually all the way up to maybe even twenty nine twenty nine to twenty nine fifty which would put spy. right around twenty nine twenty nine say the two nineties to not you 295 region. And now I’d probably put bitcoin as well that prob’ly put bitcoin somewhere around a thousand. So you know if I am going to come up with a bullish case, actually the most bullish thing that I can come up with is looking at traditional markets and saying that it’s it’s very close to break out there if it wants to. However, I really need to see the open of tradition marks before getting too gung ho about that. Anyways, going back down to our many futures. Let’s look at it on a daily or we’ve kind of already their daily sofiane way up there. That’s fine though. You do expect them to kind of operate like that during strong moves, but we do see a nice trend line forming here and we’re gonna be meeting it today and it’s actually got one, two, three, maybe even four touches on it. So, you know, it’s it’s not it’s not all said and done. Also on top of that, we do have what looks to to me to be more of a bear signature on our daily RSI. We do have pretty massive hit and Bear Shepard between this point over here all the way out. While this is this is above thirty one hundred. So they’d be like three 10 on SPI at this point right here. Technically speaking. But this will not be confirmed. This will not be confirmed intel until until Intel. We come back down below yesterday’s daily low at the very least. And if you and if I want to be more conservative, I’d look for actually Monday’s daily low to twenty seven hundred even. And then I’d look for move, move. Full on move all the way back down to about twenty six, twenty six thirty, and that would probably land Bitcoin somewhere around the low six thousands if you want to make a correlation between the two. But I project for bouncer’s well at the very least on a low timeframe. And then if it breaks it then we can have some fun times to the downside. But but I think that that’s gonna be a little bit slower moving than than bitcoin right now. So, you know, not really pressure on exactly at the moment. But we do also have a little bit of a bearish formation going on right here as well in the formation of a rising, rising wedge, which do tend to work out better interest markets. Now let’s look at Japan and see what Japan is doing. Japan’s actually making new highs on this formation. Now, it has been Japan has has Japan been leading recently? No, it hasn’t. But I do think that it’s relevant nonetheless. We’ve seen it lead in the past. But but for right now, you know, technically speaking, we do have new highs on Japan. So, you know, I do wanna present both sides. And that would be a little bit more on the on the good side, if you want to call it that. If you’re bullish, I suppose looking at gold, we do see gold still being the absolute diamond in this fucking market in world markets. Again, not a huge fan of gold or anything like that, but I am a good fan of RMI. I am a big fan of good charts. And we’ve been bullish on this one for a while and I’d still remain bullish on it. I do think that it’s I still think eighteen hundreds is is is likely where this one goes medium and long term. And then we’ll come back after that and reassess. But as long as this thing is especially above like 16, 20, I have no reason to be medium or long term bearish. Short term is going to ebb and flow. Maybe on the short term, we have a little bit of a.. Yeah, we do have a little bit of lost momentum here. We do have some pretty massive bearish evidence in the alley. Even a gel, even a jewel sell signal right here. So, you know, it doesn’t come back down and test around seventeen hundred even or even sixteen, sixteen seventy five. I think that that’s possible. I don’t think you really throw anything off. It’s a higher term timeframes that I’m focused on, some like this. So you know, right now this one does seem to be the hedge. The world is that the world’s kind of green on for the time being. You know, you don’t really see you don’t see this on Bitcoin right now. You don’t only see this on our tradition markets. So fair enough. As it stands right now, and especially as long as we’re close in Weekly’s above 16, 75, I really have no reason to be long term. Bearish on it does mean it can’t happen again. But, you know, I retain that bias which has been keeping us or keeping myself. Well, I don’t even fucking tried this one. So why even talk about it? Fuck it, fuck it. Let’s go over to spy by close a day yesterday. And I mean, it’s gonna be more or less the same as many hard a hard won here. Hard when it looks it looks like right now we’d probly open up right around to eighty twenty two and a half. Can it can we actually get above there those real question or just get above Monday’s high. That’s just gonna be time, you know, time wasted time. Time waiting. I suppose you’ll check out a couple of the top check points and see how well see how they’re holding up right now. Maybe come up with a little bit more of a bias in this market, depending upon if there’s some sort of an agreement, you know, between all the majors and Mr. β, all obviously a little bit more bearish than the rest. I do think what it might do, another test up to the 55 at 165, but overall is lots of things below the one. It’s simple at one seventy two and a quarter. I have no reason to be long term bullish on this thing. I’d still be long term bearish on. It does mean it again doesn’t mean I can’t get above butso, but we need to do that. First and foremost, UGC, this long term trend line coming kind of coming in here as well, which would be coming in right at the 55. So if so if you even did pop back up to the 55, I’d probably look at that as an opportunity. If not, I mean this you know, all momentum also has a pointed downwards right now. The weekly is the weekly actually isn’t is the weekly. ashie isn’t all that bearish. Weekly actually is not all that bearish to be them like wine, like wine. Forty one and a quarter right now as well. The weekly you know, looking more or less kinda bitcoin the daily significantly more bearish than both albuterol and bitcoin itself as long as it’s below the twenty one. And I’m in no way, shape or form bullish on this. And I do think that is propaganda gun for a move down to like thirty seven bucks. If like one is leading this market, litecoin would be the biggest indication that we are going to tell some downside here. Again, if it wanted to pop back up towards forty six and a half, if bitcoin tested around like 73 or Centerfor, they’ll be fine, but it doesn’t change anything from the high. The macro time frames above there though. That’s when the that’s when the floodgates get open to the upside. And now look for a move towards, you know, above north of 50 bucks again, which is really important actually, because what do we see on the weekly right here? We actually see a weekly exponential moving average death cross along the way. It probably will happen sometime around the end of this month, assuming that Litecoin is not able to get above especially 50 bucks and even from a longer term perspective, $60. So it doesn’t mean that can’t happen. But putting perspective in here more sideways is more bearish. Is is kind of the kind of picture that I’m painting from, you know, from the long term on this one, from like a weekly closing bases, you know, especially especially as long as blow, you know, forty five dollars. I mean, that’s not looking all that hot there. Okay, cool. So we’ve already spoken your ear off for the last thirty five minutes. I’ve been looked at probabilities just yet. So let’s go over here, check out our probability chart and align it with our low term timeframe areas once again against sixty seven hundred. The downside on a twelve hour delay, closure, pride does it for me for opening up the floodgates at the very least for a move down to like sixty four hundred point other bouncier and then, you know, same, you know, same shit as we spoke about before. We’d actually time the site, this area a little bit to the upside, a little bit more diabolical. I could get short term bullish for extension on a four hour open enclosure above sixty nine fifty. At the very least, target to move over here to six seventy one 50ish region and probably even by extension hit the three Sony 400 ish region once again above Sundy 400. That’s where things such look really good for the you know. Well maybe not really good, but it looks good for another extension of 600 bucks ish or so at a seven thousand price point. That’s almost 10 percent move. It’s really fucking tradable. And then who knows, you know, maybe continuation after that to the upside. But one thing at a time anyways. So with those areas in mind, let’s go over here to our probability chart and let’s see what we got. So I’m looking at the daily right now with a range of let’s call it sixty seven to the downside and to the upside. We can we can keep seventy three for now. But I do want to see what the probability of seventy seven thousand is sixty nine fifty seven thousand each region. And as you can see right now, the above target probability and again this is for the median higher term time frames above seventy three, that would be thirteen percent. So you’ve seen this drastically go down as time goes on and a failure to break to the upside has well not happened. The downside target probably has significantly gone up in relationship to it all the way up to twenty six and a quarter now. So the downside, you know, the more sideways that we go here, the more and more likely from a probability standpoint, from a mathematical standpoint, with regards to of alternatives until this gets to the downside. Now, I did say that that, you know, the seventh round, it’s a little bit more of a lofty area. Of course, we took like maybe 7000 or setsuna 700. That’s not fair. Maybe Charlton’s maybe talk about 7000, huh? And what do we see here? We see that, you know, the probability of that area taken out to the upside is actually rather high. So I just want to show that another move above that area, which would in turn initiate at the very least another hundred fifty dollars, move up to somebody 50. And I do think 73 to 74. It would get tested up to that is is in the cards here still, but closing above that area and initiating the next set of of targets, at least for myself. Not funded by some non-offensive other is a little bit, you know, a little bit unlikely from a daily close perspective. But but right now that that’s 7000 or our level on a daily closing basis, 39 a little bit above thirty nine and half percent to the downside. Still obviously the same. We could take this one step further and not look at the 6 700 discrete right here and instead take the more conservative area down towards 64. I don’t think that this is warranted. I don’t think that this is needed. But I’m just curious, you know, just for just for throwing this is sake here. Well, what would the probability of closing all of that today be? 5 5 spot 5 by 8 percent. It looks like Fatfat 5 a.D.A. Came in Speek anyways. Let’s get back onto bitcoin right now and time to wrap this bitch up for our disclosure below, especially like 67. I’d like to see like 6 650. Then yes, I do think that’s going to initiate the whole 1 move to the downside, although it bounces along the way at the very least, and perhaps they do reverse. But we’ll come back and read and analyze on real time. By by the same token to the upside, as long as we’re as long as we’re below the 2 index measurement on the 4 hour. I’m not bullish on price action. And if we open and close a four, I’ll do it above it. I would look for extension at the very least, a 71 50 and probably all the way up to 73, 50, 74, kind of in line with what we see in many futures. Once again, kind of testing the prior high region. But but, you know, tight margins here and in a big bad trade, I think gonna be showing it’s showing its hand relatively soon. I do think that, you know, according according to the volume senator in the volatility signature, where she might have the volatility suggests that we might already even be seen it. The volume signature suggests that, you know, before between now and a week from today, we very likely see a resolution here. So that’s going to do for right now. Like I said, will not be on twitch later today or very unlikely to be on twitch. Depending upon a few things, I need to go to the doctor and get a few things checked out. I want to wish everyone well once again and again apologize for the inconvenience and discord. But but at the end, as you know, it’s it’s for a better user experience and zom. And with that said, take care. And until next time.

source https://www.cryptosharks.net/bitcoin-big-wave-incoming-april-2020/ source https://cryptosharks1.tumblr.com/post/615663681569718272

[cryptosharks1]

Bitcoin BIG WAVE Incoming! April 2020 Price Prediction & News Analysis

VIDEO TRANSCRIPT

TONY EASTLEY Are we about to witness a massive shift in changing tides in Bitcoin land, or is this the last chance for love me into my salvation, my soul and my soul? Let me let me say let me go to my. Welcome back to crowds could dock people off camera number two. Once again, we are here to discuss some very important price action. However, before you to that. I do need to make a massive announcement because there’s been a lot of confusion surrounding this, but it’s understandable. And of course, it’s has to do with the Dischord community. So if you are part of the general community in the inner discord, the link, of course, in the script, him down below, you’ll notice that probably all of your acts has been taken away from all of the channels that you could once see. We actually initiated a whole new verification process, kind of get rid of all of the there’s a whole bunch of fuckin fuckery going around, which isn’t really like the short answer to it. And we just kind of want to clean out and do a little bit of a little bit of spring cleaning. If you want to call it that spring in Finland, actually postpone for a little bit of time because it is actually little is known here, right here right now anyways. More on topic. God dammit, crown focus. But the thing is, is that if you have not already verified yourself, the only way to verify yourself, listen very, very carefully, because this is really important. If you do want to get back into this core channel as you’ll have to leave the channel. You have to. Sorry, leap not not leave the channel, but leave the server completely the server and then re join the server and you can find a link in the description below. You can also find it on our website. Crown trading dot net. And it’s you know, it’s just right there for you anyways. More importantly, once you rejoin once you’ve actually rejoined the server after leaving it, you’ll be prompted with a private message, direct message where the fuck you want to call it that will show up in the top left hand side of your of your discord, pop up whatever it is, and it will be from ah, lovely welcome Sentinel Baute titled or his name I believe his alter identifier hlt dtn t.i fbi. Ah, if I spell proper I don’t know. So gonna problem name in the home on that crown. You don’t not spell well actually. Well good. I know I a. And importantly spelling doesn’t matter. But the important point is is that that bot will damu some instructions on how to verify yourself. It’s a very, very simple process. I know it’s annoying, but it is necessary to make the whole community better. In general, we’re trying to really up the quality of what’s going on. I think that discussions have kind of been devolving maybe sometimes. So we decided to put it in for that veto for those reasons. Then, of course, to get rid of all the spam bots and everything as well, it’s that’s really, really fucking annoying and in some ways even harmful anyways. So with regards to that, you’ll be positive you’ll be prompted with that private message. So that means that if you aren’t accepting private messages or or direct messages from from server members, then you’ll need to enable that. I believe it’s under your privacy settings for discord. And then the bot will be able to send you a private message. It will set you up with a link on how to verify yourself. It will try to do some sort of capture. Or maybe it will. Or maybe it’ll allow you to verify yourself through like Twitter or Reddit or YouTube, some social media venue. That’s pretty much applicable to everyone. And then again, for that, you know, for 4, people don’t have anything like that. The capture option is there as well. And once you’ve done that, it’ll give you a specific role and then you will be had in. Then you’ll be granted all your access as you had before. And so the community obviously going to be a lot more smaller now, but more intimate. And to be a to be honest with you. I really, really, really, really, really like that scene more than like the fucking massive crowd, which can get a little bit overwhelming at times. And you know what? You know, when crowds get bigger and everything, it’s like I feel like people value each other less because it’s like, oh, well, there’s another person about it over here. Well, now that it’s more intimate, once again, I have a feeling that it’s gonna bring back that the community feel anyways. Okay. Jesus Christ man, there’s a bunch of boring shit that you’re prolly not even interested in anyways. Put for the people who I want to make sure that you have that information right there. Again, if you are if you were already a part of the discourse community, what you will need to do now is you need to leave and then rejoin if you don’t already have yourself verified. And then and then all good anyways. OK. Getting on over here in Truthy crunching allocation, which I have a very devastating announcement to make actually in a little bit more of a somber tone. I do want to look into the camera because this is a little bit serious. Our developer is our developers wife who who’s working on this. And she was going to have the open interest chart ready hopefully by yesterday on foot. And that’s not gonna be happening because his wife is showing symptoms of the Corona virus. And by extension, you know, them living together. He’s probably, you know, if she has it, he prolly has it as well. So right now he’s gonna he’s gonna go get checked out and hopefully, you know, we’re gonna we’re going to keep our fingers crossed and everything’s fine. But at the end of the day, you know, priorities call right now. And so he’ll have to take care of that. You know, we wish him well and everything. And and I’m sure that and I’m sure that most people here even know him in the community. But for right now, all updates gonna have to be postponed for a little bit of time for obvious reasons. So, again, looking back into right now, I kind of switch up gears once again, but. The open interest, we do see open interest coming down about 20 to 30 million from yesterday to today, which shows us that we have still yet to see the big bad break that we’re looking for. Whether it even comes the upset or the downside, referencing the beginning of this video. Are we seeing that? Are we seeing a changing of tides or are we seeing the last chance for love? Well, I can present the case for both. But there are some damned. But anytime you have that sort of an edge, it offers up a really, really, really, really, really nice trading while trading plan, I suppose, anyways. With that said, it’s still in the. It’s still within the context of the open interest here that we are consulting before this next change behavior, so to speak, on the lower and medium timeframes. Now, can that extrapolate to the upper heart-to-heart to the higher and the macro timeframes? Yes, absolutely. But those levels are still very much the same as we’ve been discussing for like the last month or so now. And and you can go and you can reference the long term analysis video that I uploaded on Sunday and the long term analysis playlists, which which will go into much more detail on that anyways. On top of that, all other all other metrics for the underlying market dynamics are more or less the same. Crypto Fear and Greed Index popped up a few points here from a from an 11 read to a 15. Again, if there’s anything that does make me lean a little bit more towards OK, this could be a fake out or we actually do have a nice move to the upside. It would be that you wouldn’t expect the market to be so fearful when well, when quite little, the price session has doubled off the lows. That is a pretty damn good hallmark actually of a change of type. Anyways, what’s more important is actual was is actual price action because we’re just looking at a derivative right now. And so it’s going to price action charts right here. And what do you see? Bitcoin hovering right around the daily twenty minutes, Benjamin average. And there’s a lot to say about this right here. So with yesterday’s big wake up, you know, testing all the way down to six, five is reaching a closing right around. What kind of closing price will you get? About 68, 68, 50, it looks like amongst mode, most major changes. It still offers up the potential for a nice hunt to the upside and maybe even a shift in market direction to the upside. But at the levels to delineate the shifts, in my opinion, are more or less the same as what we saw yesterday. So going into our lower term time frames, what I really want to focus on here is the four hour, actually. This is one of the few times well, not one of the few times, but but this this I think I think things are just most clear from the 4:00 hour right here when usually, you know, it’s a higher term time frames than the other guy. But but looking at the four hour right here, of course, we did get a fake out Golden Cross back in the Death Cross. And now as long as we are below, especially the Green 55 expedition, we average. And and by extension that you wanted X Benjamin average. There is pressure down. Of course. But could the tides of bitcoin change for the short and medium time frames here, backup to the upside? Yes, absolutely. What would be needed from each kind of jump back on that train? And I mean, quite literally, a four hour delay closure of the 200X Benjamen average at 60 950 ish region to again look at your exchange is going to be different amongst, you know, amongst many of them. Interesting. Opening closures above that region. Yes. Likely does align itself with, at the very least, another attempt backup towards this local high, about sunny 158 region for the short term and for the medium term backup likely to this Bluebox territory right around here. So I do need to put in a few more because I am looking at the lower term time frames right here. And what I’m talking about is this guy right here. There is. This is only relevant to the low term time frames. I mean, to be very careful with the way that I express myself here, because this is where I think it’s easiest for me to not not not say things in the way that I should be saying them. But what I’m trying to get on our side. What I’m trying to explain here is that the short term time frames still a game between essentially, let’s call it 60, 750, if you want to be a let’s call it six, seven hundred on a more conservative note into the upside about say sixty nine 50ish region and you can make a nice liquids home right here even as well if you’re if you’re like looking at the very low time frames and I can put a another another Bluebox right here. So again, as long as bitcoin is below this. Bluebox it’s still pressure down. My my overall bias is still certainly to the downside as long as below there. If Bitcoin gets above there on a short term time frame out at the very least, look for another retest of this local high, about Sony 150. And realistically speaking, I do think that, you know, personally, I think Bitcoin would gun for the next medium term timeframe range back up to about 70 373 50ish reaching give or take about 50 bucks. Now, above there, things can change for them for the hired macro term time frames. If we close, say, like a 12 hour total, especially above seventy three fifty or seventy four hundred is region, I would target another move and then another extension. Kind of what we’re looking at last week during this redistribution of fave phase right here all the way up to about seventy eight hundred seventy nine hundred is region in this Bluebox territory correlated with our prior historical Autoblog, not just coming in from March of this year, but actually all the way in in this sort of breakout territory that we saw in late twenty nineteen before this four thousand dollar move up from sixty five to ten five. So a you know a very massive area from historical from historical standpoint. But at the end of the day the the these sort of triggering effects for that are more or less the same for myself. And now which is kind of I’m just kind of churn out the lower term time frames because while real estate very little is change other than that and we need more things talked about because what the fuck of, you know, what the fuck what else are you gonna do on a Tuesday? I’m. Not going to do too much. Oh, I forgot about I forgot to talk about Twitch, I probably I probably won’t be doing Twitch Day. I need to go to the doctor again later and probably not going to be good news. So I will be on very, very, very, very, very likely. So. Fair enough. Anyways, for the downside. For the downside, actually. You still into the downside here, especially as long as we’re below sixty nine 50ish region and I will hold short as long as were below that region as well, especially on an open and closed basis for a $4 timeframe. But the downside is a little more diabolical because we do have this trendline that’s been coming in all the way from Saarland. Put these back on all the way back in from our March 13 lows right here in the last few local lows, 1 2. You could even count this as 3, you know, depending upon how you kind of aggressively put this over here. But say, you know, it’s it’s it’s it’s more or less getting the same area. And what’s more important to me is the correlation with the horizontal right here, which I do believe is getting it properly. So what does that mean? That means that if we actually do break sixty seven hundred, especially on a four hour total closure, and realistically, because this area is so big and it’s not just a low term timeframe area, it’s a medium time frame area as well. And you could even by extension make that a higher term time for. We are looking at the culmination of the last month to a month and a half a price action right here in this kind of rising Channel ish formation, which is further verified by the volume signature for the verified by the open interest signature, you know, kind of coming. Sorry. Awesome. Between the 550 million and 700 million dollar mark. And now and also and also by lesser extension. Well, actually, more extension as as as I think that this gets a little bit better for our historical multi-tier percentile, actually, maybe you could even use it daily at this point to yacht’s contracting still quite a bit. But overall, that area is holding a lot of weight myself. So I wouldn’t look for the next big bad breakdown in bitcoin price action until we realistically break this this Bluebox right here. I want to see like a full on clean enclosure below sixty seven hundred on an open, inclosed basis. I’d be beautiful for the more aggressive traders they might be looking at about sixty seven fifty right here. I think that that’s also relevant, but I don’t see the need to be aggressive in this region as this would initiate a measure moved from this rising channel, or if you want to call it a rising wedge. What are the fuck you want to call it? The implication is the same. Redistribution is the name of the game here. As far as I’m concerned, as long as you believe in as long as we’re living below, you know, I mean shit 7d twenty three to thirty four hundred. I do believe that it would initiate a match move all the way down here towards about forty eight fifty forty nine hundred is region now of course it would be a little bit you know, a little bit lofty to say that you know if bitcoin breaks this area we’re gonna for sure have a two about a 2009 move to the downside. I do believe that there’s gonna be bounce along the way and perhaps even you do have a reversal somewhere along there as well. We’d have to see that in real time. But proverbially speaking, because it is you know, it is in the cards right here. And and I do want to be thorough with the way that I talk about this. You know, I technically it is there, although I would be looking for bounces around about 60, 400, then 60 or so. Fifty nine hundred and fifty six hundred. And then all the way down to the tippy top bottom at about forty nine forty eight fifty ish region ish. You know, give or take a few bucks. So at the end of the day I do still think that there’s pressure down and and I don’t really have any reason to be even medium term bullish as long as we’re above let’s call it seventy three to seventy four hundred each region. That area very important not just for the medium term timeframe, but also for the high and the macro time frames. You can see that that’s our daily 55 expensive damage right here. Our last local high, if you want to call it that. And then also if we go to the monthly, a time frame, which I think is incredibly important for long term direction macro you might even call it. We do see the yellow twenty one Benjamin average hovering right around actually a little bit below S300 300 treason. To be fair, going back through the annals of history here, we do see if we go to be alecks index. That big one has a lovely interplay on plane off that yellow twenty minutes Namche for both his bull and bear phases whenever above it, generally good whenever blow generally bad looking at the slope of it. Also further confirms that more long term narrative of a macro’s of you know, of a macro trend. Any time that we have a you know, anytime that we’re living below it and also has a negative slope, well, that’s this area right here where we where where we get stuck below it. We do test a few times up, but on an O on a closing basis, always below. And then boom, big move down. Then a positive slope emerges as bitcoin B gains it right over here and massive move from 300 bucks to twenty thousand dollars. It’s kind of crazy. And that same thing in 2018 to a lesser extent, not as not, you know, not as crazy here. And then once again, it looks like we are once again in danger of of really opening and closing our first multi dollar below it since, well, 2018, which I do believe would really sexual line with those for the target to the downside. But again, you know, on you know, this channel is all about trading, not about fuckin’ being an analyst and trying to like have the call, you know, because it doesn’t matter. It doesn’t matter if you fucking call some if you don’t if you don’t trade for it. So, you know, for free to look for it. For full disclosure, I’m still holding my short from like 70 two hundred. I will close it above 7000 or sixty nine fifty depending upon what I see on a closing basis. And. And I’ll just kind of let the let the let the chips fall where they may. As it’s relatively easy to cover right here. Anyways, on top of that I do want to go back to the daily and talk about some that I again I don’t really talk about this too much, although I have been. More and more we use for a reason, it’s kind of funny. I used to give this I see this indicator a lot of shit, but it actually does. It actually does kind of help my my analysis or at least confirm my analysis using other tools in a more direct way. And that’s the good old Mac de the McDonald’s indicator. And what do you know? We do see that the Mac, he did get up right at right above the zero read and now looking like it’s getting a little bit a little bit tired here. More important than that, we do see obviously bearish divergence between this point and this point. So the momentum to the upside is waning. The question is, though, do we get another spike up to meet this trend line and and play out another move, maybe up to 73? Does that move get us all the way up to maybe even seventy nine or eight thousand? Possible, yes. But you can see that over the lot. You know, over the long period time, it’s momentum being gain to the downside right here. This is all the way throughout February of twenty twenty, by the way, all the way down to March 13th, of course. And now momentum waning to the waning to the upside right here. While these guys get ready to potentially kiss and maybe even cross. Now, of course, that’s not the way to be using the the, you know, the Mac to you just waiting for like, you know, we got a cross. It’s across time. It’s it’s easy now. Not not necessarily. But. But if this cross happens alongside a major level being broken, well, now we have something to really discuss. And do we have a major level in play here? Yes, absolutely. As we just looked at. I mean, shit, man, even if we break this Bluebox right here in close, a daily deal to open and close it daily. A of the 21 which we actually did close yesterday is below I believe. Yeah, just barely. But we did and and especially below let’s call it sixty seven six seven hundred. Then yes I do believe that will that will really initiate the momentum back onto the downside. Further, further confirmed by our lovely daily Stoke’s right here crossing back down from the cross, back down from the critical zone. And I do believe that the two day and three day are kind of set to follow. Actually, no, not not necessarily too much. But let’s let’s let’s take this one step further. So we have this lovely reverse stock indicator cross right here. And what we can see from this is at which point it would actually cross back onto the downside. And what you know, it’s right around 60, 70, 50 ish regions. So I love the confluence there saying that, hey, that area, it’s not it’s not adjusting exactly. What we’re gonna do is just saying that that area is a big area if we start to close these higher timeframes below it. I would expect price actually to come back down below 6000 and, you know, test those areas that we spoke about earlier. Again, you don’t want, you know, want to remain open minded here with price action as overall the higher term timeframes are still are still are still mostly bearish to myself. Looking at the two day right here, I you know, I always come back down to this. I know there’s probably an annoying for the people who 200’s content daily, but for the people who are new here, we do have a very lovely and very, very, very, very, very. One of my favorite cross’, especially for Bitcoin. It’s a two day delay death cross right here, which is getting more and more momentum away from each other. So the strength, the strength of this cross or site D. This cross is strengthening to the downside as you see more and more devons between these two moving to the 55 and a 200. And what does that mean? That means that the balton obviously switching on their cell programs slowly but surely. And as long as we are below the yellow twenty one next from an average, especially on a closing basis, I am more immediately bearish. Doesn’t mean that we can’t pop back up in tests around this region. Yes, it’s it’s so certainly very much within the cards. But as but you know, as long as we’re closing below, that is my disposition from a more defensive standpoint as a trader. Again, you know, I know that like analysts love to get caught up in the fuckin in the fuckin. What do you mean when to call? I wanted to talk about it. Jesus Christ, man. But you know, worst both to the upside and the downside. Beautiful, beautiful cross upside right here. Thousand of fourteen, 14000. Lovely. Before that, we have a great example in 2018. And we do get the death cross here in September 2018. And then Bitcoin does has a 55 once along the way, gets shuffled back down below the twenty one and and it’s and as soon as we lose it right it over here. And by the way, by the way, between cross time and doom’s drop time was from September early September 2018 to November of 2018. So September, October, November. So two to three months realistically. And that produced this lovely drop right here, 52 percent to the downside. Then we have another massively amazing cross the upside in 2015. It was leanness all the way from three hundred and twenty thousand. And then going back a little bit before that, we do see the last death cross before that right here. This one a little bit more similar kind of what we’re doing right now as well. We do see the price action very far away from the cross itself. Yes, the twenty one is governing it, but bitcoin regains at test 55. Sounds familiar to the twenty eighteen one. Right. And then once it loses the twenty one once again on an open and closed basis, it is doom’s drop time all the way down to about 54 percent to the downside. Now again from cross right. And over here this was this was middle of of October to doom’s dropped. You want to call it right here. This was December, early December. So you know, October, November, December, like two and a half months, two months, depending. On where you kind of call it from. And then what do you know right after that? Like we just said, about a 50 percent drop. So, you know, much, much, much in line now two times does not make a trend, of course. But we are working on a third iteration right here. So, you know, if you know, I you know, I think that is of interest. And if we would just play around with numbers, just out of curiosity, if we were to shave 50 percent off price action, because that is, you know, kind of like the going rate from what we’ve seen in the past as meat is always going to do that. But but just put things in perspective that would imply Target all the way down to about thirty five thirty six hundred ish region, which does actually line up with of course one of our one of our lovely gaps on semi’s right here coming in back from what was this February twenty nineteen at the thirty five fifty ish region. So we do see some things aligning with that. And I think if we take it even one step further and put on what is a really, really, really, really, really important movement of true myself in traditional markets, which I think is going to take a bigger pull position in Bitcoin as time goes on. In fact, we already kind of see it being respected here. That’s a 3 7 7. And whereas that committed around it’s coming in around that thirty six hundred all our numbers. So Bitcoin didn’t want to pop back down around there and test it. I think that that would make more or less sense. But I do want to keep an open mind here because bitcoin does want to test the upside. It there’s really not much stopping it from above like 73, 50 to 70, 400 to the eight thousand dollar regions. So if Bitcoin wanted to you know, if the market movers wanted to wash out all the overlevered shorts, they could very easily do it. What makes me think that that’s less likely to happen is all those crosses that we spoke about, plus momentum turning back onto the downside on a bunch different tools that we’ve been using and then open interest volume and volatility all agreeing that we’re very much sure within this formation right here. And when I say mature, I mean that, you know, theoretically speaking, we are definitely more than 25 percent for in this formation right here. If we’re if we’re working towards an apex of about April 19th, April 20th region. So that would suggest that at the very least, Bitcoin will be forced into a decision at around basically the end of this week, April, April 19th to April 20th. So that’s a little bit less than one week from today. So by next Monday, it will be forced. And and sometimes, you know, you do get you get you do get patterns that drone on a little bit. And if no direction is chosen, meaning no direction like like no big move. And we’re looking for a big move here. We’re looking for you know, we’re looking for either a thousand moves the upside or a $2000 move to the downside. Realistically speaking, then then, you know, typically, you know, gets a little bit more time after that. And then something new will emerge from it doesn’t happen all that often, but can happen. So. Fair enough. Good. Good to talk about nonetheless. This is further confirmed by, I believe, the volatility signature, which the volatility signature to me suggests more downside as well. The reason why I say that is because it actually precipitates what we see on the volume and the open interest. And to me, that is more important. It’s more it’s it’s maybe maybe a less direct way of looking at it, but it’s a more leading indicator than the other two, which provides a shit ton of value. And as you can see right here, we contracted all the way from March 13th basically to where we are right now. And once again, it’s expanding. And you see that it’s sustain an expansion over here above the moving average on this. And and on top of that, it’s gaining. It’s it’s it’s it’s gaining to the it’s not to the upside. It’s the volatility. It’s expanding more and more. So the momentum of the volatility is expanding. That’s the word that I’m looking for, which is really important distinction to be made, because as price action comes to the downside from that from that point, by the way, this was the apex right here, quite clearly at the top. And now the expansion phase coming as bitcoin is literally trending to the downside. Does make me lean towards the downside as well. Momentum also does on the lower term timeframes like our like a lovely Stoke’s actually not agreeing with that. We do see that for our stocks. Are she upright here? Just out of curiosity, the reverse stock indicator would say that we have to close below. Where? Oh, isn’t that lovely? Love it when the market agrees with itself at 6 750. So, you know, sixty seven hundred I think is still just an easier or more conservative way of looking at it. But botanically speaking, we have several things from both the higher term time frames and these lower term time frame saying 60 750 is the error to watch for the downside as we’re not just, you know, breaking below, there wouldn’t just kind of produce another another low and confirm this as a downtrend. You know, lower lows and lower highs. Kind of crazy, but it would also it would also it would also switch the momentum back on as we break that level. So so looking at the 3 hour, I’d expect something relatively similar. Oh, what do you know? Six, seven, fifty. Again, what do we see on the two hour sixty seven fifty fucking again. What do we see on the hourly sixty nine hundred. That’s actually technically down right now. So as long as Bitcoin is below sixty nine especially, but I could even say sixty nine fifty to seven thousand this region, even the lower term time frames are kind of difficult here. So. So funnily enough actually while we are here on the outer they by the way he struck about two trips until rather low. It’s in the single digits right now. So we probably ought to be looking at at the very least a short term move, you know, a short term move to to Shihri the tops of the range or the bottom of the range sooner rather than later. And again, this contraction phase coming at. A nice move to the downside. Contracts, price action moves up. What happens when volatility is set to expand once again? Well, looking at open interest going down from yesterday to today would suggest that that that increase in price action with shorts closing. Which means that if bears want to put back on their big red dildos and start throwing them around, they very easily have plenty of ammo to go in dry with that. So that’s why I still align with the bears right here. But hey, I’d be happy to switch round. You know, if if price action warrants that, at the end of the day, again, we’re traders here, not fucking analysts. So not, you know, not really worthwhile to get stuck in these more gang like views. This is what I look at the maths. Look at the 12 hour. There’s a really good computing narrative to everything that I’m saying. And usually when in doubt, the 12 hour tells the truth. What do we see here? Twelve ourselves crossing up from the exact same trend line that we focused on. Oh, I guess I do already have it. No, I don’t have it in from the exact same trend line that we focused on yesterday. So if I am going to be wrong and you know, you know an overall direction, well, that would be a pretty damn good insight that I’m gonna be wrong. I think already have this trend line over here. We’re technically living a little bit below, but doesn’t he be perfect? You know, this is more of a regression than anything. Stokes is gonna be more floaty and flighty. Stalk vaulted percentile on the 12 are very much waiting. We are fully contracted. Well, we’re not fully contracted, but we can still go a little bit longer. But that does suggest that this next expansion phase, we’re gonna see expansion come from all of the lower timeframes and the higher term timeframes. So it should be a pretty a pretty nice move overall. Mm. Um. What else do you want to talk about. Okay. So let’s go look at tradition marks right now. Let’s go look at aemon futures. He’s been kind of a new staple of these of these videos as I think it’s interesting. And and what do we see here, a move back up to the top sort of the range. So we do know or say, which, you know, we don’t we don’t know anything, or at least the more that the more that I learn, the more that I realize I don’t know fucking shit. It’s like really frustrating, actually, but. But overall, overall, looking at you many features right now and and coming into it with a mindset that we do see a correlation between tradition marks and Bitcoin. I think that all the people are saying that it’s not correlated, are starting to really like be quiet about it and fair enough. I you know, obviously I have my Twitter thread on that if you want to. If you wanted if you wanted to bait that, just please go watch that. We don’t need to fucking do it here. I don’t want to go through another like 20 minutes of content that I’ve done a million times. I would I would greatly appreciate it both better for you and myself. If you just go on Twitter and there’s a nice Twitter thread explaining that and you feel free, you can feel free to disagree as well. Maybe even changes in the features while possible, but with many features getting back into the tops of the range. Does bitcoin actually test back up to 70 feet or is any 400? I think it actually could. This would be the most the most supporting of that argument to myself at least. And but the question is, do we put in another local high here? It looks to me like a mini e. Many features are getting a little bit tired in this range as momentum starts to be a little bit tail off on the athlete. Now, do I really trust, you know, post-market type? I mean, not post Magots features, but. But do I trust data? That’s, you know, in nonmarket trading hours, it’s it’s notoriously, notoriously disingenuous, I think. But also it started Mortada percentile being being very low. We are set to either have a nice breakout from this level or a nice break down. That’s what everyone fucking hates about t.a. It’s like can go up, can go down. Well, if it goes down, I’d be notified by moved back down below. Let’s call it twenty seven seventy and I’d look for extension all the way down here to Losada the range about twenty seven twenty seven twenty to twenty seven, thirty ish region by the same token to the upside a lot more, a lot more insight into the upside as this one can really rip actually all the way up to maybe even twenty nine twenty nine to twenty nine fifty which would put spy. right around twenty nine twenty nine say the two nineties to not you 295 region. And now I’d probably put bitcoin as well that prob’ly put bitcoin somewhere around a thousand. So you know if I am going to come up with a bullish case, actually the most bullish thing that I can come up with is looking at traditional markets and saying that it’s it’s very close to break out there if it wants to. However, I really need to see the open of tradition marks before getting too gung ho about that. Anyways, going back down to our many futures. Let’s look at it on a daily or we’ve kind of already their daily sofiane way up there. That’s fine though. You do expect them to kind of operate like that during strong moves, but we do see a nice trend line forming here and we’re gonna be meeting it today and it’s actually got one, two, three, maybe even four touches on it. So, you know, it’s it’s not it’s not all said and done. Also on top of that, we do have what looks to to me to be more of a bear signature on our daily RSI. We do have pretty massive hit and Bear Shepard between this point over here all the way out. While this is this is above thirty one hundred. So they’d be like three 10 on SPI at this point right here. Technically speaking. But this will not be confirmed. This will not be confirmed intel until until Intel. We come back down below yesterday’s daily low at the very least. And if you and if I want to be more conservative, I’d look for actually Monday’s daily low to twenty seven hundred even. And then I’d look for move, move. Full on move all the way back down to about twenty six, twenty six thirty, and that would probably land Bitcoin somewhere around the low six thousands if you want to make a correlation between the two. But I project for bouncer’s well at the very least on a low timeframe. And then if it breaks it then we can have some fun times to the downside. But but I think that that’s gonna be a little bit slower moving than than bitcoin right now. So, you know, not really pressure on exactly at the moment. But we do also have a little bit of a bearish formation going on right here as well in the formation of a rising, rising wedge, which do tend to work out better interest markets. Now let’s look at Japan and see what Japan is doing. Japan’s actually making new highs on this formation. Now, it has been Japan has has Japan been leading recently? No, it hasn’t. But I do think that it’s relevant nonetheless. We’ve seen it lead in the past. But but for right now, you know, technically speaking, we do have new highs on Japan. So, you know, I do wanna present both sides. And that would be a little bit more on the on the good side, if you want to call it that. If you’re bullish, I suppose looking at gold, we do see gold still being the absolute diamond in this fucking market in world markets. Again, not a huge fan of gold or anything like that, but I am a good fan of RMI. I am a big fan of good charts. And we’ve been bullish on this one for a while and I’d still remain bullish on it. I do think that it’s I still think eighteen hundreds is is is likely where this one goes medium and long term. And then we’ll come back after that and reassess. But as long as this thing is especially above like 16, 20, I have no reason to be medium or long term bearish. Short term is going to ebb and flow. Maybe on the short term, we have a little bit of a.. Yeah, we do have a little bit of lost momentum here. We do have some pretty massive bearish evidence in the alley. Even a gel, even a jewel sell signal right here. So, you know, it doesn’t come back down and test around seventeen hundred even or even sixteen, sixteen seventy five. I think that that’s possible. I don’t think you really throw anything off. It’s a higher term timeframes that I’m focused on, some like this. So you know, right now this one does seem to be the hedge. The world is that the world’s kind of green on for the time being. You know, you don’t really see you don’t see this on Bitcoin right now. You don’t only see this on our tradition markets. So fair enough. As it stands right now, and especially as long as we’re close in Weekly’s above 16, 75, I really have no reason to be long term. Bearish on it does mean it can’t happen again. But, you know, I retain that bias which has been keeping us or keeping myself. Well, I don’t even fucking tried this one. So why even talk about it? Fuck it, fuck it. Let’s go over to spy by close a day yesterday. And I mean, it’s gonna be more or less the same as many hard a hard won here. Hard when it looks it looks like right now we’d probly open up right around to eighty twenty two and a half. Can it can we actually get above there those real question or just get above Monday’s high. That’s just gonna be time, you know, time wasted time. Time waiting. I suppose you’ll check out a couple of the top check points and see how well see how they’re holding up right now. Maybe come up with a little bit more of a bias in this market, depending upon if there’s some sort of an agreement, you know, between all the majors and Mr. β, all obviously a little bit more bearish than the rest. I do think what it might do, another test up to the 55 at 165, but overall is lots of things below the one. It’s simple at one seventy two and a quarter. I have no reason to be long term bullish on this thing. I’d still be long term bearish on. It does mean it again doesn’t mean I can’t get above butso, but we need to do that. First and foremost, UGC, this long term trend line coming kind of coming in here as well, which would be coming in right at the 55. So if so if you even did pop back up to the 55, I’d probably look at that as an opportunity. If not, I mean this you know, all momentum also has a pointed downwards right now. The weekly is the weekly actually isn’t is the weekly. ashie isn’t all that bearish. Weekly actually is not all that bearish to be them like wine, like wine. Forty one and a quarter right now as well. The weekly you know, looking more or less kinda bitcoin the daily significantly more bearish than both albuterol and bitcoin itself as long as it’s below the twenty one. And I’m in no way, shape or form bullish on this. And I do think that is propaganda gun for a move down to like thirty seven bucks. If like one is leading this market, litecoin would be the biggest indication that we are going to tell some downside here. Again, if it wanted to pop back up towards forty six and a half, if bitcoin tested around like 73 or Centerfor, they’ll be fine, but it doesn’t change anything from the high. The macro time frames above there though. That’s when the that’s when the floodgates get open to the upside. And now look for a move towards, you know, above north of 50 bucks again, which is really important actually, because what do we see on the weekly right here? We actually see a weekly exponential moving average death cross along the way. It probably will happen sometime around the end of this month, assuming that Litecoin is not able to get above especially 50 bucks and even from a longer term perspective, $60. So it doesn’t mean that can’t happen. But putting perspective in here more sideways is more bearish. Is is kind of the kind of picture that I’m painting from, you know, from the long term on this one, from like a weekly closing bases, you know, especially especially as long as blow, you know, forty five dollars. I mean, that’s not looking all that hot there. Okay, cool. So we’ve already spoken your ear off for the last thirty five minutes. I’ve been looked at probabilities just yet. So let’s go over here, check out our probability chart and align it with our low term timeframe areas once again against sixty seven hundred. The downside on a twelve hour delay, closure, pride does it for me for opening up the floodgates at the very least for a move down to like sixty four hundred point other bouncier and then, you know, same, you know, same shit as we spoke about before. We’d actually time the site, this area a little bit to the upside, a little bit more diabolical. I could get short term bullish for extension on a four hour open enclosure above sixty nine fifty. At the very least, target to move over here to six seventy one 50ish region and probably even by extension hit the three Sony 400 ish region once again above Sundy 400. That’s where things such look really good for the you know. Well maybe not really good, but it looks good for another extension of 600 bucks ish or so at a seven thousand price point. That’s almost 10 percent move. It’s really fucking tradable. And then who knows, you know, maybe continuation after that to the upside. But one thing at a time anyways. So with those areas in mind, let’s go over here to our probability chart and let’s see what we got. So I’m looking at the daily right now with a range of let’s call it sixty seven to the downside and to the upside. We can we can keep seventy three for now. But I do want to see what the probability of seventy seven thousand is sixty nine fifty seven thousand each region. And as you can see right now, the above target probability and again this is for the median higher term time frames above seventy three, that would be thirteen percent. So you’ve seen this drastically go down as time goes on and a failure to break to the upside has well not happened. The downside target probably has significantly gone up in relationship to it all the way up to twenty six and a quarter now. So the downside, you know, the more sideways that we go here, the more and more likely from a probability standpoint, from a mathematical standpoint, with regards to of alternatives until this gets to the downside. Now, I did say that that, you know, the seventh round, it’s a little bit more of a lofty area. Of course, we took like maybe 7000 or setsuna 700. That’s not fair. Maybe Charlton’s maybe talk about 7000, huh? And what do we see here? We see that, you know, the probability of that area taken out to the upside is actually rather high. So I just want to show that another move above that area, which would in turn initiate at the very least another hundred fifty dollars, move up to somebody 50. And I do think 73 to 74. It would get tested up to that is is in the cards here still, but closing above that area and initiating the next set of of targets, at least for myself. Not funded by some non-offensive other is a little bit, you know, a little bit unlikely from a daily close perspective. But but right now that that’s 7000 or our level on a daily closing basis, 39 a little bit above thirty nine and half percent to the downside. Still obviously the same. We could take this one step further and not look at the 6 700 discrete right here and instead take the more conservative area down towards 64. I don’t think that this is warranted. I don’t think that this is needed. But I’m just curious, you know, just for just for throwing this is sake here. Well, what would the probability of closing all of that today be? 5 5 spot 5 by 8 percent. It looks like Fatfat 5 a.D.A. Came in Speek anyways. Let’s get back onto bitcoin right now and time to wrap this bitch up for our disclosure below, especially like 67. I’d like to see like 6 650. Then yes, I do think that’s going to initiate the whole 1 move to the downside, although it bounces along the way at the very least, and perhaps they do reverse. But we’ll come back and read and analyze on real time. By by the same token to the upside, as long as we’re as long as we’re below the 2 index measurement on the 4 hour. I’m not bullish on price action. And if we open and close a four, I’ll do it above it. I would look for extension at the very least, a 71 50 and probably all the way up to 73, 50, 74, kind of in line with what we see in many futures. Once again, kind of testing the prior high region. But but, you know, tight margins here and in a big bad trade, I think gonna be showing it’s showing its hand relatively soon. I do think that, you know, according according to the volume senator in the volatility signature, where she might have the volatility suggests that we might already even be seen it. The volume signature suggests that, you know, before between now and a week from today, we very likely see a resolution here. So that’s going to do for right now. Like I said, will not be on twitch later today or very unlikely to be on twitch. Depending upon a few things, I need to go to the doctor and get a few things checked out. I want to wish everyone well once again and again apologize for the inconvenience and discord. But but at the end, as you know, it’s it’s for a better user experience and zom. And with that said, take care. And until next time.

source https://www.cryptosharks.net/bitcoin-big-wave-incoming-april-2020/

[amerimemedia]

THIS REVIEW MAY CONTAIN SPOILERS Ultraman, a SciFi series that started in 1966, based on the character from Ultra-Q, a Japanese twilight zone style show, gets a Netflix Original anime based on the manga by Eiichi Shimizu which is a sequel to the original TV series. Produced by Production I.G it shares some visual similarities to Netflix’s other 3DCG anime Ajin: Demi-Human made by Polygon pictures. The Story The story follows a young Shinjiro Hayata a second year in high school and the son of Shin Hayata the current Minister of Defense and retired Ultraman of days past. Shin has lost his memories of being Earth’s giant warrior after the threat of invading aliens has come to its conclusion. Earth, now enjoying a period of peace, lacks a defender as slowly but surely unrest and uncertainty congeals in the secret alien settlements of earth. The SSSP, that is the Science Special Search Party, still operates in secret and deals with an alien that breaks the law and has been “marked for elimination”, a la Men in Black. It’s newest member is our protagonist Shinjiro as he dawns the new Ultraman suit to protect the earth from evil aliens and saving people from dangerous situations. It is also worth mentioning that the anime deviates from the original as it is no longer a fight between men in rubber suits fighting in model cities, causing massive collateral damage and death wherever they fight, but rather becoming Japanese ironman in regular human size, thus making the public believe the hero is but a simple cosplayer in the first act. The story is grittier and more rooted in reality than the original as it explores its themes of responsibility, power and the ability to wield it, ethical murder, and terrorism.  As we follow our protagonist coming to terms with murdering evil aliens, the responsibilities of dawning a hero’s mantle and being able to use his abilities properly, his character becomes more heroic and far less reminiscent of a whiny Shinji Ikari. A bit more time could have been used to develop the relationships between Shinjiro and his father, as he barely gets any screen time as it is and feels like a praise dispenser in the first place, as well as the complicated relationship between Shinjiro and Dan Moroboshi who dawns the mantle of Ultraman Seven. The story moves quite quickly yet never feels rushed due to its extensive use of quieter and slower parts that gives a bit of breathing room to its action-packed fighting sequences. Another caveat of the show is that it spends quite a bit of time on world building which is quite welcome to viewers who never even heard of the original series, and like me, certainly weren’t around at the time to enjoy it. Yet it also has quite a few glaring flaws. The whole season has a few distinct conflicts and set pieces, yet by the time the final one rolls around one are left asking oneself “Wait, what was that all about?  That was a bit sudden.”. In fact, the finale was marred by sloppy writing as it desperately attempts to connect plot threads from the beginning of the season yet it came across as completely forced and an excuse to indulge in some much-needed character development and show off how awesome our heroes are. As far as character flaws go, and I don’t mean the kind that is the hallmark of good writing, Shinjiro seems really incompetent about keeping his identity secret, not out of malice or self-destructive habit, but simply because he can’t keep his mouth shut in front of a girl. Its as if he never grasped the concept of “think before you act”. Another glaring writing flaw is highlighted by the fact that Shinjiro has trouble controlling his inborn superhuman strength despite living with it for 16 years. One would think that at least by then one would have mastery over their own body. Furthermore, part of his character development is that he was initially in it for the glory of being a superhero without all of the strings that come attached with that, spawning a subpar plot of “will he or won’t he ever take up the mantle”. In fact, Shinjiro as a character is barely believable as it stands. On one hand, he seems to barely be able to rub two brain cells together and on the other he is somehow a hand to hand combat master, holding his own against powerful foes. No explanation is given as to why that is the case by the way. Most of the supporting cast is either a walking talking conflict generator or they react to what is happening on screen in a desperate attempt to convey the emotions the audience is supposed to feel. Dan Moroboshi is one of the few characters that break the mold. He despises Shinjiro for his lack of experience yet acknowledges his outstanding talent that makes up for it, making him a lot more interesting and complex than the protagonist. His motivations are far more clear and righteous, even if he won’t hesitate to take out “alien scum”. In fact, I subconsciously only started to tolerate the protagonist when Dan did. The Audio The sound design in Ultraman is quite the treat. Sound effects are good and convincing allowing one to immerse themselves in the show and the soundtrack is great. All the audio is in very high quality, clear, well mastered and not grating or annoying. As a “man of culture” aka. “A massive weeb” aka “dumpster fire connoisseur” I prefer the original voice acting for anime and read the subtitles like a hipster film student watching French movies in an attempt to look more sophisticated for his social circle. Therefore it is not exactly an easy task to judge the voice acting as I don’t speak Japanese. However from what I can discern it seems at least on par with most shows out there. All in all, there isn’t much more to say, the soundtrack has an excellent heroic main theme, the battle theme has some great electric guitar, and quieter scenes get some nice strings and piano treatment. To summarize, “it sounds good bro.” The Animation Its visual style has become a point of confusion for me. The character models all have enough depth and detail to make the characters believable when they aren’t attempting to emote that is. 3DCG does not work well when it comes to detailed animation. Facial expressions look stiff, blank, and awkward most of the time. It certainly helps that the most important characters emote with a mask on. Furthermore, the animation is wildly inconsistent resulting in some hilarious eye cancer at times. More on that later. The lighting is fine if not good in some scenes but the environments suffer from the typical low-resolution texture work used for backgrounds. Crowds and background character models are straight from bad CG hell. This is not the only time something appears low quality or cheap though. A severed arm and head that looked like it came straight from the PS2 era, odd character movements, Video Copilot Action Essentials blood spatters and more. My biggest gripe, however, is with the frame rate and animation quality. It is quite well established that 2D anime will typically be produced at a lower frame rate in general even half of what one would normally use in filmmaking and even less for background characters yet this does not translate well to 3DCG. Like, at all. A lot of motions look choppy and unappealing while at times it will be smooth as butter. Its as if you are playing a game and your system from 1999 is melting as it attempts to render cutscenes in real time. The worst part about this is that the choreography is really excellent in its hand to hand combat scenes. A lot of work was put into them and it shows. Clearly, this was a stylistic choice and not a technological limitation, one I am no fan of. Another issue pops up occasionally due to this choice as sometimes it is nearly impossible to judge how fast something is happening. Most of the time when slow motion is used it is very clear and deliberate, yet I remember one very distinct scene where I for the life of me could not tell whether it was supposed to be in slow motion or real time. But the worst animation seems to be during the shows quieter dialogue moments. There are very few words that can describe this particular brand of motion vomit but the best word I have for it is jarring. This seems to be a fairly common trait when it comes to 3DCG anime, however, this unsettling style can be used to one's advantage and doesn’t always have to be a detriment. Ajin: Demi-Human is an excellent example of this. The jarring animation and cel-shaded character models helped solidify the creepy undertones of the story and especially the unsettling nature of the “Ghosts”. The animation serves to illustrate the story and the style subtly adds to its atmosphere. If you haven’t seen Ajin yet, it is certainly worth your time. Give it a try. The Conclusion In conclusion, Ultraman is certainly watchable. It has enough action scenes where you can simply turn your brain off and enjoy the spectacle. That is if you can stomach some of the choppy animations. Set pieces are for the most part quite awesome without getting too ridiculous, bar one exception in the finale, and the story will keep you engaged long enough even if it is not something to write home about. So if you have nothing to watch, give Ultraman a try, it's not great but not terrible enough to never touch with a 10ft pole. What did you think? Let us know in the comments below. Don’t forget to like and subscribe for more anime content and hit the bell icon to always stay up to date.

http://www.amerimewire.com/2019/06/ultraman-review-by-james-halmer.html

[changspain]

Going out, but not out out

Barcelona beach is long and picturesque, looking along its boardwalk the hordes of lounging bodies are framed by grand red mountains at one end and a huge glass hotel at the other. We walked towards the enormous hotel and guessed how much a penthouse room would cost for one night and what perks you would get. As we were all financially stricken the conversation soon moved to what self-deprecating act we would perform for one night of luxury – a recurring topic of conversation throughout our trip was how much of our dignity we would lose for what gain and it turns out I would do essentially anything for £50. We passed a volleyball court and were too nervous to ask to play but justified our decision by stating that the players weren’t to our standard. At the hotel, which had a huge W on it like Wayne Towers, we turned and headed back along the boardwalk to find a spot to sit and swim. We passed a nude part of the beach and looked at the naked Spaniards with curiosity and a sort of respect. I do not know whether the section of the beach with the most nude people was the nude part or they just naturally gravitated to each other. Walking by was like watching an episode of Naked Attraction[1], there was a huge range of body shapes particularly between two men – one was stacked and had a massive dick and the other was slightly podgy and had what I can only describe as a child’s penis. I didn’t point this out to the others because saying that somebody has a small penis is the hallmark of somebody who has a small penis themselves. We bought some cheap beers at a corner store and settled on a patch of bare beach next to two American college students and an extremely fit topless woman, in our defence we didn’t notice her until we had sat down. Seamus had bought a 40oz and had probably poured away a quarter “for the dead homies” before we actually sat down but at 30 cents a litre the homies can have it. We drank and listened to the two American college students call over a random girl and start chirpsing her. Slowly their conversation became dominated by the hotter American and the random woman as the podgy ginger American stared solemnly into the blue waves, wondering where all the time went. The main American had an interesting flirting technique – he asked questions in with such rapid speed the woman barely had time to answer like he was on a speed dating evening and another random girl would appear any second. Also, because the questions shot out at such quantity they were often vacuous and nonsensical, he asked “Do you like travelling?” which seemed pretty fucking obvious considering she was on holiday in Barcelona. This was followed by “What is your favourite sangria?” which I didn’t hear the answer to as our own random woman sat down opposite to us stating she was tired. I thought perhaps the whole beach was a mass speed dating session and I perked up ready to ask my own meaningless questions. Unfortunately, it became clear she was only trying to sell a bar crawl to us. Me and JUGB became bored and laid back as Ivy took the brunt of the sales pitch, she caught our attention when she said that it was 4 euros more expensive for boys than for women – it made complete sense but was still entertaining for us to take an ultra-liberal stance against the apparent sexism. She clearly believed she may have had 5 prospective punters as she panicked slightly as her sales pitch was being blown wide open by these irrational tourists. She fell back on some stereotype about her being Russian or something but we had become bored by her again. Me and JUGB got up and went to the sea and dove into the temperate, salty Mediterranean. A rogue volleyball smashed me in the head and out into the sea, I swam out further to get it and I found out I couldn’t swim to save my life, I looked back at the 20m to shore and thought I may need JUGB to rescue me which I’m sure wasn’t far off a few girls’ fantasy but for me would have been highly embarrassing. I made it back but probably looked like a floundering spider struggling to not fall down the plughole of a shower.[2] I dragged my body out the sea then back to where Ivy, Luke and Seamus were sat, saleswoman of the year had left but was soon replaced by another offering a different deal but we sent them away. Behind us some Dutch 30 year olds had started kicking a ball around and I went to join. The game was very lawless and I gradually worked out we had to vaguely keep the ball in the air in the most inefficient way possible, any sort of safe touch was frowned upon but smashing it in the air was applauded. I was instantly named Crouchy due to my lanky pale physique, apparently this is still good chat in Holland. The game was to a relatively high standard and I got chatting to one of players and found out he was an Arsenal fan which didn’t sit well with me I was a Spurs fan, I told him this expecting some more 4/10 banter but he replied saying he also loved Spurs. Luke called me away from the game and I left more bemused about football than I had ever been before. We walked down the boardwalk back to a Metro station with plans to get bottles of sangria and smash the clubs.

We picked up some Don Simon for such an unbelievable price the store owner may as well thrown in his eldest daughter as well. Our particular hostel did not allow drinking inside its walls[3] so we ran into the room to get changed and grab some more money. The male half of the Spanish shaggers was still in bed and I doubted he had moved at all that day – his life of lying in bed and waiting for his girlfriend to come back and have sex seemed pretty cooshti but I didn’t have time to throw him some quizzical looks as we had sangria to attend to. We drank the sangria in double cupped plastic beakers with heaps of ice in the street whilst listening to the weirdest songs I could find on Ivy’s iPhone[4]. We then headed for a cheap tapas bar the receptionist at the hostel had recommended us, I had developed an imaginary narrative where the reception girls were all intensely in love with me simply because they told us not to buy a tourist bus ticket because it was a rip off, in my eyes that translated to true love. Due to this relationship, I was confident she had sent us to the best tapas bar in Barcelona, but it turned out it was maybe 50m down the road and she was simply trying to get rid of me. We had to queue for a table but sat at the bar and had some beers. One thing that I’m sure annoys every English person in Spain is the way they pour beer, essentially with massive head. It would be acceptable if the head remained but it always instantly dissipated leaving a tear evoking gap at the top of the beer like a ghost has swigged a bit and evaporated. This phenomenon is especially frustrating to me and JUGB who both work or have worked in pubs.[5] Me, Luke and Seamus all ordered the vegan hamburgers whereas Ivy and JUGB ordered a highly eclectic mix of tapas. Our hamburgers came and were decent for the price we paid but weren’t anything to write home about, however 3 sangrias deep and 3 more beers on top we couldn’t have cared less. Meanwhile, JUGB and Ivy had received some delicious patatas bravas (that I also promptly ordered after tasting theirs) then a single croquette that looked awfully lonely on an empty plate – they romantically split it. There was then a long, increasingly anxious wait for the rest of their food and 30 minutes into this wait they asked where the rest was, the waitress stared at them blankly and explained the kitchen was shut. Panic ensued and the kitchen whipped up some sort of spicy pork dish but on closer inspection we found it to be entirely fat and inedible, JUGB offered the theory that perhaps that’s how the Spanish liked it – but we all knew they had just thrown whatever was in the bin onto a spicy bowl of tomato. I prodded the gelatinous blob and turned to see Seamus asleep in his chair, clutching his tote bag – a portrait that would very much become a theme of the trip.

We sent Seamus on his way home and headed towards the clubbing area of Barcelona that was perhaps a 30 minute walk. Ivy and Luke were craving some fags and insisted on stopping at every corner shop and asking if they had any, I didn’t understand why they wanted some pre-emptively or why no shops actually stocked them. They darted off part way down an avenue and sourced one, probably out of a bin or man in a drench coat. As we reached the clubbing district we were inundated with offers of ice cold beer for a euro by man clutching packs of Estrella. I thought that if we were here another night we could have played a drinking game which consisted of shotgunning every beer that is offered to you – even if you didn’t drink anything previously you probably wouldn’t make it to a club which in my books is the criteria of a successful night. I ushered every salesman away because I wasn’t really drinking and for a euro the beers were a rip off when you could spit on the face of a supermarket employee in exchange for a bottle of premium beer elsewhere. I had received a tip from a friend that a fun, cheap night out was Jamboree and this was consistent with other suggestions we received from various locals so our first port of call was Jamboree. We arrived and were greeted by large neon red letters and a dark entrance shrouded in velour curtains and burgundy rope barrier, I thought for a moment that this had all been a stitch up and Jamboree was an exceptionally boisterous strip club. This thought was quickly destroyed when I spied the customary conceited ticket girl sat on her throne of bureaucracy. I am yet to find anybody more unreasonable than the attractive girls sat at the entrances of clubs, I rarely remember the ticketing girls exist as they lie in the liminal space between the gutter-thug bouncer and the void of the dancefloor but whenever I attempt to communicate with them I am treated to a glare that very effectively conveys the phrase: “I’m stamping you with this random logo, or you’re fucking off. Either way - I don’t give a shit.”. The other part of my tip was that Jamboree was free but the bouncer quickly explained it wasn’t. I don’t know whether it had been free when my friend went or whether she had got in free because her and her four friends were all fit[6] – I heavily suspect the latter. We stepped out the queue and back into the clubbing plaza.[7] Me and Luke had made an ultimatum on the way down that if the club cost any money we would go home, but something between JUGB’s bubbly attitude and Luke shotgunning a beer in competition with Ivy persuaded us that 5 euros entry was a reasonable offer. I was the most sober and therefore the most unwilling to go in but I am sure there is some sort of mathematical coefficient between amount drunk and accuracy of value assessment, in the daytime offer me a 1kg of chips smothered in cheese for £3 and I’d probably rather blow my brains out but the same deal 27 beers deep and I’ll snap your hand off – clearly to JUGB and Ivy 5 euros was the deal of the century.

We re-joined the queue and I had to face the smug smile as the same bouncer we had previously turned away in disgust to. I then had to depart with a crisp 5 euro note that was snaffled up by the girl on the till, I have seen more personality in a Tesco self-service checkout machine than that girl had but at the same time she had probably seen more original chat from a brick wall than I possessed. We headed downstairs and to the dancefloor, it was maybe half full and I vividly recalled the moment the ticket girl snatched my money out my hand and felt a grave misjustice had occurred. I couldn’t decide whether a snide Trip Advisor review or a letter to the Industrial Tribunal of Fair Transactions was the best course of action but JUGB interrupted this thought saying that he was going to the bar for a drink. On the main dancefloor was a couple erotically grinding on each other, who I had to check were not the couple from the hostel, and three drunk Australian girls. There were also the regular rogue men who had stumbled out of some bar crawl, enticed by the femme fatale from the beach earlier, and had found themselves in a club playing music 10 years too modern for them. I began my standard ironic dancing routine of whipping and performing ridiculously large, yet careful foot and arm movements. This was relatively well received by my fellow clubbers and the Australian girls curiously watched me from afar, this attention vanished when me and Luke started taking pictures with a large fake Hennessy logo located near some seating. The music was mainly popular R&B but not the good kind and the DJ separated the Drake that wasn’t Drake with the J-Dilla horn that constantly tricked me into thinking he was about to play something from Donuts, I thought ‘Last Donut of the Night’ would be a fittingly melancholic song to the motley crew I saw before me. Gradually, the club filled up but our neighbours on the dancefloor remained the same except for the introduction of a camp Asian man who kept crouching very low and cocking his head to one side and cupping his ear whilst pointing at women, I didn’t understand what it meant but his fans fucking loved it. Me and Luke went to the bar to get some water, I accepted they probably wouldn’t give us a free glass because we weren’t absolutely smashed but it was worth a go. I stood next to a 40 year old Spanish man who kept pushing into me then smirking and staring at me when I looked at him, I thought about carefully explaining to him how ridiculous it was for him to be here in excruciating and depressing detail but ended up saying: “Y’alright there mate?”. He didn’t answer. He became less verbose when his girlfriend/wife came over and dragged him out the queue for some sort of telling off – perhaps I was the lame one and he was operating on several levels of irony higher than me. The bar staff predictably refused us our water and we headed upstairs to find Ivy and JUGB. I hadn’t realised there was an upstairs and preferred its atmosphere, mainly there was no couple rubbing alongside my leg – I got enough of that at my hostel. We danced on a raised stage for a bit then went back downstairs then decided it was time to leave, it was about 3am but the club was still filling up but we were all shattered. On the walk home we waved away 138 beer sellers and several taco sellers. The tacos were tempting but after seeing the fourth man selling the exact same tacos I became more interested in the wholesaler who had a monopoly on the drunk taco market than the potential of buying an actual taco.

When we arrived back at the hostel I sat down on a chair in the communal room to check my messages and drink some water. JUGB came out of our shared room instantly and told me a woman was now sleeping in his bed. It later turned out to be an Algerian woman who had introduced herself earlier that day and I firmly stand by the opinion that she wanted JUGB to join her, the other idea was that she had moved beds to escape the noises of the Spanish couple. Me and JUGB went to the reception and explained the situation to the young guy behind the desk. He said: “This is impossible, you need a bed to sleep in.”, he had hit the nail on the head but his attitude very much implied that this was JUGBs fault – I later told JUGB to be less alluring. The receptionist stormed to our room, slammed on the lights, luckily the Spanish couple weren’t having sex for once, and located him another bed. I too found a different bed, one further away from the Spaniards and fell asleep researching the best way to drive to our campsite tomorrow.

[1] I don’t know where this is a popular reference or an obscure one. Basically, it was a show on Channel4 where you stare at naked people – would recommend.

[2] This often occurs in my shower at home because I never notice them hanging around near the taps. I’m forced to watch helplessly as they battle with the inevitable, I tend to step out the shower before I start developing a metaphor between the spider’s battle and my life.

[3] I know, not a fucking hostel is it.

[4] Wu-Tang Clan and Danny Brown didn’t match the mood of a quiet medieval Spanish street, but neither did our unapologetic English street-drinking.

[5] I have seen someone hung for pouring a bad pint.

[6] Shouts out Mady Dean.

[7] Very much NOT its official name.

[degasandaboxofdoughnuts]

Upon Finishing a Memoir: An Act of Gratitude

Along the New Jersey coastline, hugging the inland spine of a confederation of plodding, marshy islands, the southern stretch of the Garden State Parkway feels like the most liberating road in the world.  Birthed from the narrow two lanes that spit you out of Cape May, the state’s southern-most point, the highway begins without prelude, other than a hulking green sign that only changes when the governor does.  You take your place in the line of cars, and then you’re off.  One stretch of highway is what’s keeping you between the land and the ocean, between your work week and your summer night, between what’s flesh, essentially, and what’s fantasy.  Sometimes it even feels like you’re driving along the edge of your own young life, like you’re escaping the world and its responsibilities giving chase just one exit back.

When the slanting sunlight sprinkles across the reeds and the bay to your right, especially on an endless summer day, when you have nowhere else to be and nothing else to live for, it produces a certain sound.  It’s not the hum of wheels on asphalt.  It’s a soft but assertive thing, a combination of two distinct noises coming together perfectly to hold you in, like a seatbelt clicking into place.  Bringing you along for the ride.  And I first successfully identified it when I listened to the opening track of Bruce Springsteen’s Born to Run.

Oh, oh, oh, oh Thunder Road.  It’s all there, in the duet of a crooning piano and a whining harmonica.  He did it.  He put that feeling in a song.

Looking back on my life thus far, and trying to lift the lid on my future, it is very clear to me that Bruce Springsteen was, is, and always will be one of my life’s most important prophets.  I have had his music since I was a teenager, and now I have his life in his own, carefully chosen words, in a language that appeals directly to my heart’s craft, with the gift of his autobiography, bearing the same title as that album that blew open my tiny little world.  He came before me and let his voice ring out so that I, almost forty years later, could hear it and finally begin to understand who I am.  He is the Jersey-shaped mold into which I have poured myself in order to make sense of my place in the world.  I might as well have been dancing across a porch as the radio played, so suddenly and certainly did Bruce come and pick me up and drive me away from the listless, aching confusion of adolescence.  It’s a ride that has taken me so many incredible destinations, put some amazing people in the passenger seat, and it just keeps going.

At fifteen or sixteen, I believed I had already found my musical footing.  I was most assuredly a “classic rock girl” -- with my messenger back covered in pins and patches -- desperate to carve out an identity as I entered a high school where we literally wore uniforms.  I had spent middle school shirking my old childhood pop icons for newer, “edgier” models, like Avril Lavigne and Good Charlotte, but then, right before high school, I saw the movie School of Rock AND got an iPod, one that I needed to fill with the infinite amount of music it could seemingly store, and so into the open arms of my parents’ music I fell.  Not only did I love the music, but it helped me continue to draw up am us/them understanding of the world that my fragile self-esteem clung to, wanting always to both stand out and be accepted.  Plus, it helped with the boys.  The guy who I would end up “dating” for one week of freshman year once looked across our lockers at my messenger bag and asked me if I liked Bruce Springsteen.  I grimaced and assured him that I did not.  He was relieved by my answer, and my mystique was preserved for another day.

Despite having never really ever listened to Springsteen, I understood, somehow, that he was “dad rock”, perennially uncool, of vaguely the same era as revered acts like the Who and Pink Floyd and Guns n Roses (any rock music from before 1995 -- and whose merchandise you could purchase at Hot Topic -- belonged under the same basic categorical umbrella for a kid in the mid-2000s), but unquestionably lamer.  Looking back, this may be because Springsteen eludes firm categorization, unlike a lot of other acts: he is both part of a prolific band and a solo act, with music spanning many decades without ever being sonically beholden to one, and touting a discography full of songs that ranging from moody and piano-driven to synthesized stadium rock, with almost everything in between.  At the time, it was probably because he had the gall to kind of look like our dads, and because he was so synonymous with our very own state.  We knew that he was the king of New Jersey, and, to our young ears, he hadn’t earned it.  He was as much of an annoying, embarrassing inheritance as Bon Jovi.  Perhaps that assumption that all New Jerseyans bled for the Boss was something we inherently understood and rebelled against, because I barely met anyone else around my age who liked Bruce until I left the state for college (hell, I even knew people my dad’s age -- a half-generation younger than Springsteen himself -- who discounted Bruce entirely from their nostalgic repertoire).

My conversion began with a brief exposure.  My mother’s car had long been the place where my audible tastes came to be.  She was only thirty when Alanis Morissette’s Jagged Little Pill came out, and I remember her turning down the volume and shouting “KISS” over Alanis’s seething “fuck” on “You Oughta Know”.  My dad and I bonded a lot over music, too, but my mom, in my opinion, had cooler taste, and she dropped her knowledge sparingly and memorably, which worked towards stealthily indoctrinating her young daughter .  During a period of time, she played the song “Rosalita” a lot in the car, and it was crowdpleaser among her three kids.  Flash forward to some time later, I found myself sitting at our family’s shared PC, scrolling through my dad’s iTunes library.  I came across The Essential Bruce Springsteen.  In a shocking display of patience with a new musical artist (a virtue I lack to this day), I started clicking and listening.  Thus entered my two true gateway songs: “Spirit in the Night” and “Atlantic City”.  Wildly different from one another, and from “Rosalita”, they had me transfixed right away.  “Spirit in the Night”, with its spark-plug sax and rambling, decontextualized narrative, was a low-key simmer of sound and energy, with Bruce’s scratchy voice inviting me into a crazy world that was foreign and completely appealing.  “Atlantic City” was as dark and cold and bare, but threaded through with the thinnest strain of hope, as an actual night in Atlantic City.  I knew this, because Atlantic City and all its ugly appeal was less than an hour’s ride away.  It wasn’t a story within which I could personally place myself, but I understood the setting on an aesthetic and corporeal level -- “put on your stockings ‘cause the night’s getting cold,” and the harmonica and guitar joined in like a whistling wind over the lightless beach.  I knew what he was describing in such minimal but potent detail.  And he was tapping into something bone-deep and dark, something inside just being awakened, hidden in your genes, finally revealing itself.

I had never heard anything like it before.

Discovering Springsteen was like having someone finally turn on the lights after I had been rooting around in the dark for something I could recognize.  Not just something I could enjoy, but something that I could claim, that spoke to where I had come from and what I had the potential to be.  I devoured his first four albums and savored all the tastes they left in my mouth.  I opened my otherwise-purist heart to some later songs of the 80s and 90s that the Essential dropped in my ear.  I listened to a man almost half-a-century older than me, older than my parents, and felt as completely and utterly understood as if he and I knew each other, like we had sat together on a sandy beach towel and discussed anything and everything, like him and Bobby Jean.

I continually ask myself whether or not Bruce would be my favorite artist of all-time if I wasn’t from New Jersey, and I can’t ever really know the answer, but I have my suspicions.  I know lots of people who aren’t from New Jersey who adore and connect with his music on just as fundamental a level as I do, and I know I’d love him regardless; that’s what he has achieved with his music, after all: a universality mined from the particulars, making his hometown everyone’s hometown, his woes your woes, his jubilation at the end of a long day yours.  But even when he paints the setting in broad strokes, I recognize them.  His winding roads match the topography of mine.  The abandoned beach houses and the boardwalk and that direct line from “the coastline to the city” are the stage setting of my entire life.  But it was more than that, more than just name-dropping shore towns and hallmarks -- it was everything else.  Bruce Springsteen shook my teenaged soul not just because he sang about New Jersey, but because he was singing with the very fuel of the state in his belly and in his guitar, and that is… the desire to get the hell out.

I had always imagined myself leaving my hometown, but never more so than during those early high-school years.  I was just four years away from breaking out -- from “busting out of class” -- and picking up the mantle of my destiny elsewhere, but when I was a newly minted freshman those few years seemed like they would last an eternity.  I knew with a stomach-weighting dread that they would be challenging years, wherein I would have to try to fit in or end up strangling myself with self-hatred and doubt and regret over letting my Very Important Teenage Years pass me by.  I knew it all was a byway, but I wanted it to be, a la Dazed and Confused philosophy, fun along the way.  If I didn’t attempt that, the self-loathing always on the brink of coming up my throat would choke me.  But I knew as I shuffled along the few corridors of my (at-turns oppressively and comfortingly) tiny school that this might be near-impossible.  Those first few months were spent in a depressed fog.  I had one physical refuge in the whole world, and that was down the shore, where everything was, for me, all right.  I longed for the one place remotely in the vicinity where I could both feel at home, with all the comforts of my happy childhood, and still teeter on the brink of the rest of the world.  The very edge of New Jersey was the only place I could stand to be.

Bruce got that.  Bruce got all of that.  His music has always been both about leaving and staying.  He was born to run, but dammit, he always came back.  He was a weird kid with a big dream he made come true, but his roots were too permanent to ever hack away completely.  Just getting in the car and driving, seeking out friends, romance, escape… growing up in New Jersey, that was all we had.  And sure, that is undoubtedly true of countless other towns and states and places in the world, but that is where the particulars always called out to me and pulled me in that much deeper.  His car was hitting Route 9 when he traded in his wings for some wheels.  He was riding to the sea I have craved my entire life when he and his baby washed their sins off their hands.  His voice and music captured the exhilarating and yet utterly earthbound feeling of driving up the Parkway, like he just knew the alchemical secrets of turning a drive on a soft, infested summer’s day into high art.

Obviously there are many, many stark differences between his life and mine, but I have found our funny little parallels a great comfort to me, especially after reading his book.  His Freehold is my Vineland, our little inland towns populated with all our ancestors and empty factories and directions we didn’t take; his Asbury Park is my Sea Isle City, our nearby seaside escapes, at the end of a promise-filled car ride.  He dreamed of making sense of the world through his need to express himself musically, while I have, for years, smoldered day-in and day-out  with a burning desire to write myself into multiple existences through fiction.  I listen to the progression of his early albums and recognize that transition from word-heavy, metaphorical cyclones to sparser, heavier punches, details compressed without losing any of their power; I know that that’s in my own writing, the shift from more to less, as I have continued to learn how to best hone my voice.  The vast majority of his music has not dealt with Catholicism or God head-on, while mine has, but both of our writing styles are inextricably linked to the liturgy we inherited.  His songs, and his account of his own life, are decorated like a church interior with language that can only come from the sacramental coloring that is the Catholic worldview, where the everyday and ordinary are clearly vessels of redemption and symbols of sacrifice, where guilt is genetic and inextricable.  And he has lived his life caged in by an anxiety and occasionally bogged down by a depression that I wish was a foreign concept to me but I know isn’t; I can only hope I can make something out of myself and my craft by wielding these impediments even half as well as he has.

The lifelong disciple of his own pantheon of heroes, Bruce Springsteen is my prophet, the one who stands under a shore bar light and prepares the way for me, and he has taken the many ordinary elements of my life and turned them into an eternal truth that will outlive us.  His songs bring me to places to which I can never really return and give me back people who are most present only in memories.  He has tied me a little tighter to moments and friends that might have slipped away otherwise.  Like prayers, they potently invoke my loved ones.  “Streets of Fire” and “Drive All Night” are Bryant.  “Incident on 57th Street” and “Sherry Darling” are Laura.  “Backstreets” and “Born to Run” are Alanna.  “Thundercrack” is Jordan.  “My Love Will Not Let You Down” is my mom.  “The Rising” is my dad, and “Racing in the Street” and “No Surrender” are myself reflected back to me through the proud mirror of his eyes.  Even “Glory Days”, my honest-to-God least favorite song on earth (that’s how much I love you, Bruce), is now Chris and Jacqui, who danced all their friends into their new marriage to the cheesiest lyrics of all time.

I go through periods of time when I don’t listen to Bruce at all, when his music isn’t what I need to power me through or mellow me out, but when it is time, I am Saint Sebastian tied to the column, allowing myself to be pierced by a slew of arrows deftly hitting their marks.  I am game for the exquisite torture.  His music goes subterranean in a way no one else’s really does.

I don’t write this because I believe my experience with Springsteen is unique in any way, shape, or form, just like my adolescence wasn’t.  Underneath the layers of exhilaration, calm, and connectivity I feel when I sit alone in my room or my car and start up “Thunder Road” or “Dancing in the Dark” or “My City of Ruins”, I know that he is so incredible at what he does because he can make the thousands upon thousands of fans who flock to his shows feel like they have an individual relationship with him.  People talk up Springsteen’s blue-collar appeal (which the artist himself is well aware is somewhat illusionary, based more on his upbringing than his professional life and achievements), but that’s really just a fraction of a more complex algorithm.  Anyone can sing the working man’s blues (I’m looking at you, Commander-in-Chief).  His music has to sound like your life, echo your experiences, reveal a truth in your everyday existence.  The stories he tells don’t exactly match mine, and they don’t exactly match his own, but that’s why he is an artist.  He sets a mood and then some.  I don’t know anything about the Chicken Man, but that doesn’t matter, because Bruce’s voice captures a raw nerve ending on “Atlantic City” when he asks his love to meet him there, when he admits that “our luck may have died and our love may be cold.”  He penetrates, like the frosty ocean seeping through your clothes and into your skin should you dare to tread out into the blackness of the Atlantic off-season.  It’s the rebellious spirit of “Badlands” that comes through in small, energetic bursts that feel like starting up your car or getting out of work or flipping off the shittiness of life while still grabbing its freedoms when they come flying past you, when you “have a notion deep inside that it ain’t no sin to be glad you’re alive.”  “The River” tells such a specific tale (that Bruce actually modeled on his brother-in-law) but whether you identify with the narrator or you inhabit the spirit of the “mister” you can easily imagine is on the barstool next to him, or even Mary “who acts like she don’t care”, or the story means nothing to you at all… that defeatedness, that sorrow, that slightly unhinged reminiscence, comes from a purely primal place embedded in all human hearts.  My favorite piece of music in the entire world happens when the band plays and Bruce sings, “But I remember us riding in my brother’s car, her body tan and wet down at the reservoir.”  What does that have to do with my life?  It’s about what it evokes.  That line changes the whole tone of the song.  His delivery begins to shift; now a man isn’t just telling an abysmal story long-bereft of any feeling, but admitting (probably to a total stranger, or to you, the detached listener) that he does remember.  He remembers details, ones that, in just a few simple but perfectly rhymed words, conjure the most transient and poignant parts of youth.  When the music picks up right at that line, I feel like someone is pressing on a bruise I didn’t realize I had.  I’m being reminded that that capacity for both carefree joy and a kind of regret that sometimes howls past the facade of acceptance is hauntingly universal, even when delivered in particulars.  Everyone has a river, and some dark, unanswerable question that sends them down there, even though they know the river is dry.

Jon Landau famously credited seeing Springsteen live with making him feel young again, like he was hearing music for the very first time.  That impulse to write about one of the greatest writers of our time has been felt by many since that 1974 review, and giving in to it now, breaking no new ground by doing so, I think it’s more than a kind of expression.  Where were you when you first heard Springsteen?  What tour did you catch him on?  Top ten favorite songs?  What would be your sign request?  It’s more than just examining the feelings he brews in your soul, more than teasing out an explanation as to why you’ll go see him every single time he comes to town, from a place within that really can’t be put into words.  Lyrics -- words -- are good, but sometimes what you’re experiencing is more akin to cascading piano or the blast of the saxophone.  It’s an entire atmosphere, a permeation, a drawn-out note.  So I think that these attempts, really, are acts of gratitude.  An exercise in reciprocation.  A man you’ve never met, who for most is just a voice, a face on an album cover, a distant figure on a stage, has made you feel both singular and a part of some greater, sweeping collective.  It’s like Springsteen himself, the man who comes to you alone, with his own distinct vision, but who also throws himself into the magic of a band, and thus into the magic of his audience.  That balance is also the balance of living.  Of striking out on your own, hitting the road, but also never really leaving home.  Of making connections and then letting them go, calling someone one last time, not to change their mind, but just to say, “I miss you, baby; good luck, goodbye.”  Bruce divined these dual forces in the world and wrangled them into albums full of victory and heartache, and by doing so he allowed us to not just articulate our own victories and heartaches, but feel them.  He gave us words that summed up, and music -- feelings -- that transcended.  He not only called out to me, like an overconfident boy from a car in the driveway, that we were about to go “riding out tonight to case the Promised Land,” but he did so while his voice tripped down Roy Bittan’s sprightly piano like he was stumbling across the keys.  It’s why Jon Landau’s infamous review of a young Springsteen is appropriately mostly dedicated to Landau’s own life and the context in which his future client fit in, but simultaneously stretches his savior to fit the nebulous role of “rock n roll future.”  Bruce makes us feel singled out and yet part of the human experience.  He finds us in the depths we think we alone occupy, calls out in recognition, and then gives us a hand to haul us up into a crowd of people who feel exactly the same way.  It’s why he’s an indulgent pleasure to listen to alone, and an indescribable thrill to watch live.  He does the E Street Shuffle and wrecks on the highway.  Everybody, form a line.

  By: Taylor Catalana

1/20/17